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Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$12.10 +7.08% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.23

Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $26.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OMEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (NASDAQ: OMEX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $12.10 (+7.08% 1D, market cap $26.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OMEX ranks #490 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OMEX compare to USEA and EHLD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), OMEX carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, USEA (United Maritime Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $24.4M) and EHLD (Euroholdings Ltd.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 33.1%, cap $33.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OMEX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EHLD leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OMEX?
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Per OMEX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000798528), Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. generated $37.6M in revenue (+11.9% YoY), -$43.1M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $15.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.23 (+1.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Cash (8)Whales (14)SEC (10)Macro (16)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$14 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE OMEX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OMEX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OMEX SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 89% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 84.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$0.67-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$0.64-12.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$0.56+2060.7% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$12.10-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OMEX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OMEX currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.39) and Max Pain ($12.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OMEX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OMEX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your OMEX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $12.10: 826.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $9.23
$7,628
$-2,372 (-23.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $11.83
$9,777
$-223 (-2.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $14.23
$11,760
+$1,760 (+17.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OMEX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OMEX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OMEX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +952.17%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $13.14H $13.14L $11.30C $12.10VOL 85.1K
RES: $0.99SUP: $0.47SMA50: $1.39SMA200: $1.22
$14.46$10.67$6.88$3.09$-0.70RES $0.99SUP $0.47$12.102026-05-042026-06-172026-08-032026-09-162026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OMEX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OMEX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OMEX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OMEX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OMEX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #490 of 1009 ⚔️ USEA vs OMEX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OMEX vs. USEA, EHLD, PSHG, CTRM)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) ranks #490 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #869 by equity capitalization ($26.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OMEX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EHLD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.1% ROIC and — gross margin. EHLD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with OMEX at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OMEX ACTIVE
Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — -35.0% +7.08% $26.5M Benchmark Subject
USEA
United Maritime Corporation
D 48/100 — — -0.5% -2.34% $24.4M /usea-vs-omex →
EHLD
Euroholdings Ltd.
C 65/100 — — 33.1% -4.69% $33.7M /ehld-vs-omex →
PSHG
Performance Shipping Inc.
D 51/100 — — 14.9% -6.13% $20.3M /pshg-vs-omex →
CTRM
Castor Maritime Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -3.9% -0.69% $14.0M /ctrm-vs-omex →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000798528 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) reported GAAP revenue of $37.6M (+11.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $33.6M , and +403108.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$43.1M, operating cash flow of -$8.8M, and free cash flow of -$8.9M (-1688.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OMEX closed FY2025 with $15.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $37.6M -$43.1M -$8.8M -$8.9M $15.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $33.6M $15.7M $642.3K $558.0K $18.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $9.3K $5.3M -$10.2M -$10.2M — —

3. OMEX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OMEX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (NASDAQ: OMEX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $12.10 (+7.08% 1D, market cap $26.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OMEX ranks #490 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OMEX compare to USEA and EHLD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), OMEX carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, USEA (United Maritime Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $24.4M) and EHLD (Euroholdings Ltd.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 33.1%, cap $33.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OMEX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EHLD leads on capital efficiency (33.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OMEX?

Per OMEX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000798528), Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. generated $37.6M in revenue (+11.9% YoY), -$43.1M in net income, and -$8.9M in free cash flow against $15.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OMEX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OMEX last traded at $12.10 (+7.08% on volume of 28,260 shares), positioning the stock +770.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.39) and +891.80% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.22). Across its 52-week range of $0.48 to $13.55, OMEX sits at the 88.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 84.7 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($10.59 to $13.61).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OMEX — Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $12.10 (+7.08% 1D, market capitalization $26.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (16/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) is listed on NASDAQ and classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry per the company profile. The profile describes the company as a NASDAQ-listed issuer in this industry. The reported revenue for the periods shown is — in each year.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) reported $37.6M in annual revenue (up from $33.6M in FY2024, +11.9% YoY) and -$43.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($9.3K revenue, $5.3M net income) through FY2025, OMEX scaled operating cash flow to -$8.8M and free cash flow to -$8.9M, backed by $15.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.48 – $13.55 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector information available is the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry from the profile. The proposed merger referenced in the news wire is the most visible potential ripple, but its counterparties' operations and dependencies are not described in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can OMEX sustain or expand its — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $37.6M and free cash flow of -$8.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OMEX's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OMEX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc. (OMEX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OMEX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OMEX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.10?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OMEX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OMEX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.56 (+20.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional whale flow (14 of 20) and a macro regime fit (15 of 20) are the strongest pillars, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 and an

Long OMEX at $11.30 targeting $13.56. Institutional whale flow (14 of 20) and a macro regime fit (15 of 20) are the strongest pillars, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 and an Altman Z-Score of 2.5 offering some balance-sheet support.. Institutional whale score is 14/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $2.04 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $11.30 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.38 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $11.30

ROIC of -35%, 0% FCF yield, a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and insider conviction of 5 of 20 indicate weak cash generation and little insi

Fading this rally in OMEX at $11.30. ROIC of -35%, 0% FCF yield, a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and insider conviction of 5 of 20 indicate weak cash generation and little insider support.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $11.30 (52-wk range $2.04–$13.55), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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