MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 22h ago
Japan Post Holdings (TSE:6178) Stock Looks Hard To Call On ReturnsYahoo Finance report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why POST Stock surged +2.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$85.69 +2.97% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.99
Post Holdings Inc. (POST) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $3.66B
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on POST Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is POST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Post Holdings Inc. (NYSE: POST) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $85.69 (+2.97% 1D, market cap $3.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, POST ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does POST compare to FRPT and MZTI in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), POST carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of 28.7%, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, FRPT (Freshpet Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $3.24B) and MZTI (The Marzetti Company) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 20.9%, cap $2.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for POST?
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Per POST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001530950), Post Holdings Inc. generated $8.16B in revenue (+3.0% YoY), $335.7M in net income, and $998.3M in free cash flow against $12.98B in total assets and $7.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.98 (+0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 12.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for POST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY POST SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.2% FCF Margin ($998.3M FCF) & 28.7% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+12/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 60% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 14 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$76.94+1.7% Next Q
40
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$78.26+1.5% Next Q
43
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$79.40+7.9% Next Q
45
CurrentGrade D$85.69-5.6% Hist 90D α
48
Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a POST Turnaround Squeeze
While POST currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($78.51) and Max Pain ($89.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $123.14.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $POST• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “POST Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why POST Stock surged +2.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Post Holdings Inc. (POST) surged +2.97% to $85.69, trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($71.45 – $117.28). Stretched risk/reward at 11x P/E (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 31% of its 52-week range ($71.45 – $117.28) with RSI-14 at 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.5% around $85.69 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 28.7% gross margin and $998.3M annual free cash flow.
Live POST Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTCNBC • 1d ago
Alphabet drags on Nasdaq futures as the stock faces a record post-earnings lossCNBC report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHReuters • 1d ago
European stocks post weekly loss as France turmoil, oil prices dent earnings optimismReuters report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREPittsburgh Post-Gazette • 1d ago
U.S. stocks rise after companies deliver strong profits and oil prices retreatPittsburgh Post-Gazette report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTCassandra Unchained | Michael Burry • 1d ago
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Hong Kong stocks Value Stocks late in a Bull Market, and Consolidating a Big ShortCassandra Unchained | Michael Burry report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RISK WATCHYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Jersey Mike's CEO says the stock is 'undervalued' after post-IPO slumpYahoo Finance report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Stock ForecastsYahoo Finance report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 1d ago
Post-Q3 Earnings: Is SNDL Stock a Portfolio Must-Have?Yahoo Finance report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) vs. VITL and POST: Can Egg Price Recovery and Mean Reversion Unlock CALM’s Undervalued Potential?Is CALM a good stock to buy? We came across a bullish thesis on Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. on Value Don’t Lie’s Substack. Since the thesis was published on August 25th, CALM shares have pulled back as excess egg supply pressu
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
1 cash-producing stock with competitive advantages and 2 we brush offA company that generates cash isn’t automatically a winner. Some businesses stockpile cash but fail to reinvest wisely, limiting their ability to expand.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring POST)
- ✓Walkthrough of POST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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POST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.48%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $81.65H $85.69L $81.65C $85.69VOL 552.5K
RES: $88.14SUP: $68.93SMA50: $78.51SMA200: $91.90
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
POST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
0.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on POST today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for POST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for POST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (POST)
Consumer Staples Rank #80 of 147
⚔️ FRPT vs POST Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (POST vs. FRPT, MZTI, INGR, CPB)
Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Post Holdings Inc. (POST) ranks #80 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #46 by equity capitalization ($3.66B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INGR leads on earnings valuation at 8.3x trailing P/E, while MZTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. FRPT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with POST at 48/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POST
ACTIVE
Post Holdings Inc. | D | 48/100 | 10.7x | 28.7% | 5.9% | +2.97% | $3.66B | Benchmark Subject |
| FRPT Freshpet Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 22.8x | 40.8% | 6.4% | +3.14% | $3.24B | /frpt-vs-post → |
| MZTI The Marzetti Company | C | 65/100 | 17.8x | 23.9% | 20.9% | +1.08% | $2.99B | /mzti-vs-post → |
| INGR Ingredion Incorporated | C | 63/100 | 8.3x | 25.3% | 16.1% | +2.02% | $6.12B | /ingr-vs-post → |
| CPB The Campbell's Company | C | 63/100 | 10.4x | 30.4% | 10.8% | +3.36% | $6.39B | /cpb-vs-post → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001530950 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Post Holdings Inc. (POST) reported GAAP revenue of $8.16B (+3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.92B , and +16.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $335.7M, operating cash flow of $998.3M, and free cash flow of $998.3M (+7.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, POST closed FY2025 with $12.98B in total assets against $7.46B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.38, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $8.16B | $335.7M | $998.3M | $998.3M | $12.98B | $7.46B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $7.92B | $366.7M | $931.7M | $931.7M | $12.82B | $6.94B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $6.99B | $301.3M | $750.3M | $750.3M | — | — |
3. POST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs POST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Post Holdings Inc. (NYSE: POST) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $85.69 (+2.97% 1D, market cap $3.66B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, POST ranks #80 in composite RQD confidence.
