MARKET WIRESimply Wall St • 21h ago
OIO Group (Nasdaq:OIO) - Stock AnalysisSimply Wall St report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why OIO Stock slipped -1.05% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.88 -1.05% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.87
OIO Group (OIO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $661.2M
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OIO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is OIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, OIO Group (NASDAQ: OIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.88 (-1.05% 1D, market cap $661.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, OIO ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does OIO compare to CWST and QRHC in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), OIO carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CWST (Casella Waste Systems Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.94B) and QRHC (Quest Resource Holding Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.3%, cap $23.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWX leads on earnings multiple (30.7x) while GFL leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OIO?
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For OIO Group (OIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #58 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.87 (-0.38%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OIO SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.5% FCF Margin ($18.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$1.71+4.1% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$1.78+0% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$1.78+5.6% Next Q
47
CurrentGrade D$1.88-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OIO Turnaround Squeeze
While OIO currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.81) and Max Pain ($1.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $12.60.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why OIO Stock slipped -1.05% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
OIO Group (OIO) slipped -1.05% to $1.88, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($1.36 – $12). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($1.36 – $12) with RSI-14 at 53.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.88 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $18.5M annual free cash flow.
Live OIO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREMoomoo • 1d ago
OIO (KUX) Share Price, News, QuotesMoomoo report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
OIO Group (OIO) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo FinanceYahoo! Finance Canada report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREhttps://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago
OIO Group (OIO) Climbs 7.06% to $1.82, Pressing Toward $1.91 Resistance - Sector ETF Flowhttps://www.siam.in/ report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryYahoo! Finance Canada report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSThttps://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago
OIO Group (OIO) Shares Rally 6.67% to $1.76 as Buyers Reclaim Near-Term Ground - Gap Up Stockshttps://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREKalkine • 1d ago
oOh!media Receives New Zealand OIO Consent, Satisfying Key Scheme ConditionKalkine report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREStock Titan • 1d ago
ICICI BANK LTD Current Report (Foreign Issuer) | IBN SEC Filing - Form 6-KStock Titan report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OIO)
- ✓Walkthrough of OIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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OIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.62%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $1.89H $1.90L $1.88C $1.88VOL 103.9K
RES: $3.18SUP: $1.22SMA50: $1.81SMA200: $4.50
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
OIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OIO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OIO)
Utilities Rank #58 of 117
⚔️ CWST vs OIO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (OIO vs. CWST, QRHC, GFL, AWX)
Industry: Environmental Services (13 Tracked Issuers)Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OIO Group (OIO) ranks #58 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #83 by equity capitalization ($661.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AWX leads on earnings valuation at 30.7x trailing P/E, while GFL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. GFL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with OIO at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OIO
ACTIVE
OIO Group | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -1.05% | $661.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| CWST Casella Waste Systems Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | 33.8% | 2.4% | +4.89% | $5.94B | /cwst-vs-oio → |
| QRHC Quest Resource Holding Corporation | E | 30/100 | — | 17.0% | -12.3% | -0.92% | $23.0M | /qrhc-vs-oio → |
| GFL GFL Environmental Inc. Subordinate voting shares no par value | B | 72/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +1.70% | $19.71B | /gfl-vs-oio → |
| AWX Avalon Holdings Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 30.7x | 19.5% | 2.6% | -2.32% | $10.1M | /awx-vs-oio → |
2. OIO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTOIO Group (OIO) operates in Environmental Services (Utilities) with an equity capitalization of $661.2M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. OIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs OIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, OIO Group (NASDAQ: OIO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.88 (-1.05% 1D, market cap $661.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, OIO ranks #58 in composite RQD confidence.
How does OIO compare to CWST and QRHC in the Utilities sector?
Within the Utilities sector (Environmental Services), OIO carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CWST (Casella Waste Systems Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.4%, cap $5.94B) and QRHC (Quest Resource Holding Corporation) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.3%, cap $23.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWX leads on earnings multiple (30.7x) while GFL leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OIO?
For OIO Group (OIO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #58 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is OIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
OIO last traded at $1.88 (-1.05% on volume of 104,200 shares), positioning the stock +3.87% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.81) and -58.22% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.50). Across its 52-week range of $1.36 to $12.00, OIO sits at the 4.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.65 to $2.11).
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D)
✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED
OIO — OIO Group: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
OIO Group (OIO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.88 (-1.05% 1D, market capitalization $661.2M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (6/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (9/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, Environmental Services industry. — for product detail, customer base, or revenue model.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 6/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 6/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.36 – $12.00 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
No supply-chain dependencies are recorded (supply chain: NONE, butterfly links: none, proprietary signals: none). A prospective investor should watch for disclosures on customers, suppliers, and sector peers, none of which are present here.
- Key Question #1: Can OIO sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Environmental Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $12.00 52-week high?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is OIO's equity valuation to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
OIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for OIO Group (OIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 21h ago
OIO Group (Nasdaq:OIO) - Stock Analysis Simply Wall St report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Moomoo • 1d ago
OIO (KUX) Share Price, News, Quotes Moomoo report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
OIO Group (OIO) Seasonal Returns Chart - Yahoo Finance Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 1d ago
OIO Group (OIO) Climbs 7.06% to $1.82, Pressing Toward $1.91 Resistance - Sector ETF Flow https://www.siam.in/ report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Hongli Group Inc. (HLP) Stock Price, News, Quote & History Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST https://www.dars.gov.et/ • 1d ago
OIO Group (OIO) Shares Rally 6.67% to $1.76 as Buyers Reclaim Near-Term Ground - Gap Up Stocks https://www.dars.gov.et/ report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Kalkine • 1d ago
oOh!media Receives New Zealand OIO Consent, Satisfying Key Scheme Condition Kalkine report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago
ICICI BANK LTD Current Report (Foreign Issuer) | IBN SEC Filing - Form 6-K Stock Titan report covering OIO Group (OIO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
OIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.88?
🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OIO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $2.49 (+31.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate Forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, a relatively stable base for the stock.
Don't sleep on OIO's setup in Utilities. Forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, a relatively stable base for the stock.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (50/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL
Both sides have a point here — OIO's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.
SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $1.56 (-17.9%)
Spot @ $1.90 ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0% show no measurable return or cash generation supporting the $1.89 price.
Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short OIO above $1.90. ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0% show no measurable return or cash generation supporting the $1.89 price.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $12.00.