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P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) (PIII) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$4.00 -0.75% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.99

P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) (PIII) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $29.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PIII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PIII) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $4.00 (-0.75% 1D, market cap $29.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, PIII ranks #942 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PIII compare to DCGO and EUDA in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Nursing Services), PIII carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DCGO (DocGo Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $24.4M) and EUDA (EUDA Health Holdings Limited) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $53.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIII leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PIII leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PIII?
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Per PIII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001832511), P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) generated $1.46B in revenue (-2.8% YoY), -$147.9M in net income, and -$91.2M in free cash flow against $656.6M in total assets and $228.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.99 (-0.33%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.2% Base Target
$18 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE PIII RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PIII)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PIII SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 16% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$4.03-1.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$3.97-4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$3.81+5% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$4.00-10.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (32) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PIII Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PIII currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.50) and Max Pain ($4.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.73.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PIII• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PIII Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PIII)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PIII's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PIII // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +40.35%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.20H $4.20L $4.00C $4.00VOL 19.7K
RES: $10.14SUP: $3.31SMA50: $6.50SMA200: $6.55
$17.88$13.77$9.65$5.53$1.41RES $10.14SUP $3.31$4.002026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PIII Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PIII today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PIII. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PIII today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PIII)

Health Care Rank #942 of 1015 ⚔️ DCGO vs PIII Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (PIII vs. DCGO, EUDA, ALPS, CCM)

Industry: Medical/Nursing Services (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) (PIII) ranks #942 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #802 by equity capitalization ($29.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PIII leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PIII leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ALPS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with PIII at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PIII ACTIVE
P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A)
E 24/100 — — -35.0% -0.75% $29.3M Benchmark Subject
DCGO
DocGo Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -13.32% $24.4M /dcgo-vs-piii →
EUDA
EUDA Health Holdings Limited
D- 39/100 — 43.9% -35.0% -12.03% $53.0M /euda-vs-piii →
ALPS
ALPS Group Inc Ordinary Share
D+ 52/100 — — — -0.21% $54.1M /alps-vs-piii →
CCM
Concord Medical Services Holdings Limited (Each represents thirty (30) ) (Class A)
E 22/100 — 5.7% -35.0% +0.56% $15.5M /ccm-vs-piii →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001832511 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) (PIII) reported GAAP revenue of $1.46B (-2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.50B , and +15.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$147.9M, operating cash flow of -$91.2M, and free cash flow of -$91.2M (+17.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, PIII closed FY2025 with $656.6M in total assets against $228.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.46B -$147.9M -$91.2M -$91.2M $656.6M $228.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.50B -$135.8M -$110.1M -$110.1M $783.4M $108.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.27B -$57.8M -$76.0M -$76.0M — —

3. PIII Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PIII stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: PIII) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $4.00 (-0.75% 1D, market cap $29.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, PIII ranks #942 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PIII compare to DCGO and EUDA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Nursing Services), PIII carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DCGO (DocGo Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $24.4M) and EUDA (EUDA Health Holdings Limited) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $53.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PIII leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PIII leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PIII?

Per PIII's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001832511), P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) generated $1.46B in revenue (-2.8% YoY), -$147.9M in net income, and -$91.2M in free cash flow against $656.6M in total assets and $228.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PIII trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PIII last traded at $4.00 (-0.75% on volume of 7,351 shares), positioning the stock -38.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.50) and -38.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.55). Across its 52-week range of $1.52 to $16.89, PIII sits at the 16.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.50 to $4.50).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 24/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

PIII — P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) (PIII) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 24/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $4.00 (-0.75% 1D, market capitalization $29.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -18.5%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) (PIII) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Medical/Nursing Services industry.. — describes its specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond this classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) (PIII) reported $1.46B in annual revenue (up from $1.50B in FY2024, -2.8% YoY) and -$147.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.27B revenue, -$57.8M net income) through FY2025, PIII scaled operating cash flow to -$91.2M and free cash flow to -$91.2M, backed by $656.6M in total assets against $228.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 24/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.52 – $16.89 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -18.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can PIII sustain or expand its -18.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Medical/Nursing Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.46B and free cash flow of -$91.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $228.4M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is PIII's equity valuation to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

PIII Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for P3 Health Partners Inc. (Class A) (PIII) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PIII Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PIII Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $4.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PIII 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PIII:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.84 (+20.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Shares rose 4.22% to $4.20 with a recent Chief Clinical Officer appointment flagged as a catalyst.

Long PIII at $4.03 targeting $4.84. Shares rose 4.22% to $4.20 with a recent Chief Clinical Officer appointment flagged as a catalyst.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.52 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Medical/Nursing Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.26 (-19.1%)
Spot @ $4.03

Negative ROIC of -35%, Altman Z of 0.2, and Piotroski F of 1/9 signal forensic balance-sheet and cash-generation risk.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on PIII: Negative ROIC of -35%, Altman Z of 0.2, and Piotroski F of 1/9 signal forensic balance-sheet and cash-generation risk.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Medical/Nursing Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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