Oshkosh Defense report covering Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why OSK Stock surged +3.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is OSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (NYSE: OSK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $139.94 (+3.45% 1D, market cap $8.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OSK ranks #256 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does OSK compare to NIO and VFS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), OSK carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.4x, gross margin of 17.5%, and ROIC of 14.4%. By comparison, NIO (NIO Inc. American) holds a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.32B) and VFS (VinFast Auto Ltd.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OSK leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while FSS leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSK?
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Per OSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000775158), Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) generated $10.42B in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $0 in net income, and $618.0M in free cash flow against $10.07B in total assets and $1.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.9% FCF Margin ($618.0M FCF) & 17.5% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51) create a -11 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OSK Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, OSK faces multiple-compression risk if 11.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($138.99) or 200D SMA ($146.24) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($143.72) toward Bear Floor ($112.10).
Why OSK Stock surged +3.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) surged +3.45% to $139.94, trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($116.77 – $180.49). Solid 18% profit margin (14% return on capital), mixed timing at 11x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($116.77 – $180.49) with RSI-14 at 51 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.1% around $139.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 17.5% gross margin and $618.0M annual free cash flow.
OSHKOSH, Wis., November 02, 2026--Oshkosh Defense, an Oshkosh Corporation [NYSE: OSK] company, and Grid Aero, a Silicon Valley-based autonomous aircraft company, today announced a strategic partnership to bring cutting-e
Collaboration Pairs Silicon Valley Innovation with Midwest Manufacturing Excellence to Deliver Advanced Autonomous Logistics CapabilitiesOshkosh Defense, an Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK) company, and Grid Aero, a
Specialty vehicles contractor Oshkosh (NYSE:OSK) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q3 2026, but sales rose 5.7% year on year to $2.84 billion. The company’s full-year revenue guidance of $11 billion at t
Oshkosh just dropped its Q3 2026 scorecard and the trading floor liked the headline. The stock closed at US$139.94, up 3.5% on the day, as investors latched onto raised free cash flow guidance of US$600 million to US$700
JP Morgan analyst Tami Zakaria maintains Oshkosh (NYSE:OSK) with a Neutral and raises the price target from $132 to $145.
Truist Securities analyst Jamie Cook reiterates Oshkosh (NYSE:OSK) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $174 to $161.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Oshkosh (NYSE:OSK) reported third-quarter 2026 sales of $2.8 billion, up 5.7% from a year earlier, while adjusted earnings per share of $2.41 fell short of the company’s expectations as fire truck production challenges w
2026-10-30. The following slide deck was published by Oshkosh Corporation in conjunction with their 2026 Q3 earnings call.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OSK Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
OSK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -2.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSK today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSK)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OSK vs. NIO, VFS, XPEV, FSS)
Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) ranks #256 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #192 by equity capitalization ($8.35B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OSK leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while FSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 28.9% gross margin. FSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with OSK at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OSK
ACTIVE
Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) | C | 64/100 | 11.4x | 17.5% | 14.4% | +3.45% | $8.35B | Benchmark Subject |
| NIO NIO Inc. American | E | 17/100 | — | 13.6% | -35.0% | -3.31% | $8.32B | /nio-vs-osk → |
| VFS VinFast Auto Ltd. | D- | 36/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -4.94% | $8.05B | /vfs-vs-osk → |
| XPEV XPeng Inc. American | D+ | 52/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -1.52% | $8.80B | /xpev-vs-osk → |
| FSS Federal Signal Corporation | C+ | 66/100 | 28.5x | 28.9% | 15.5% | -2.20% | $7.03B | /fss-vs-osk → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000775158In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) reported GAAP revenue of $10.42B (-2.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $10.73B , and +7.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $783.4M, and free cash flow of $618.0M (+129.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSK closed FY2025 with $10.07B in total assets against $1.10B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.36, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $10.42B | $0 | $783.4M | $618.0M | $10.07B | $1.10B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $10.73B | $0 | $550.1M | $269.1M | $9.42B | $599.5M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $9.66B | $0 | $599.6M | $165.0M | $11.59B | $2.71B |
3. OSK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OSK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (NYSE: OSK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $139.94 (+3.45% 1D, market cap $8.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OSK ranks #256 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OSK compare to NIO and VFS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), OSK carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.4x, gross margin of 17.5%, and ROIC of 14.4%. By comparison, NIO (NIO Inc. American) holds a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.32B) and VFS (VinFast Auto Ltd.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.05B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OSK leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while FSS leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSK?
Per OSK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000775158), Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) generated $10.42B in revenue (-2.9% YoY), $0 in net income, and $618.0M in free cash flow against $10.07B in total assets and $1.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OSK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OSK last traded at $139.94 (+3.45% on volume of 1,326,434 shares), positioning the stock +0.68% above its 50-day simple moving average ($138.99) and -4.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($146.24). Across its 52-week range of $116.77 to $180.49, OSK sits at the 36.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($130.00 to $149.88).
