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ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$7.73 -1.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.69

ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $949.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PUMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, ProPetro Holding Corp. (NYSE: PUMP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $7.73 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $949.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PUMP ranks #168 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PUMP compare to ACDC and RES in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), PUMP carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.6%. By comparison, ACDC (ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.4%, cap $888.8M) and RES (RPC Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUMP?
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Per PUMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680247), ProPetro Holding Corp. generated $1.27B in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $824.0K in net income, and $45.3M in free cash flow against $1.29B in total assets and $105.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.69 (-0.51%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 3.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target
$19 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE PUMP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PUMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PUMP SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.25 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$8.81-13.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$7.63-0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$7.56+2.2% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$7.73-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PUMP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PUMP currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.46) and Max Pain ($8.12) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.43.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PUMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PUMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PUMP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PUMP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PUMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -54.12%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $7.87H $7.87L $7.73C $7.73VOL 4.99M
RES: $9.42SUP: $6.45SMA50: $9.46SMA200: $12.57
$19.18$15.88$12.58$9.28$5.99RES $9.42SUP $6.45$7.732026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PUMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-6.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -12.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PUMP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PUMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PUMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PUMP)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (PUMP vs. ACDC, RES, HOS, CLB)

Industry: Oilfield Services/Equipment (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) ranks #168 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #138 by equity capitalization ($949.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLB leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while CLB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.6% ROIC and 20.7% gross margin. CLB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with PUMP at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PUMP ACTIVE
ProPetro Holding Corp.
D- 43/100 — — 0.6% -1.78% $949.7M Benchmark Subject
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)
E 32/100 — — -11.4% +0.62% $888.8M /acdc-vs-pump →
RES
RPC Inc.
D+ 52/100 44.1x — 4.0% -3.29% $1.37B /res-vs-pump →
HOS
Hornbeck Offshore Services Inc.
D 46/100 51.7x 12.3% 3.5% -1.39% $1.57B /hos-vs-pump →
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
C- 59/100 16.1x 20.7% 12.6% +2.31% $488.2M /clb-vs-pump →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001680247 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.27B (-12.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.44B , and -22.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $824.0K, operating cash flow of $231.6M, and free cash flow of $45.3M (-59.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, PUMP closed FY2025 with $1.29B in total assets against $105.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.25, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.27B $824.0K $231.6M $45.3M $1.29B $105.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.44B -$137.9M $252.3M $112.0M $1.22B $45.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.63B $86.0M $374.7M $374.7M — —

3. PUMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PUMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ProPetro Holding Corp. (NYSE: PUMP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $7.73 (-1.78% 1D, market cap $949.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, PUMP ranks #168 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PUMP compare to ACDC and RES in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oilfield Services/Equipment), PUMP carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.6%. By comparison, ACDC (ProFrac Holding Corp. (Class A)) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.4%, cap $888.8M) and RES (RPC Inc.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 44.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLB leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while CLB leads on capital efficiency (12.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PUMP?

Per PUMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680247), ProPetro Holding Corp. generated $1.27B in revenue (-12.1% YoY), $824.0K in net income, and $45.3M in free cash flow against $1.29B in total assets and $105.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PUMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PUMP last traded at $7.73 (-1.78% on volume of 4,987,928 shares), positioning the stock -18.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.46) and -38.50% below its 200-day simple moving average ($12.57). Across its 52-week range of $7.01 to $18.50, PUMP sits at the 6.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($6.86 to $8.60).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PUMP — ProPetro Holding Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 43/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $7.73 (-1.78% 1D, market capitalization $949.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.6%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 0.5%, and free cash flow yield of 4.69%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.25, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.13x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

ProPetro Holding Corp. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating within the Oilfield Services/Equipment industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $1.0B. The company reports revenue of $1.27B for FY 2025, .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) reported $1.27B in annual revenue (up from $1.44B in FY2024, -12.1% YoY) and $824.0K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.63B revenue, $86.0M net income) through FY2025, PUMP scaled operating cash flow to $231.6M and free cash flow to $45.3M, backed by $1.29B in total assets against $105.6M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 43/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 4.69% and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.01 – $18.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation and 6.0x EV/EBITDA against 0.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so upstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source.

  • Key Question #1: Can PUMP sustain or expand its 0.5% operating margin and 0.6% ROIC against Oilfield Services/Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.27B and free cash flow of $45.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $105.6M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PUMP's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PUMP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ProPetro Holding Corp. (PUMP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PUMP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PUMP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.73?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PUMP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PUMP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.20 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance sheet holds up with a 0.13 Debt/Equity, Piotroski F 7/9, and a 4.69% FCF yield while the stock trades near the bottom of its $7

Long PUMP at $7.73 targeting $10.20. Balance sheet holds up with a 0.13 Debt/Equity, Piotroski F 7/9, and a 4.69% FCF yield while the stock trades near the bottom of its $7.01–$18.5 range.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $7.01 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — PUMP's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.57 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $7.73

ROIC of 0.6%, net margin of 0.1%, and a Whale 13F Flow pillar score of 4/20 show weak profitability and limited institutional support.

Fading this rally in PUMP at $7.73. ROIC of 0.6%, net margin of 0.1%, and a Whale 13F Flow pillar score of 4/20 show weak profitability and limited institutional support.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $7.73 (52-wk range $7.01–$18.50), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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