Why OKE Stock advanced +1.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$97.07 +1.31% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.11

ONEOK Inc. (OKE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $60.41B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, ONEOK Inc. (NYSE: OKE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $97.07 (+1.31% 1D, market cap $60.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OKE ranks #69 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OKE compare to CVE and OXY in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OKE carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $60.24B) and OXY (Occidental Petroleum Corporation) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 26.9x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $62.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OKE?
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Per OKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001039684), ONEOK Inc. generated $33.63B in revenue (+55.0% YoY), $3.39B in net income, and $2.45B in free cash flow against $66.64B in total assets and $30.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $97.12 (+0.05%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (17)SEC (12)Macro (11)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$118 Bull$100 Base$78 Bear
📬 FREE OKE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OKE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OKE SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 17.1% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$93.38-0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$92.85+3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$96.01+1.1% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$97.07+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OKE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, OKE faces multiple-compression risk if 17.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 28.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($92.93) or 200D SMA ($88.95) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($99.69) toward Bear Floor ($77.76).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OKE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OKE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why OKE Stock advanced +1.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

ONEOK Inc. (OKE) advanced +1.31% to $97.07, trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($64.02 – $99.85). Solid 31% profit margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 18x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 92% of its 52-week range ($64.02 – $99.85) with RSI-14 at 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.9% around $97.07 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 30.5% gross margin and $2.4B annual free cash flow.
Live OKE Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OKE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OKE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.11%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $94.54H $97.07L $94.54C $97.07VOL 3.23M
RES: $97.55SUP: $84.49SMA50: $92.93SMA200: $88.95
$101.4$94.92$88.43$81.94$75.44RES $97.55SUP $84.49$97.072026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OKE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
10.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +55.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OKE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OKE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OKE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OKE)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (OKE vs. CVE, OXY, FANG, DVN)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ONEOK Inc. (OKE) ranks #69 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #30 by equity capitalization ($60.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OKE leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while DVN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DVN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with OKE at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OKE ACTIVE
ONEOK Inc.
C 64/100 17.8x 30.5% 8.5% +1.31% $60.41B Benchmark Subject
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc
C+ 68/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.87% $60.24B /cve-vs-oke →
OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation
C+ 67/100 26.9x — 4.3% +1.57% $62.99B /oxy-vs-oke →
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc.
C+ 68/100 37.4x — 2.0% +2.74% $57.81B /fang-vs-oke →
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation
B+ 80/100 21.3x — 11.8% +1.92% $56.29B /dvn-vs-oke →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001039684

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ONEOK Inc. (OKE) reported GAAP revenue of $33.63B (+55.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $21.70B , and +90.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.39B, operating cash flow of $5.60B, and free cash flow of $2.45B (-14.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, OKE closed FY2025 with $66.64B in total assets against $30.75B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.94, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $33.63B $3.39B $5.60B $2.45B $66.64B $30.75B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $21.70B $3.04B $4.89B $2.87B $64.07B $31.02B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $17.68B $2.66B $4.42B $3.63B $33.23B $7.77B

3. OKE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OKE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, ONEOK Inc. (NYSE: OKE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $97.07 (+1.31% 1D, market cap $60.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, OKE ranks #69 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OKE compare to CVE and OXY in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), OKE carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 30.5%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $60.24B) and OXY (Occidental Petroleum Corporation) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 26.9x, ROIC 4.3%, cap $62.99B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OKE leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while DVN leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OKE?

Per OKE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001039684), ONEOK Inc. generated $33.63B in revenue (+55.0% YoY), $3.39B in net income, and $2.45B in free cash flow against $66.64B in total assets and $30.75B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OKE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OKE last traded at $97.07 (+1.31% on volume of 4,047,761 shares), positioning the stock +4.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($92.93) and +9.13% above its 200-day simple moving average ($88.95). Across its 52-week range of $64.02 to $99.85, OKE sits at the 92.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($92.31 to $101.83).

OKE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is OKE stock moving today?

Why OKE Stock advanced +1.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 31% profit margin (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 18x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

OKE — ONEOK Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ONEOK Inc. scores 64 out of 100, earning a letter grade of C and the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. This is the weakest pillar and is anchored by ROIC of 8.5% and an FCF yield of 4.05%. For a prospective investor, this suggests the business generates a moderate return on invested capital and a modest free-cash yield relative to the current price, which limits the valuation support available from cash generation alone.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 17 / 20. This is the strongest pillar, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Investors may read this as evidence of sustained professional interest, though the source data does not itemize the specific holders or trade sizes behind the score.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores well. The underlying filings are not itemized in the source data, so the score should be treated as a summary rather than a verified transaction list.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. With a beta of 1.05 and sector sensitivity noted, the stock tracks broad market movement closely. Investors should expect returns to move roughly in line with the market, with exposure to energy-sector cycles.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.94, the Piotroski F-Score is 6 out of 9, and Debt/Equity is 1.37. A Z-Score near 1.94 and leverage at 1.37 times equity point to meaningful balance-sheet sensitivity, while the Piotroski reading indicates moderate financial-health signals.

Taken together, the pillar profile describes a stock whose institutional and insider support is stronger than its cash-generation and balance-sheet metrics. Upside drivers are the flow-based pillars; valuation tradeoffs center on a modest FCF yield and elevated leverage; the macro pillar suggests market-correlated volatility. The rating is a Hold, meaning the risk-reward is characterized as balanced rather than compelling in either direction. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
95.82$60.41B17.81510.85.384.28%1.05$64.02 - $99.858.5%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items are tagged to OKE:

  • RISK WATCH (RED): A Yahoo Finance report titled around OKE stock falling amid a market uptick.
  • CATALYST (GREEN): A Seeking Alpha report stating the market has already priced in the company's stable business and growth prospects.
  • CATALYST (GREEN): A Yahoo Finance report on OKE gaining as the market dips.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance report questioning whether OKE is cheap at 14 times next year's earnings.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance report on an institutional fund adding OKE as U.S. energy demand rises.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance earnings preview expecting Q3 earnings to decline.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Cross-referencing the news feed, the Q3 earnings-decline preview and the market-price-already-reflects-growth commentary are the key items that a prospective investor should weigh against the RISK WATCH flag.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's EPS for the reported fiscal years? The financials list EPS as N/A for all three periods.
  • What drove the rise in debt from $7774.7M in FY 2023 to $30755.0M in FY 2025, and how is it being serviced?
  • What specific segments and customers generate the reported revenue, and what share is commodity-linked?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders are behind the 13F and Form 4 flow scores, and at what sizes?
  • Why did reported FCF decline year over year while net income increased?

OKE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ONEOK Inc. (OKE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OKE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OKE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $97.07?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OKE 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OKE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $103.49 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is OKE (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $95.82?

Welcome to the OKE (ONEOK Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Oil & Gas Production. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $76.66 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $95.82

Pump the brakes on OKE — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on OKE, but look at what you are paying: 17.8x trailing P/E with 30.5% gross margins. Unless ONEOK Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $122.65 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $95.82

OKE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on OKE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil & Gas Production and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $95.82 (52-wk range $64.02 - $99.85), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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