Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A) (OPY) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$83.77 -2.82% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.19

Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A) (OPY) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $923.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OPY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: OPY) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $83.77 (-2.82% 1D, market cap $923.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OPY ranks #426 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OPY compare to NAVI and TIGR in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), OPY carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.6%. By comparison, NAVI (Navient Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $872.2M) and TIGR (UP Fintech Holding Ltd representing fifteen (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $691.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPY leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while OPY leads on capital efficiency (17.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPY?
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Per OPY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000791963), Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $1.42B in revenue (+15.9% YoY), $148.4M in net income, and $183.6M in free cash flow against $3.72B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.18 (-0.70%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 12.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$132 Bull$84 Base$66 Bear
📬 FREE OPY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OPY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OPY SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.9% FCF Margin ($183.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$106.95-5.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$100.66+4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$104.98-20.2% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$83.77+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OPY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, OPY faces multiple-compression risk if 7.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($113.09) or 200D SMA ($102.75) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($84.15) toward Bear Floor ($65.64).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OPY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OPY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
36.730 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE32% OF RANGE
L: $64$83.77H: $126
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on OPY

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (85)

17.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 15.88% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (48)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OPY
  • ✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OPY Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OPY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.02%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $107.9H $107.9L $83.77C $83.77VOL 265.0K
RES: $128.6SUP: $82.53SMA50: $113.1SMA200: $102.8
$129.1$115.6$102.1$88.55$75.02RES $128.6SUP $82.53$83.772026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OPY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OPY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OPY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OPY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OPY)

Financials Rank #426 of 1096 ⚔️ NAVI vs OPY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OPY vs. NAVI, TIGR, UROY, TOP)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A) (OPY) ranks #426 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #569 by equity capitalization ($923.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPY leads on earnings valuation at 7.8x trailing P/E, while OPY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.6% ROIC and — gross margin. OPY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OPY ACTIVE
Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A)
C- 59/100 7.8x — 17.6% -2.82% $923.0M Benchmark Subject
NAVI
Navient Holdings Inc.
D+ 55/100 — — — -3.23% $872.2M /navi-vs-opy →
TIGR
UP Fintech Holding Ltd representing fifteen (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — +1.03% $691.6M /tigr-vs-opy →
UROY
Uranium Royalty Corp.
D+ 53/100 32.5x — — -2.98% $1.26B /uroy-vs-opy →
TOP
TOP Financial Group Limited (Class A)
D 50/100 — — — -2.25% $1.37B /top-vs-opy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000791963

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A) (OPY) reported GAAP revenue of $1.42B (+15.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.23B , and +32.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $148.4M, operating cash flow of $188.8M, and free cash flow of $183.6M (+262.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, OPY closed FY2025 with $3.72B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.42B $148.4M $188.8M $183.6M $3.72B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.23B $71.6M -$108.2M -$113.3M $3.38B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.07B $30.2M -$18.8M -$18.8M — —

3. OPY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OPY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: OPY) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $83.77 (-2.82% 1D, market cap $923.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OPY ranks #426 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OPY compare to NAVI and TIGR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), OPY carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.6%. By comparison, NAVI (Navient Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $872.2M) and TIGR (UP Fintech Holding Ltd representing fifteen (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $691.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPY leads on earnings multiple (7.8x) while OPY leads on capital efficiency (17.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPY?

Per OPY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000791963), Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $1.42B in revenue (+15.9% YoY), $148.4M in net income, and $183.6M in free cash flow against $3.72B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OPY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OPY last traded at $83.77 (-2.82% on volume of 132,635 shares), positioning the stock -25.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($113.09) and -18.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($102.75). Across its 52-week range of $63.81 to $125.88, OPY sits at the 32.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($74.89 to $92.65).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OPY — Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:29Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

OPY scores 69 out of 100, earning a C+ and the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of 17.6% and an FCF yield of 15.88%. For a prospective investor, these are the strongest inputs in the rating, indicating high capital efficiency and substantial cash generation relative to the market value cited in the source.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. this reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity to broad moves.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. this reflects an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5. These are moderate readings, neither a clear strength nor a clear warning.

Investor implications: the valuation metrics in the market data (forward P/E of 6.6 and EV/EBITDA of 5.2) are low, which the source frames as a possible upside driver if earnings hold; the tradeoff is that low multiples can also reflect perceived risk that the RQD pillars do not fully resolve. The 52-week range of $63.81 to $125.88 against a current price of $107.94 shows the stock has moved widely within the year. The rating's "Watch for Breakout" label signals that the source views the setup as a monitoring case rather than a confirmed signal.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. The profile does not provide a description of its product lines, client base, or revenue-generation mechanics. —

Revenue rose from $1.07B (FY 2023) to $1.42B (FY 2025), and net income rose from $30.2M to $148.4M over the same span. Per the market data, the net margin is 10.4% and the operating margin is 14.8%. ROIC is 17.6%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5. FCF was negative in FY 2024 and FY 2023 and positive in FY 2025.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Low forward P/E of 6.6 and 15.88% FCF yield paired with 17.6% ROIC suggest strong cash generation relative to the market price. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 (ROIC 17.6%, FCF yield 15.88%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $63.81 – $125.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Q3 revenue of $382M was down 10% year over year, and the whale-flow pillar scored only 9 of 20, signaling weak institutional conviction. Investors must weigh 7.8x trailing P/E and 5.2x EV/EBITDA against 14.8% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (Financials), OPY carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: What are the company's revenue segments and client base, given that the profile contains no business description?
  • Key Question #2: What are the reported EPS, total debt, and gross-margin figures in the SEC financials, given that EPS and Debt are listed as N/A and gross margin as 0%?
  • Key Question #3: What drove the Q3 2026 revenue decline of 10% year over year, and how does it relate to the record-asset and compensation-cost headlines?

OPY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Oppenheimer Holdings Inc. (Class A) (OPY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OPY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OPY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $83.77?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OPY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OPY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $113.78 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low forward P/E of 6.6 and 15.88% FCF yield paired with 17.6% ROIC suggest strong cash generation relative to the market price.

Long OPY at $86.20 targeting $113.78. Low forward P/E of 6.6 and 15.88% FCF yield paired with 17.6% ROIC suggest strong cash generation relative to the market price.. Institutional whale score is 4/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $63.81 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 7.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $69.82 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $86.20

Q3 revenue of $382M was down 10% year over year, and the whale-flow pillar scored only 9 of 20, signaling weak institutional conviction

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on OPY: Q3 revenue of $382M was down 10% year over year, and the whale-flow pillar scored only 9 of 20, signaling weak institutional conviction.. At 7.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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