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GTY (59) BXDC (46) EFC (34) NMRK (57) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.80 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.80

Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.75B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OPEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Opendoor Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: OPEN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.80 (0.00% 1D, market cap $1.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OPEN ranks #949 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OPEN compare to GTY and BXDC in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), OPEN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.88B) and BXDC (Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFC leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while NMRK leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPEN?
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Per OPEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001801169), Opendoor Technologies Inc generated $4.37B in revenue (-15.2% YoY), -$1.30B in net income, and $1.04B in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.80 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 23.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (11)Macro (6)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$10 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE OPEN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OPEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OPEN SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.7% FCF Margin ($1.04B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$2.11-2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$2.06-7.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$1.91-5.8% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$1.80-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OPEN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OPEN currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.49) and Max Pain ($1.89) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OPEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OPEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

OPEN Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (OPEN)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on OPEN. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OPEN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OPEN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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OPEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -64.91%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.90H $1.90L $1.80C $1.80VOL 31.96M
RES: $5.02SUP: $1.72SMA50: $2.49SMA200: $4.16
$6.43$5.16$3.90$2.63$1.37RES $5.02SUP $1.72$1.802026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OPEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OPEN Butterfly Map → + Track OPEN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -15.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OPEN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OPEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OPEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OPEN)

Financials Rank #949 of 1096 ⚔️ GTY vs OPEN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OPEN vs. GTY, BXDC, EFC, NMRK)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) ranks #949 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #449 by equity capitalization ($1.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EFC leads on earnings valuation at 10.1x trailing P/E, while NMRK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.7% ROIC and — gross margin. GTY currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with OPEN at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OPEN ACTIVE
Opendoor Technologies Inc
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% 0.00% $1.75B Benchmark Subject
GTY
Getty Realty Corporation
C- 59/100 23.8x — 9.4% +2.00% $1.88B /gty-vs-open →
BXDC
Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.
D 46/100 — — — +0.44% $1.59B /bxdc-vs-open →
EFC
Ellington Financial Inc.
E 34/100 10.1x — 8.2% +1.14% $1.47B /efc-vs-open →
NMRK
Newmark Group Inc. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 16.3x — 9.7% +4.51% $2.09B /nmrk-vs-open →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001801169

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) reported GAAP revenue of $4.37B (-15.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.15B , and -37.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.30B, operating cash flow of $1.05B, and free cash flow of $1.04B (+267.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, OPEN closed FY2025 with $2.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.37B -$1.30B $1.05B $1.04B $2.41B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.15B -$392.0M -$595.0M -$620.0M $3.13B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $6.95B -$275.0M $2.34B $2.34B — —

3. OPEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OPEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Opendoor Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: OPEN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.80 (0.00% 1D, market cap $1.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OPEN ranks #949 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OPEN compare to GTY and BXDC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), OPEN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 23.8x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.88B) and BXDC (Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EFC leads on earnings multiple (10.1x) while NMRK leads on capital efficiency (9.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OPEN?

Per OPEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001801169), Opendoor Technologies Inc generated $4.37B in revenue (-15.2% YoY), -$1.30B in net income, and $1.04B in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OPEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OPEN last traded at $1.80 (0.00% on volume of 31,545,006 shares), positioning the stock -27.71% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.49) and -56.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.16). Across its 52-week range of $1.76 to $9.45, OPEN sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.57 to $2.03).

Direct Sub-Reports: OPEN RQD Cockpit OPEN 12M Forecast OPEN Earnings & Move OPEN Dividends & DRIP OPEN Insiders & 13F OPEN Whale Options OPEN Profit Sankey OPEN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OPEN — Opendoor Technologies Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.80 (0.00% 1D, market capitalization $1.75B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -6.6%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector and Real Estate industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) reported $4.37B in annual revenue (up from $5.15B in FY2024, -15.2% YoY) and -$1.30B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($6.95B revenue, -$275.0M net income) through FY2025, OPEN scaled operating cash flow to $1.05B and free cash flow to $1.04B, backed by $2.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.76 – $9.45 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -6.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or proprietary signals are recorded. — The news feed references RKT and SMR in a shared 52-week-low headline, which is the only cross-ticker reference in the source material.

  • Key Question #1: Can OPEN sustain or expand its -6.6% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.37B and free cash flow of $1.04B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OPEN's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OPEN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OPEN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OPEN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.80?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OPEN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OPEN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.23 (+23.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Price rebounded from a record low, with a news report citing two catalysts that could drive the next move.

Here is why I am bullish on OPEN here at $1.80: Price rebounded from a record low, with a news report citing two catalysts that could drive the next move.. Compare OPEN's -6.6% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $1.71 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Real Estate. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.39 (-22.8%)
Spot @ $1.80

Negative operating income in each reported year, ROIC of -35%, and an RQD score of 37 flagged as a Roarable Sell.

Negative operating income in each reported year, ROIC of -35%, and an RQD score of 37 flagged as a Roarable Sell.. Look at the math on OPEN: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -6.6% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Real Estate demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $1.58 before getting long.

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