StockInvest.us report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why OLMA Stock dropped -4.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is OLMA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: OLMA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $7.00 (-4.50% 1D, market cap $641.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, OLMA ranks #804 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does OLMA compare to BCAX and ABUS in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), OLMA carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -32.8%. By comparison, BCAX (Bicara Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $643.9M) and ABUS (Arbutus Biopharma Corporation) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $656.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLMA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LXRX leads on capital efficiency (-31.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLMA?
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Per OLMA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001750284), Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$162.5M in net income, and -$146.7M in free cash flow against $533.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OLMA Turnaround Squeeze
While OLMA currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.77) and Max Pain ($7.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $38.07.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why OLMA Stock dropped -4.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) dropped -4.50% to $7.00, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($6.24 – $36.26). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-33% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($6.24 – $36.26) with RSI-14 at 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $7.00 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
TradingView report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
AstraZeneca, Roche, Puma Biotechnology and Olema Oncology offer breast cancer treatment opportunities, with drug sales growth, pipeline advances and clinical milestones shaping prospects.
AZN, RHHBY, PBYI and OLMA offer exposure to breast cancer drug sales growth, expanded treatment approvals and clinical milestones that could shape prospects.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OLMA)
- ✓Walkthrough of OLMA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
OLMA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OLMA today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OLMA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OLMA)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (OLMA vs. BCAX, ABUS, LXRX, IMMX)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) ranks #804 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #414 by equity capitalization ($641.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OLMA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LXRX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -31.5% ROIC and 96.0% gross margin. OLMA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 31/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLMA
ACTIVE
Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | — | -32.8% | -4.50% | $641.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| BCAX Bicara Therapeutics Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -6.17% | $643.9M | /bcax-vs-olma → |
| ABUS Arbutus Biopharma Corporation | E | 18/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -1.64% | $656.0M | /abus-vs-olma → |
| LXRX Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc. | E | 27/100 | — | 96.0% | -31.5% | -4.05% | $658.5M | /lxrx-vs-olma → |
| IMMX Immix Biopharma Inc. | E | 29/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.76% | $661.6M | /immx-vs-olma → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001750284In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$162.5M, operating cash flow of -$146.7M, and free cash flow of -$146.7M (-40.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, OLMA closed FY2025 with $533.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$162.5M | -$146.7M | -$146.7M | $533.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$129.5M | -$104.4M | -$104.5M | $451.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$96.7M | -$83.7M | -$83.7M | — | — |
3. OLMA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OLMA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: OLMA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $7.00 (-4.50% 1D, market cap $641.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, OLMA ranks #804 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OLMA compare to BCAX and ABUS in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), OLMA carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -32.8%. By comparison, BCAX (Bicara Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $643.9M) and ABUS (Arbutus Biopharma Corporation) posts a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $656.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OLMA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LXRX leads on capital efficiency (-31.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OLMA?
Per OLMA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001750284), Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$162.5M in net income, and -$146.7M in free cash flow against $533.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OLMA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OLMA last traded at $7.00 (-4.50% on volume of 751,366 shares), positioning the stock -20.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.77) and -49.71% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.92). Across its 52-week range of $6.24 to $36.26, OLMA sits at the 2.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.12 to $7.88).
OLMA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is OLMA stock moving today?
Why OLMA Stock dropped -4.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-33% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
OLMA — Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, OLMA scores 31 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -32.8% and FCF yield is -22.88%. For a prospective investor, these figures indicate the business is currently consuming capital rather than generating it, so the valuation rests on future outcomes not yet visible in reported cash flows.
- Whale 13F Flow: 5 / 20. The RQD rating summarizes this pillar as institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying holder detail is not provided in this dataset (see Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership), so the score can be noted but not independently traced.
- Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the lowest-scoring pillar, which indicates weak insider signaling in the provided data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market, offering no defensive cushion.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Piotroski score is weak, and the balance sheet pillar is the highest-scoring of the five but still sits at half its maximum.
Taken together, the pillars point to a company with heavy operating losses, weak insider and cash-flow signals, and a forensic profile that the rating treats as high risk. Upside would depend on factors outside the reported financials, such as future clinical or commercial developments, which this dataset does not describe. Valuation tradeoffs are significant: at a market cap of $641.4M with negative cash flow, the stock's value is highly sensitive to future funding needs and the timing of any revenue inflection.
Business
Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, reported revenue is $0.0M in each of the listed periods, so the source data does not show a commercial revenue stream.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $-178.7M | $-162.5M | N/A | $-146.7M | $48.3M | N/A |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $-142.3M | $-129.5M | N/A | $-104.5M | $139.5M | N/A |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $-105.0M | $-96.7M | N/A | $-83.7M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses across all three periods, widening from $-105.0M in FY 2023 to $-178.7M in FY 2025. Gross, operating, and net margins are each listed as 0% in the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -32.8%, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9. Cash declined from $139.5M in FY 2024 to $48.3M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, and debt is not available in source data.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire contains six headlines, all tagged to OLMA and all rated YELLOW by the source feed. Headlines reference a StockInvest.us price forecast, a TradingView estimates report, a MarketBeat report noting a 3.4% price rise, a MarketBeat report citing a consensus price target of $40.60, a Benzinga pre-market mover list, and a MarketBeat report noting a 7.4% share rise. The summaries are generic and do not describe specific clinical, regulatory, or financing events. The headlines provide no verifiable catalyst details beyond these market-action references. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Watch item: the consensus target cited in a headline ($40.60) is well above the $7.33 price, but the analyst data section is empty, so the target cannot be verified.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the Health Care sector classification and the beta of 1.0.
Open Questions
- What are the company's commercial products or pipeline stage, and is there any path to revenue given $0.0M reported in each period?
- What is the company's current cash runway, since cash fell from $139.5M to $48.3M in one year against a $-146.7M FCF?
- What is the debt position, given debt is listed as N/A for every period?
- What drove the 52-week decline from $36.26 to $6.24, and is that reflected in the rating's forensic inputs?
- Who are the institutional and insider holders behind the whale and insider pillar scores, given no holder data is provided?
OLMA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
StockInvest.us report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OLMA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
OLMA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.00?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OLMA (E • RQD 31/100) a Buy at $7.33?
Welcome to the OLMA (Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on OLMA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OLMA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
OLMA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OLMA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.33 (52-wk range $6.24 - $36.26), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.