Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$51.93 -11.67% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.74

Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $3.13B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PENG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Penguin Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PENG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $51.93 (-11.67% 1D, market cap $3.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PENG ranks #240 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PENG compare to OSIS and IPGP in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), PENG carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.5x, gross margin of 28.8%, and ROIC of 12.4%. By comparison, OSIS (OSI Systems Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 21.9x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $3.14B) and IPGP (IPG Photonics Corporation) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 103.5x, ROIC 0.6%, cap $3.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENPH leads on earnings multiple (19.9x) while PENG leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PENG?
β–Ό

Per PENG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-29, CIK 0001616533), Penguin Solutions Inc. generated $1.37B in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $25.4M in net income, and $100.1M in free cash flow against $1.60B in total assets and $442.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.74 (-2.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$94 Bull$52 Base$41 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE PENG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PENG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY PENG SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.61 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.3% FCF Margin ($100.1M FCF) & 28.8% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (42.8) create a -11 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$67.59-13.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$58.38+4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$60.80-14.6% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$51.93+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (66) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the PENG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, PENG faces multiple-compression risk if 139.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 140x earningsβ€”high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($56.52) or 200D SMA ($44.54) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($51.93) toward Bear Floor ($40.51).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PENGβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œPENG Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

PENG Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (PENG)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on PENG. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PENG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of PENG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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PENG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +60.28%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $58.79H $58.79L $51.93C $51.93VOL 2.45M
RES: $86.36SUP: $51.09SMA50: $56.52SMA200: $44.54
$94.61$74.92$55.22$35.52$15.83RES $86.36SUP $51.09$51.932026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PENG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PENG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PENG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PENG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PENG)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (PENG vs. OSIS, IPGP, ENPH, AMBA)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) ranks #240 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #247 by equity capitalization ($3.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ENPH leads on earnings valuation at 19.9x trailing P/E, while PENG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.4% ROIC and 28.8% gross margin. PENG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
PENG ACTIVE
Penguin Solutions Inc.
D+ 58/100 139.5x 28.8% 12.4% -11.67% $3.13B Benchmark Subject
OSIS
OSI Systems Inc.
D+ 53/100 21.9x 34.3% 11.4% -4.19% $3.14B /osis-vs-peng β†’
IPGP
IPG Photonics Corporation
E 29/100 103.5x 38.0% 0.6% -4.11% $3.09B /ipgp-vs-peng β†’
ENPH
Enphase Energy Inc.
D 44/100 19.9x 46.6% 10.5% -0.81% $3.39B /enph-vs-peng β†’
AMBA
Ambarella Inc.
D 49/100 β€” 59.2% -16.1% -2.26% $2.79B /amba-vs-peng β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-08-29 β€’ CIK 0001616533

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-29), Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) reported GAAP revenue of $1.37B (+16.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.17B , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $25.4M, operating cash flow of $109.1M, and free cash flow of $100.1M (+73.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, PENG closed FY2025 with $1.60B in total assets against $442.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.61, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-29 $1.37B $25.4M $109.1M $100.1M $1.60B $442.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-30 $1.17B -$52.5M $77.2M $57.8M $1.58B $658.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-25 $1.44B -$187.5M $104.4M $39.5M $1.95B $455.8M

3. PENG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PENG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Penguin Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ: PENG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $51.93 (-11.67% 1D, market cap $3.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, PENG ranks #240 in composite RQD confidence.

How does PENG compare to OSIS and IPGP in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), PENG carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 139.5x, gross margin of 28.8%, and ROIC of 12.4%. By comparison, OSIS (OSI Systems Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 21.9x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $3.14B) and IPGP (IPG Photonics Corporation) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E 103.5x, ROIC 0.6%, cap $3.09B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENPH leads on earnings multiple (19.9x) while PENG leads on capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PENG?

Per PENG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-29, CIK 0001616533), Penguin Solutions Inc. generated $1.37B in revenue (+16.9% YoY), $25.4M in net income, and $100.1M in free cash flow against $1.60B in total assets and $442.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is PENG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PENG last traded at $51.93 (-11.67% on volume of 2,448,815 shares), positioning the stock -8.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($56.52) and +16.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($44.54). Across its 52-week range of $16.04 to $89.86, PENG sits at the 48.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($45.44 to $58.42).