OSK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OSK stock moving today?
Why OSK Stock surged +3.45% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 18% profit margin (14% return on capital), mixed timing at 11x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
OSK — Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, OSK scores 64 out of 100, earning a letter grade of C and the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 16 of 20 (ROIC 14.4%; FCF yield 7.4%), Whale 13F Flow at 9 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 17 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9 of 20 (Beta 1.05; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 of 20 (Altman Z 3.36; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.24).
For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is insider conviction, which is the highest-weighted reading in the rating, alongside a cash engine that the rating credits with a 7.4% FCF yield. The weakest pillars are whale 13F flow and macro regime fit, each at 9 of 20, indicating that institutional positioning and sector sensitivity are not supportive in the rating's framework. The balance sheet scores moderately well, with leverage described by a 0.24 Debt/Equity ratio and an Altman Z of 3.36. Upside drivers in this framework are the cash generation and insider activity; valuation tradeoffs sit against a moderate macro-sensitivity profile. The overall verdict is balanced rather than decisive, which suggests the rating does not view the risk-reward as clearly favorable at the current price.
Snapshot
Business
Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) common stock trades on the NYSE under the ticker OSK. Per the profile, the company operates in the Consumer Discretionary sector within the Auto Manufacturing industry. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model beyond this classification. Market capitalization is reported at $8.4B in the profile and $8.35B in market data.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $10422.3M | $939.5M | $0.0M | N/A | $618.0M | $479.8M | $1100.3M |
| FY 2024 | $10730.2M | $1010.7M | $0.0M | N/A | $269.1M | $204.9M | $599.5M |
| FY 2023 | $9657.9M | $837.6M | $0.0M | N/A | $165.0M | N/A | $2711.9M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue moved from $9657.9M in FY 2023 to $10730.2M in FY 2024 and then to $10422.3M in FY 2025, while operating income ran $837.6M, $1010.7M, and $939.5M across the same periods. Per the market data, gross margin is 17.5%, operating margin 9%, and net margin 7%, with ROIC at 14.4%. The Altman Z-Score is 3.36 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 9, both per the RQD rating. Debt declined from $2711.9M in FY 2023 to $599.5M in FY 2024 before rising to $1100.3M in FY 2025, and FY 2025 FCF of $618.0M is the highest of the three reported periods.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, the single headline is "Oshkosh Defense Begins Production of First DXPV Prototype for Netherlands Ministry of Defence," attributed to Oshkosh Defense, published one hour before the data timestamp, and flagged with a yellow light and a "MARKET WIRE" impact label. The summary is generic and provides no quantified impact. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain dependencies or proprietary signals are recorded for OSK.
Open Questions
- What products and end markets generate OSK's revenue, and how is that mix reflected in the reported segments?
- Why are net income and EPS reported as $0.0M and N/A across all three periods, while operating income is positive?
- What is the source of the FY 2023 cash gap, and what drove the swing in debt from $2711.9M to $599.5M and back to $1100.3M?
- What is the scope and size of the Netherlands defense prototype program relative to total company revenue?
- What is the current analyst consensus, price target range, and institutional or insider ownership breakdown?
OSK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Oshkosh Defense report covering Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) (OSK) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
OSHKOSH, Wis., November 02, 2026--Oshkosh Defense, an Oshkosh Corporation [NYSE: OSK] company, and Grid Aero, a Silicon Valley-based autonomous aircraft company, today announced a strategic partnership to bring cutting-e
Collaboration Pairs Silicon Valley Innovation with Midwest Manufacturing Excellence to Deliver Advanced Autonomous Logistics CapabilitiesOshkosh Defense, an Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE:OSK) company, and Grid Aero, a
Specialty vehicles contractor Oshkosh (NYSE:OSK) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q3 2026, but sales rose 5.7% year on year to $2.84 billion. The company’s full-year revenue guidance of $11 billion at t
Oshkosh just dropped its Q3 2026 scorecard and the trading floor liked the headline. The stock closed at US$139.94, up 3.5% on the day, as investors latched onto raised free cash flow guidance of US$600 million to US$700
JP Morgan analyst Tami Zakaria maintains Oshkosh (NYSE:OSK) with a Neutral and raises the price target from $132 to $145.
Truist Securities analyst Jamie Cook reiterates Oshkosh (NYSE:OSK) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $174 to $161.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
OSK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $139.94?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OSK (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $135.27?
Welcome to the OSK (Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Auto Manufacturing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.4% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on OSK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OSK, but look at what you are paying: 11.4x trailing P/E with 17.5% gross margins. Unless Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
OSK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OSK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $135.27 (52-wk range $116.77 - $180.49), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.