Phunware Inc. (PHUN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.87 +0.54% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.87

Phunware Inc. (PHUN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $38.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PHUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Phunware Inc. (NASDAQ: PHUN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $1.87 (+0.54% 1D, market cap $38.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PHUN ranks #688 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PHUN compare to ODYS and XBP in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), PHUN carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 50.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ODYS (Odysight.ai Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $39.7M) and XBP (XBP Global Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $37.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GMHS leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while PHUN leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PHUN?
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Per PHUN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001665300), Phunware Inc. generated $2.6M in revenue (-19.9% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and -$12.5M in free cash flow against $120.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.87 (-0.09%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (4)Whales (5)SEC (5)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE PHUN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PHUN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY PHUN SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+5/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
30
Grade E$2.03+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
27
Grade E$2.03-6.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
25
Grade E$1.90-1.6% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$1.87-11.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (30) → E (22)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PHUN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PHUN currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.01) and Max Pain ($1.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.69.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PHUN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “PHUN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your PHUN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.87: 5347.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.22
$6,524
$-3,476 (-34.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.57
$8,396
$-1,604 (-16.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.69
$14,385
+$4,385 (+43.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PHUN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of PHUN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
PHUN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.82%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.86H $1.87L $1.86C $1.87VOL 104.8K
RES: $2.14SUP: $1.78SMA50: $2.01SMA200: $1.98
$2.33$2.18$2.04$1.89$1.75RES $2.14SUP $1.78$1.872026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PHUN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -19.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PHUN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PHUN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PHUN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PHUN)

Technology Rank #688 of 714 ⚔️ ODYS vs PHUN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PHUN vs. ODYS, XBP, XTIA, GMHS)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Phunware Inc. (PHUN) ranks #688 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #573 by equity capitalization ($38.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GMHS leads on earnings valuation at 9.8x trailing P/E, while PHUN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 50.6% gross margin. GMHS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with PHUN at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PHUN ACTIVE
Phunware Inc.
E 22/100 — 50.6% -35.0% +0.54% $38.7M Benchmark Subject
ODYS
Odysight.ai Inc.
E 26/100 — 28.9% -35.0% +6.07% $39.7M /odys-vs-phun →
XBP
XBP Global Holdings Inc.
D- 39/100 — — — -10.51% $37.4M /xbp-vs-phun →
XTIA
XTI Aerospace Inc.
E 31/100 — 21.9% -35.0% -5.40% $40.4M /xtia-vs-phun →
GMHS
Gamehaus Holdings Inc. (Class A)
C- 59/100 9.8x 52.7% — -4.91% $37.0M /gmhs-vs-phun →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001665300

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Phunware Inc. (PHUN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.6M (-19.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.2M , and -47.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.4M, operating cash flow of -$12.5M, and free cash flow of -$12.5M (+6.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PHUN closed FY2025 with $120.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.6M -$11.4M -$12.5M -$12.5M $120.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.2M -$10.3M -$13.3M -$13.3M $114.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.8M -$52.8M -$18.4M -$18.4M — —

3. PHUN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PHUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Phunware Inc. (NASDAQ: PHUN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $1.87 (+0.54% 1D, market cap $38.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PHUN ranks #688 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PHUN compare to ODYS and XBP in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), PHUN carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 50.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ODYS (Odysight.ai Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $39.7M) and XBP (XBP Global Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $37.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GMHS leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while PHUN leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PHUN?

Per PHUN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001665300), Phunware Inc. generated $2.6M in revenue (-19.9% YoY), -$11.4M in net income, and -$12.5M in free cash flow against $120.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PHUN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PHUN last traded at $1.87 (+0.54% on volume of 104,766 shares), positioning the stock -6.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.01) and -5.56% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.98). Across its 52-week range of $1.56 to $2.56, PHUN sits at the 31.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($1.74 to $2.00).

PHUN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is PHUN's 12-month stock price target?

Phunware Inc. (PHUN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.57 (-16% from $1.87), with a bull-case target of $2.69 and a bear-case floor of $1.22.

Is PHUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates PHUN E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 22/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 22/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PHUN — Phunware Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:55Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PHUN scores 21 out of 100 for a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 5/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction, which together indicate that the business is not currently converting revenue into cash returns and that insider signals do not offer support. The forensic pillar flags distress-range scoring on both the Altman Z and Piotroski measures. Taken together, the rating frames PHUN as a high-risk name where downside considerations dominate the available evidence. Any upside case would depend on a turnaround that the source data does not show yet.

Business

Per the profile, Phunware Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the EDP Services industry. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond these classifications. Reported revenue across the financial periods (see below) is small relative to operating losses. Per the market data, gross margin is 50.6%, while operating margin is -60%.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2.6M$-20.5M$-11.4MN/A$-12.5M$100.6MN/A
FY 2024$3.2M$-13.9M$-10.3MN/A$-13.3M$113.0MN/A
FY 2023$4.8M$-45.7M$-52.8MN/A$-18.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $4.8M in FY 2023 to $2.6M in FY 2025, and operating losses persisted across all three reported periods. Per the market data, operating margin is -60% and net margin is -60%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash on the reported balance sheet declined from $113.0M in FY 2024 to $100.6M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Per the news feed, multiple headlines (StockInvest.us, Moomoo, Stock Titan, ad-hoc-news.de) carry a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE tag; they are general market-action coverage without specific quantitative content in the source.
  • A Stock Titan item refers to an AI guest assistant launched in January 2026 and a planned itinerary tool to be discussed by the CEO.
  • A Stock Titan item reports that a 9.1% shareholder has nominated a candidate for the board.
  • An ad-hoc-news.de item notes the stock holding at EUR 1.65 in a late Lang & Schwarz quote.
  • The highest-severity item carries a RED light and RISK WATCH tag. Its headline references a Q2 2026 earnings report showing a wider-than-expected loss and an EPS miss of 82% versus estimates, along with a guidance revision trend. The item's summary field contains an unrelated source URL, so its reliability as a summary is limited.
  • Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific products, customers, and revenue drivers behind the decline from $4.8M to $2.6M in reported revenue?
  • What is the source of the FY 2025 cash balance of $100.6M, and what is the burn rate relative to the $-12.5M free cash flow?
  • Is there a debt figure or an EPS figure for any reported period, given that both are N/A in the financials?
  • Do the Q2 2026 earnings and guidance revision described in the RED-flagged headline appear in an official filing, and what are the primary figures?
  • What is the context of the 9.1% shareholder board nomination, and how does it relate to the forensic and cash-engine concerns in the RQD rating?

PHUN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Phunware Inc. (PHUN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to PHUN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PHUN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.87?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PHUN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PHUN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.64 (-11.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PHUN (E • RQD 21/100) a Buy at $1.86?

Welcome to the PHUN (Phunware Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 21/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.49 (-19.9%)
Spot @ $1.86

Pump the brakes on PHUN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PHUN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 50.6% gross margins. Unless Phunware Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.29 (+23.1%)
Spot @ $1.86

PHUN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PHUN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.86 (52-wk range $1.56 - $2.59), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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