PENG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are PENG insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies PENG leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

PENG β€” Penguin Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:15Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, PENG scores 62 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, this reflects ROIC of 12.4% and an FCF yield of 2.83%. The return on invested capital is a constructive signal, while a 2.83% FCF yield indicates the cash generated relative to the market price is modest, which is a valuation tradeoff.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 13 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is mid-range, meaning the institutional signal is present but not decisive.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is below midpoint, suggesting insider-side conviction is a weaker support for the thesis.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, this reflects Beta of 1.3 and sector sensitivity. This is the lowest pillar, indicating the stock's amplified sensitivity to market swings is a meaningful headwind in risk-off regimes.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD pillar detail, this reflects Altman Z of 3.61, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.14. This is the strongest pillar, indicating the balance sheet is a relative source of resilience.

Taken together, the pillar profile describes a balance sheet that is comparatively sound, offset by a stock that carries high market sensitivity and a valuation that the cash-yield metrics do not strongly support. For a prospective investor, the upside drivers are the ROIC and balance-sheet strength; the valuation tradeoff is the elevated P/E and modest FCF yield against a 1.3 beta. This is an analytical framing of the rating, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
58.79$3.54B139.5117.253.50.420%1.3$16.04 - $89.8612.4%

Business

Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and Semiconductors industry, per the company profile. Per the market data, its gross margin is 28.8%, operating margin 4.2%, and net margin 1.9%. Not available in source data: a detailed description of specific products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1368.8M$58.1M$25.4MN/A$100.1M$461.5M$442.3M
FY 2024$1170.8M$18.3M$-52.5MN/A$57.8M$370.3M$658.1M
FY 2023$1441.2M$8.7M$-187.5MN/A$39.5MN/A$455.8M

Per the SEC financials, operating income rose from $8.7M in FY 2023 to $58.1M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $-187.5M to $25.4M over the same span. Per the market data, ROIC is 12.4%, and per the RQD forensic pillar, Altman Z is 3.61 and Piotroski F is 7/9. Per the same pillar, Debt/Equity is 1.14, and reported debt declined from $658.1M in FY 2024 to $442.3M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six headlines reference PENG. Three carry a GREEN "CATALYST" tag and reference an AI-driven beat-and-raise, a strong Q4 beat with guidance, and a blowout Q4; one carries a GREEN tag and references explosive AI growth at a low valuation. Two carry YELLOW "MARKET WIRE" tags: one previewing Q3 earnings expectations, and one reporting strong Q3 results alongside rising inventory levels. The inventory headline is the principal risk watch item, as it flags a working-capital consideration alongside the otherwise favorable earnings coverage. Headline sentiment should be treated as descriptive of coverage rather than verified fact. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific products and customers drive the reported revenue, given that the source data provides only sector and industry classification?
  • What is the source of the inventory increase flagged in the Q3 coverage, and how does it bear on working capital and cash flow?
  • Given the P/E of 139.5 and FCF yield of 2.83%, what growth trajectory is required to justify the current valuation?
  • How does the reported FY 2025 net income of $25.4M reconcile with the EPS of 0.42 (TTM) and the absence of reported EPS in the periodic financials?
  • What is the composition of the 13F institutional holdings and options positioning that underpins the whale-flow pillar?

PENG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Penguin Solutions Inc. (PENG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to PENG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

PENG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $51.93?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON PENG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on PENG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $63.49 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is PENG (C β€’ RQD 62/100) a Buy at $58.79?

Welcome to the PENG (Penguin Solutions Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 62/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (12.4% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (139.5x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $49.38 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $58.79

Pump the brakes on PENG β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on PENG, but look at what you are paying: 139.5x trailing P/E with 28.8% gross margins. Unless Penguin Solutions Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $69.96 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $58.79

PENG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on PENG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $58.79 (52-wk range $16.04 - $89.86), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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