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PPL Corporation (PPL) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$36.14 +1.37% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.16

PPL Corporation (PPL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $26.83B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, PPL Corporation (NYSE: PPL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $36.14 (+1.37% 1D, market cap $26.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, PPL ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PPL compare to FE and ES in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), PPL carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, FE (FirstEnergy Corp.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $27.16B) and ES (Eversource Energy (D/B/A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 11.0x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $25.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ES leads on earnings multiple (11.0x) while DTE leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PPL?
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Per PPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000922224), PPL Corporation generated $9.17B in revenue (+8.6% YoY), $1.18B in net income, and -$1.40B in free cash flow against $45.24B in total assets and $17.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.16 (+0.06%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (13)SEC (12)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
$42 Bull$34 Base$27 Bear
📬 FREE PPL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PPL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PPL SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.2% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.18 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 23.2% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$34.75-0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$34.58+1.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$35.09+3% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$36.14-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PPL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PPL currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($34.14) and Max Pain ($37.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $42.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PPL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PPL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.56% Total Yield
2.96% Cash ($1.07/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
96% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.3% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $22,197

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $790/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.7K
Yr 2
$12.7K
Yr 3
$13.8K
Yr 4
$14.9K
Yr 5
$16.1K
Yr 6
$17.5K
Yr 7
$18.9K
Yr 8
$20.5K
Yr 9
$22.2K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PPL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PPL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.39%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $35.63H $36.14L $35.63C $36.14VOL 5.84M
RES: $35.44SUP: $29.45SMA50: $34.14SMA200: $36.07
$38.81$36.85$34.88$32.92$30.95RES $35.44SUP $29.45$36.142026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PPL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PPL)

Utilities Rank #76 of 116 ⚔️ FE vs PPL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (PPL vs. FE, ES, CNP, DTE)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, PPL Corporation (PPL) ranks #76 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #26 by equity capitalization ($26.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ES leads on earnings valuation at 11.0x trailing P/E, while DTE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and — gross margin. DTE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with PPL at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PPL ACTIVE
PPL Corporation
D 45/100 22.7x — 4.2% +1.37% $26.83B Benchmark Subject
FE
FirstEnergy Corp.
C- 60/100 26.6x — 5.8% +1.54% $27.16B /fe-vs-ppl →
ES
Eversource Energy (D/B/A)
D 47/100 11.0x — 5.5% +1.46% $25.82B /es-vs-ppl →
CNP
CenterPoint Energy Inc (Holding Co)
D- 42/100 26.6x 96.0% 5.3% +0.50% $28.13B /cnp-vs-ppl →
DTE
DTE Energy Company
C 63/100 19.1x — 8.2% +0.27% $28.19B /dte-vs-ppl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000922224 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), PPL Corporation (PPL) reported GAAP revenue of $9.17B (+8.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.44B , and +10.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.18B, operating cash flow of $2.63B, and free cash flow of -$1.40B (-201.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PPL closed FY2025 with $45.24B in total assets against $17.99B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.18, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $9.17B $1.18B $2.63B -$1.40B $45.24B $17.99B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $8.44B $888.0M $2.34B -$465.0M $41.07B $15.95B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.29B $740.0M $1.76B $1.38B $14.75B $3.45B

3. PPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, PPL Corporation (NYSE: PPL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $36.14 (+1.37% 1D, market cap $26.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, PPL ranks #76 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PPL compare to FE and ES in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), PPL carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.2%. By comparison, FE (FirstEnergy Corp.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 5.8%, cap $27.16B) and ES (Eversource Energy (D/B/A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 11.0x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $25.82B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ES leads on earnings multiple (11.0x) while DTE leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PPL?

Per PPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000922224), PPL Corporation generated $9.17B in revenue (+8.6% YoY), $1.18B in net income, and -$1.40B in free cash flow against $45.24B in total assets and $17.99B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PPL last traded at $36.14 (+1.37% on volume of 8,974,633 shares), positioning the stock +5.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($34.14) and +0.19% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.07). Across its 52-week range of $31.56 to $40.11, PPL sits at the 53.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.2% ($34.98 to $37.30).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PPL — PPL Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

PPL Corporation (PPL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $36.14 (+1.37% 1D, market capitalization $26.83B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (4/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 23.2%, and free cash flow yield of -5.23%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 0.70x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.18, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.76x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

PPL Corporation (PPL) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, Electric Utilities: Central industry (per the company profile). The profile identifies the company as a utility operating in this industry with a market capitalization of $26.8B. Revenue of $9.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), PPL Corporation (PPL) reported $9.17B in annual revenue (up from $8.44B in FY2024, +8.6% YoY) and $1.18B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($8.29B revenue, $740.0M net income) through FY2025, PPL scaled operating cash flow to $2.63B and free cash flow to -$1.40B, backed by $45.24B in total assets against $17.99B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -5.23% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $31.56 – $40.11 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 22.7x trailing P/E and 7.9x EV/EBITDA against 23.2% operating margins and a 0.70x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph records a sector of Utilities and industry of Electric Utilities: Central, but no upstream or downstream dependencies, butterfly links, or proprietary signals are provided, so supply-chain ripples and sector correlations cannot be mapped from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can PPL sustain or expand its 23.2% operating margin and 4.2% ROIC against Electric Utilities: Central peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $9.17B and free cash flow of -$1.40B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $17.99B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PPL's 21.1x forward P/E multiple to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.70x)?

PPL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for PPL Corporation (PPL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PPL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PPL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $36.14?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PPL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PPL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $44.56 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a 2.96% dividend yield on a 0.7-beta utility point to a forensically sound, income-oriented profile.

Don't sleep on PPL's setup in Utilities. Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and a 2.96% dividend yield on a 0.7-beta utility point to a forensically sound, income-oriented profile.. Beta of 0.7 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (45/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — PPL's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $28.88 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $35.65

A -5.23% FCF yield and 4.2% ROIC at 22.7x trailing P/E show earnings not converting into free cash flow.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on PPL: A -5.23% FCF yield and 4.2% ROIC at 22.7x trailing P/E show earnings not converting into free cash flow.. At 22.7x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Electric Utilities: Central triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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