Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / OSW / financials

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OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$30.22 +0.40% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.18

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.03B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OSW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OSW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (NASDAQ: OSW) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $30.22 (+0.40% 1D, market cap $3.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OSW ranks #172 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OSW compare to HGV and PK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), OSW carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, HGV (Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 34.3x, ROIC 6.3%, cap $2.91B) and PK (Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $3.34B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLNT leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while PLNT leads on capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSW?

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Per OSW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001758488), OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited generated $961.0M in revenue (+7.4% YoY), $71.6M in net income, and $83.5M in free cash flow against $707.1M in total assets and $84.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.18 (-0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 8.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OSW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OSW SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.7% FCF Margin ($83.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 12.49 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$24.13-0.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$23.97+4.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$24.95+21.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$30.22+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OSW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, OSW faces multiple-compression risk if 42.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.93) or 200D SMA ($24.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.72) toward Bear Floor ($24.74).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OSW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OSW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How OSW Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$83.5M (8.7% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $794.0M

FY24

Rev $895.0M

FY25

Rev $961.0M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$961.0M	52%	8.5%	$71.6M	$83.5M	10.6%
FY 2024	$895.0M	52%	8.7%	$72.9M	$78.8M	10.4%
FY 2023	$794.0M	52%	6.8%	-$3.0M	$63.4M	10.6%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OSW)

✓Walkthrough of OSW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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OSW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.71%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $30.10H $30.22L $30.10C $30.22VOL 1.74M

RES: $30.79SUP: $20.23SMA50: $23.93SMA200: $24.01

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OSW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OSW Butterfly Map → + Track OSW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

32.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OSW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #172 of 1011 ⚔️ HGV vs OSW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OSW vs. HGV, PK, SHO, PLNT)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) ranks #172 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #357 by equity capitalization ($3.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLNT leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while PLNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.1% ROIC and 82.6% gross margin. PLNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with OSW at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OSW ACTIVE OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited	C+	69/100	42.7x	—	10.6%	+0.40%	$3.03B	Benchmark Subject
HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.	D	51/100	34.3x	—	6.3%	+7.65%	$2.91B	/hgv-vs-osw →
PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-0.9%	-1.31%	$3.34B	/pk-vs-osw →
SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc. Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc.	C+	66/100	—	—	—	-1.16%	$2.38B	/sho-vs-osw →
PLNT Planet Fitness Inc.	B-	70/100	18.4x	82.6%	19.1%	-0.26%	$4.03B	/plnt-vs-osw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001758488

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) reported GAAP revenue of $961.0M (+7.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $895.0M , and +21.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $71.6M, operating cash flow of $83.5M, and free cash flow of $83.5M (+6.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSW closed FY2025 with $707.1M in total assets against $84.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.49, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$961.0M	$71.6M	$83.5M	$83.5M	$707.1M	$84.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$895.0M	$72.9M	$78.8M	$78.8M	$746.4M	$93.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$794.0M	-$3.0M	$63.4M	$63.4M	—	—

3. OSW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OSW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does OSW compare to HGV and PK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSW?

Where is OSW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OSW last traded at $30.22 (+0.40% on volume of 1,735,071 shares), positioning the stock +26.28% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.93) and +25.86% above its 200-day simple moving average ($24.01). Across its 52-week range of $19.06 to $30.76, OSW sits at the 95.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 83.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($28.10 to $32.34).

OSW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), OSW converted $961.0M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 8.5% operating margin, and $83.5M in free cash flow (8.7% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: OSW RQD Cockpit OSW 12M Forecast OSW Earnings & Move OSW Dividends & DRIP OSW Insiders & 13F OSW Whale Options OSW Profit Sankey OSW News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OSW — OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:24:18Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, OSW scores 70 out of 100, a letter grade of B-, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 10.6% and an FCF yield of 2.73%. For a prospective investor, the pillar suggests the business generates returns above a modest threshold, though the FCF yield is low relative to the current price, meaning much of the valuation rests on expected future cash generation rather than cash already being returned.
Whale 13F Flow (15/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F and options detail is not provided in the source data, so the score cannot be decomposed further.
Insider Conviction (11/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate, and the individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
Macro Regime Fit (12/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the market; the score indicates limited regime-specific advantage.
Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z-Score of 12.49, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.15. These figures indicate a balance sheet with low leverage and strong forensic health markers.

For a prospective investor, the rating highlights a fundamentally solid, lowly levered business with institutional support, offset by a richly valued stock (P/E TTM of 42.7) and moderate insider conviction. Upside drivers implied by the data are continued cash generation and institutional interest; the principal valuation tradeoff is that the multiples embed substantial growth expectations. This is an educational reading of the score, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
30.1	$3.06B	42.7	39.7	38.3	0.71	0.57%	1.0	$19.06 - $30.76	10.6%

Business

Per the Profile, OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Hotels/Resorts industry. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Per the SEC financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $961.0M. Per the market data, the operating margin was 8.5% and the net margin was 7.5%.

Open Questions

What is the company's revenue breakdown by product, geography, or customer segment, and what drives the revenue growth observed in FY 2023 through FY 2025?
What were the reported EPS figures for the FY 2023 to FY 2025 periods, which are shown as N/A in the source?
What explains the gross margin of 0% in the market data, and is that figure a data gap or a reporting characteristic?
What is the composition of the institutional 13F accumulation and insider Form 4 transactions underlying the RQD pillar scores?
Why did cash decline from $57.4M to $16.3M while debt also declined, and what capital allocation decisions drove the change?

OSW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OSW Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 3d ago

OneSpaWorld (OSW) Stock Climbs As Q3 Earnings Fuel Guidance Upgrade

OneSpaWorld came into this earnings print already on a tear, with the stock climbing over the past month and then jumping another 7.2% to about $30 after the Q3 2026 release. The headline is simple: Q3 revenue reached ab

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 4d ago

OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) Lifts Outlook And Buybacks As Valuation Looks Full

OneSpaWorld Holdings (OSW) just paired record third quarter 2026 earnings with a higher full year outlook, a new US$100 million share repurchase plan, and a 25% dividend increase that tightens the focus on shareholder re

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 4d ago

TD Cowen Maintains Buy on OneSpaWorld Hldgs, Raises Price Target to $32

TD Cowen analyst Max Rakhlenko maintains OneSpaWorld Hldgs (NASDAQ:OSW) with a Buy and raises the price target from $30 to $32.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Benzinga • 4d ago

Stifel Maintains Buy on OneSpaWorld Hldgs, Raises Price Target to $35

Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski maintains OneSpaWorld Hldgs (NASDAQ:OSW) with a Buy and raises the price target from $32 to $35.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago

OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Moby summary of OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited's Q3 2026 earnings call

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago

Why OneSpaWorld Stock Is Up Today

Shareholders have larger cash payments headed their way.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago

OneSpaWorld: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

An asset-light model generating reliable free cash flow allows management to fund shareholder returns while reducing debt.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago

OneSpaWorld (OSW) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Revenue hit $276.5 million with 22 consecutive quarters of growth.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OSW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $30.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OSW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $35.52 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OSW (B- • RQD 70/100) a Buy at $30.10?

Welcome to the OSW (OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (42.7x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $24.68 (-18.0%)

Spot @ $30.10

Pump the brakes on OSW — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OSW, but look at what you are paying: 42.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $37.93 (+26.0%)

Spot @ $30.10

OSW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OSW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $30.10 (52-wk range $19.06 - $30.76), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.