O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
As of 2026-11-02, O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ: ORLY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $88.12 (+0.06% 1D, market cap $71.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ORLY ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto & Home Supply Stores), ORLY carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.1x, gross margin of 51.6%, and ROIC of 48.0%. By comparison, AZO (AutoZone Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 55.8%, cap $50.49B) and AAP (Advance Auto Parts Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 62.8x, ROIC -1.4%, cap $2.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AZO leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while AZO leads on capital efficiency (55.8% ROIC).
Per ORLY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000898173), O'Reilly Automotive Inc. generated $17.78B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $2.54B in net income, and $1.59B in free cash flow against $16.54B in total assets and $6.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 6.81 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9% FCF Margin ($1.59B FCF) & 51.6% Gross Margin
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.6) create a -10 pt regime headwind
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, ORLY faces multiple-compression risk if 28.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($87.12) or 200D SMA ($90.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($91.69) toward Bear Floor ($71.52).
O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) advanced +0.06% to $88.12, trading at 28% of its 52-week range ($82.59 – $102.46). Solid 52% profit margin (48% return on capital), mixed timing at 28x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Yahoo Finance report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
O'Reilly Automotive (NASDAQ:ORLY) has outperformed the market over the past 10 years by 3.85% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 17.57%. Currently, O'Reilly Automotive has a market
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) reported stronger-than-expected comparable-store sales in Q3, but weaker
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ORLY today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ORLY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) ranks #192 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #35 by equity capitalization ($71.25B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AZO leads on earnings valuation at 20.2x trailing P/E, while AZO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 55.8% ROIC and 52.6% gross margin. ORLY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORLY
ACTIVE
O'Reilly Automotive Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 28.1x | 51.6% | 48.0% | +0.06% | $71.25B | Benchmark Subject |
| AZO AutoZone Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 20.2x | 52.6% | 55.8% | +1.05% | $50.49B | /azo-vs-orly → |
| AAP Advance Auto Parts Inc. | E | 28/100 | 62.8x | 43.4% | -1.4% | -1.36% | $2.76B | /aap-vs-orly → |
| HZO MarineMax Inc. (FL) | D | 51/100 | — | 32.5% | 2.4% | +0.32% | $1.16B | /hzo-vs-orly → |
| ONEW OneWater Marine Inc. (Class A) | E | 31/100 | — | 22.8% | -11.2% | +0.63% | $159.7M | /onew-vs-orly → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) reported GAAP revenue of $17.78B (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $16.71B , and +12.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.54B, operating cash flow of $2.76B, and free cash flow of $1.59B (-21.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ORLY closed FY2025 with $16.54B in total assets against $6.02B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.81, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $17.78B | $2.54B | $2.76B | $1.59B | $16.54B | $6.02B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $16.71B | $2.39B | $3.05B | $2.03B | $14.89B | $5.52B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $15.81B | $2.35B | $3.03B | $2.32B | $39.18B | $9.17B |
As of 2026-11-02, O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ: ORLY) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $88.12 (+0.06% 1D, market cap $71.25B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ORLY ranks #192 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto & Home Supply Stores), ORLY carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.1x, gross margin of 51.6%, and ROIC of 48.0%. By comparison, AZO (AutoZone Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 20.2x, ROIC 55.8%, cap $50.49B) and AAP (Advance Auto Parts Inc.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 62.8x, ROIC -1.4%, cap $2.76B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AZO leads on earnings multiple (20.2x) while AZO leads on capital efficiency (55.8% ROIC).
Per ORLY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000898173), O'Reilly Automotive Inc. generated $17.78B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), $2.54B in net income, and $1.59B in free cash flow against $16.54B in total assets and $6.02B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
ORLY last traded at $88.12 (+0.06% on volume of 10,386,829 shares), positioning the stock +1.15% above its 50-day simple moving average ($87.12) and -2.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.47). Across its 52-week range of $82.59 to $102.46, ORLY sits at the 27.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($83.89 to $92.35).
Why ORLY Stock advanced +0.06% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 52% profit margin (48% return on capital), mixed timing at 28x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ORLY scores 67 and receives a letter grade of C+, with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are scored as follows:
Investor implications: The upside case rests on the cash engine and balance sheet quality. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: P/E (TTM) of 28.1 and forward P/E of 26.1 sit well above the 2.24% FCF yield, so returns depend on continued earnings growth and multiple stability. The weaker pillars (whale flow and macro fit) suggest the rating is a balanced Hold rather than a directional call. The "Watch for Breakout" label indicates the rating frames this as a name to monitor for a change in institutional or macro signals.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31) | $17782.0M | $3460.6M | $2538.2M | N/A | $1593.2M | $193.8M | $6016.9M |
| FY 2024 (filed 2024-12-31) | $16708.5M | $3251.2M | $2386.7M | N/A | $2026.2M | $130.2M | $5520.9M |
| FY 2023 (filed 2023-12-31) | $15812.2M | $3186.4M | $2346.6M | N/A | $2322.5M | N/A | $9169.3M |
Per the market data, gross margin is 51.6%, operating margin 19.5%, and net margin 14.3%, with ROIC of 48%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 6.81 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.85. Reported revenue and operating income rose across the three periods shown, while FCF declined from $2322.5M to $1593.2M. Debt was $9169.3M in FY 2023, $5520.9M in FY 2024, and $6016.9M in FY 2025.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the ORLY (O'Reilly Automotive Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Auto & Home Supply Stores. Bulls point to capital efficiency (48.0% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ORLY, but look at what you are paying: 28.1x trailing P/E with 51.6% gross margins. Unless O'Reilly Automotive Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ORLY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto & Home Supply Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $88.07 (52-wk range $82.59 - $102.46), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
To protect compute speed and zero-delay Cboe BZX data quality for active members, our current $9.95/month Roarable Pro cohort is 100% full. Join the priority waiting list below and we will notify you the moment the next batch of Pro accounts opens (and lock in your $9.95/mo rate).
Link your personal ChatGPT, Claude Desktop, or Cursor via Roarable's Model Context Protocol (`mcp.roarable.com`) to query all 5,289 stocks, inspect Butterfly supply chains, and trade your `$100K Arena` account.
Interrogate SEC 10-K/10-Q filings on demand and ask custom ticker, valuation, or short-thesis questions directly to any of our 8 specialized AI Quant Analysts.
Command our AI agents to sort and sift 5,289 stocks by custom formulas, follow multi-indicator technical & cash-flow setups, and send you instant Email/SMS breakout & downgrade alerts.
Unlock sub-second Cboe BZX streaming quotes, pre-market/after-hours delta scanners, instant SEC Form 4 insider cluster alerts, and unlimited portfolio stress-testing.
All 8 Roarable Analysts (Mara Quenwick, Devon Kess, Gideon Vane, Eliott Vance, Sorel Thorne, Corin Hale, Tessa Rane, and Felix Orven) are proprietary AI Quant Analysts and automated algorithmic specialists — not human financial advisors, fiduciaries, or registered broker-dealers. While one-to-many daily stock ratings and briefings are free, custom 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alert agents, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections consume dedicated per-user compute and require a $9.95/month Roarable Pro membership. All AI outputs are for educational and research purposes only and never constitute individualized investment advice.
Enter your Google email below for instant 1-step account activation, daily A–E stock rating alerts, and immediate access to your $100,000.00 Virtual Cash Arena account (100% free — no credit card required).