How does POST compare to FRPT and MZTI in the Consumer Staples sector?
Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), POST carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of 28.7%, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, FRPT (Freshpet Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 22.8x, ROIC 6.4%, cap $3.24B) and MZTI (The Marzetti Company) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 20.9%, cap $2.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INGR leads on earnings multiple (8.3x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for POST?
Per POST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001530950), Post Holdings Inc. generated $8.16B in revenue (+3.0% YoY), $335.7M in net income, and $998.3M in free cash flow against $12.98B in total assets and $7.46B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is POST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
POST last traded at $85.69 (+2.97% on volume of 819,298 shares), positioning the stock +9.15% above its 50-day simple moving average ($78.51) and -6.76% below its 200-day simple moving average ($91.90). Across its 52-week range of $71.45 to $117.28, POST sits at the 31.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.5% ($80.98 to $90.40).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
POST — Post Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Post Holdings Inc. (POST) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 48/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $85.69 (+2.97% 1D, market capitalization $3.66B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.9%, gross margin of 28.7%, operating margin of 9.8%, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (6/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.38, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 2.16x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Post Holdings Inc. (POST) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Packaged Foods industry (Consumer Staples sector) with an equity market capitalization of $3.66B. The business operates with a gross margin of 28.7%, an operating margin of 9.8%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.9% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Packaged Foods peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Post Holdings Inc. (POST) reported $8.16B in annual revenue (up from $7.92B in FY2024, +3.0% YoY) and $335.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.99B revenue, $301.3M net income) through FY2025, POST scaled operating cash flow to $998.3M and free cash flow to $998.3M, backed by $12.98B in total assets against $7.46B in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 48/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $71.45 – $117.28 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 10.7x trailing P/E and 13.5x EV/EBITDA against 9.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Investors should not infer 2nd-order exposures from the sector label alone, because the source does not map them.
- Key Question #1: Can POST sustain or expand its 9.8% operating margin and 5.9% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.16B and free cash flow of $998.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $7.46B in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is POST's 10.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
POST Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Post Holdings Inc. (POST) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 22h ago
Japan Post Holdings (TSE:6178) Stock Looks Hard To Call On Returns Yahoo Finance report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST CNBC • 1d ago
Alphabet drags on Nasdaq futures as the stock faces a record post-earnings loss CNBC report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Reuters • 1d ago
European stocks post weekly loss as France turmoil, oil prices dent earnings optimism Reuters report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Pittsburgh Post-Gazette • 1d ago
U.S. stocks rise after companies deliver strong profits and oil prices retreat Pittsburgh Post-Gazette report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Cassandra Unchained | Michael Burry • 1d ago
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Hong Kong stocks Value Stocks late in a Bull Market, and Consolidating a Big Short Cassandra Unchained | Michael Burry report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Jersey Mike's CEO says the stock is 'undervalued' after post-IPO slump Yahoo Finance report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) Stock Forecasts Yahoo Finance report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago
Post-Q3 Earnings: Is SNDL Stock a Portfolio Must-Have? Yahoo Finance report covering Post Holdings Inc. (POST) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
POST Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $85.69?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON POST 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $105.69 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate Low earnings multiples (P/E 10.7 TTM, forward P/E 10) against a 52-week range that already includes a $117.28 high leave room for re-ra
Low earnings multiples (P/E 10.7 TTM, forward P/E 10) against a 52-week range that already includes a $117.28 high leave room for re-rating if cash returns improve.. When you look under the hood at POST, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 28.7% gross margins and 5.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (10/20) has been quietly accumulating below $117.28. My 12M target is $105.69.
VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL
@RiskArb_Desk Shorting a 10/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $83.22 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Staples.
RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $66.58 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $83.22 A 0% FCF yield, 5.9% ROIC, Altman Z of 1.38, and Debt/Equity of 2.16 point to a weak cash engine and leveraged balance sheet that the R
Careful chasing POST at $83.22. A 0% FCF yield, 5.9% ROIC, Altman Z of 1.38, and Debt/Equity of 2.16 point to a weak cash engine and leveraged balance sheet that the RQD rating scores as a distribution warning.. Gross margin is 28.7%, but operating margin is 9.8%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $66.58 on multiple compression.