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Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. (OHI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$47.00 +0.04% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.91

Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. (OHI) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $14.24B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OHI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OHI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. (NYSE: OHI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $47.00 (+0.04% 1D, market cap $14.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, OHI ranks #193 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OHI compare to NLY and WY in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), OHI carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.0%. By comparison, NLY (Annaly Capital Management Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 7.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $14.36B) and WY (Weyerhaeuser Company) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 43.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $14.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NLY leads on earnings multiple (7.1x) while REG leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OHI?
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Per OHI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000888491), Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. generated $1.19B in revenue (+13.2% YoY), $609.5K in net income, and $825.0M in free cash flow against $10.05B in total assets and $2.07B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.92 (-0.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 69.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+
Cash (14)Whales (12)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$57 Bull$49 Base$38 Bear
📬 FREE OHI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OHI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OHI SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 69.3% FCF Margin ($825.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (56.7) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$45.09-1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$44.45+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$45.64+3% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$47.00+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OHI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, OHI faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.16) or 200D SMA ($46.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.69) toward Bear Floor ($37.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OHI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OHI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your OHI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $47.00: 212.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $37.98
$8,081
$-1,919 (-19.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $48.69
$10,360
+$360 (+3.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $57.45
$12,223
+$2,223 (+22.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$5174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$5469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$4358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OHI Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OHI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.71%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $46.84H $47.00L $46.84C $47.00VOL 2.33M
RES: $47.39SUP: $42.50SMA50: $46.16SMA200: $46.65
$53.04$50.36$47.68$45.00$42.32RES $47.39SUP $42.50$47.002026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OHI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OHI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OHI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OHI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OHI)

Financials Rank #193 of 1097 ⚔️ NLY vs OHI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OHI vs. NLY, WY, WPC, REG)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. (OHI) ranks #193 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #148 by equity capitalization ($14.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NLY leads on earnings valuation at 7.1x trailing P/E, while REG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and — gross margin. OHI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OHI ACTIVE
Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.
C+ 66/100 — — 0.0% +0.04% $14.24B Benchmark Subject
NLY
Annaly Capital Management Inc.
D 49/100 7.1x — 4.0% +1.43% $14.36B /nly-vs-ohi →
WY
Weyerhaeuser Company
D 48/100 43.9x — 4.1% +4.62% $14.67B /wy-vs-ohi →
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
C- 60/100 32.0x — 3.7% +1.01% $14.75B /wpc-vs-ohi →
REG
Regency Centers Corporation
C 64/100 26.0x — 11.4% +1.33% $13.66B /reg-vs-ohi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000888491 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. (OHI) reported GAAP revenue of $1.19B (+13.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.05B , and +25.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $609.5K, operating cash flow of $878.6M, and free cash flow of $825.0M (+17.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, OHI closed FY2025 with $10.05B in total assets against $2.07B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.19B $609.5K $878.6M $825.0M $10.05B $2.07B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.05B $417.8K $749.4M $702.1M $9.90B $2.33B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $949.7M $248.8K $617.7M $575.0M $7.81B $1.83B

3. OHI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OHI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. (NYSE: OHI) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $47.00 (+0.04% 1D, market cap $14.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, OHI ranks #193 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OHI compare to NLY and WY in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), OHI carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.0%. By comparison, NLY (Annaly Capital Management Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 7.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $14.36B) and WY (Weyerhaeuser Company) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 43.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $14.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NLY leads on earnings multiple (7.1x) while REG leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OHI?

Per OHI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000888491), Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. generated $1.19B in revenue (+13.2% YoY), $609.5K in net income, and $825.0M in free cash flow against $10.05B in total assets and $2.07B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OHI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OHI last traded at $47.00 (+0.04% on volume of 2,115,974 shares), positioning the stock +1.82% above its 50-day simple moving average ($46.16) and +0.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($46.65). Across its 52-week range of $40.86 to $52.39, OHI sits at the 53.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($44.98 to $49.02).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OHI — Omega Healthcare Investors Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. (OHI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $47.00 (+0.04% 1D, market capitalization $14.24B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 0.1%, and free cash flow yield of 5.81%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.08x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. (OHI) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, within the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry. Reported revenue of $1.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. (OHI) reported $1.19B in annual revenue (up from $1.05B in FY2024, +13.2% YoY) and $609.5K in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($949.7M revenue, $248.8K net income) through FY2025, OHI scaled operating cash flow to $878.6M and free cash flow to $825.0M, backed by $10.05B in total assets against $2.07B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 5.81% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $40.86 – $52.39 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation and 95.0x EV/EBITDA against 0.1% operating margins and a 1.08x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), OHI carries a macro regime beta of 1.08 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can OHI sustain or expand its 0.1% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.19B and free cash flow of $825.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.07B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OHI's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.08x)?

OHI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. (OHI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OHI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OHI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $47.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OHI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OHI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $56.85 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong free cash flow ($825.0M in FY 2025) and a 5.5% dividend yield, backed by a perfect 9 of 9 Piotroski F-Score and a 0.5 Debt/Equit

Strong free cash flow ($825.0M in FY 2025) and a 5.5% dividend yield, backed by a perfect 9 of 9 Piotroski F-Score and a 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio.. When you look under the hood at OHI, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (12/20) has been quietly accumulating below $52.39. My 12M target is $56.85.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 66/100 quality, though with 1.08 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $46.98 and keeping dry powder in case we test $43.69.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.58 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $46.98

Reported operating and net income were under $1M in FY 2025 against a $90 Million Florida facility transfer expense, with ROIC at 0% an

Reported operating and net income were under $1M in FY 2025 against a $90 Million Florida facility transfer expense, with ROIC at 0% and EV/EBITDA at 95.. Look at the math on OHI: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Real Estate Investment Trusts demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $41.34 before getting long.

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