ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / OESX / options
PCLA (59) SKYX (22) EFOI (36) LYTS (52) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$19.93 -2.99% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.78

Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $84.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OESX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OESX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Orion Energy Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: OESX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $19.93 (-2.99% 1D, market cap $84.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OESX ranks #881 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OESX compare to PCLA and SKYX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Building Products), OESX carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 32.6%, and ROIC of -8.0%. By comparison, PCLA (PicoCELA Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $78.7M) and SKYX (SKYX Platforms Corp.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $107.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LYTS leads on earnings multiple (31.6x) while OESX leads on capital efficiency (-8.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OESX?
▼

Per OESX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001409375), Orion Energy Systems Inc. generated $86.3M in revenue (+8.3% YoY), -$3.2M in net income, and -$1.2M in free cash flow against $48.3M in total assets and $9.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.78 (-0.73%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.6% Base Target
$33 Bull$17 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE OESX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OESX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY OESX SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 50% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$24.80-13.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$21.49-6.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$20.05-0.6% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$19.93-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a OESX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While OESX currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($25.40) and Max Pain ($20.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OESX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “OESX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 30%NO 70%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±11.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (OESX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for OESX.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

🏆 Enter Free $100K Paper Arena →
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring OESX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of OESX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
OESX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +117.81%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $20.40H $20.54L $19.93C $19.93VOL 24.8K
RES: $40.61SUP: $11.69SMA50: $25.40SMA200: $15.01
$33.26$26.57$19.88$13.19$6.50RES $40.61SUP $11.69$19.932026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OESX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OESX Butterfly Map → + Track OESX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OESX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OESX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OESX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OESX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #881 of 1011 ⚔️ PCLA vs OESX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (OESX vs. PCLA, SKYX, EFOI, LYTS)

Industry: Building Products (12 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) ranks #881 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #764 by equity capitalization ($84.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LYTS leads on earnings valuation at 31.6x trailing P/E, while OESX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.0% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. PCLA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with OESX at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OESX ACTIVE
Orion Energy Systems Inc.
E 30/100 — 32.6% -8.0% -2.99% $84.0M Benchmark Subject
PCLA
PicoCELA Inc.
C- 59/100 — — — -3.17% $78.7M /pcla-vs-oesx →
SKYX
SKYX Platforms Corp.
E 22/100 — 30.3% -35.0% -3.49% $107.5M /skyx-vs-oesx →
EFOI
Energy Focus Inc.
D- 36/100 — 18.9% -26.6% +0.74% $25.9M /efoi-vs-oesx →
LYTS
LSI Industries Inc.
D+ 52/100 31.6x 24.7% — +4.05% $746.1M /lyts-vs-oesx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001409375

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) reported GAAP revenue of $86.3M (+8.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $79.7M , and -4.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.2M, operating cash flow of -$1.1M, and free cash flow of -$1.2M (-332.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, OESX closed FY2025 with $48.3M in total assets against $9.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $86.3M -$3.2M -$1.1M -$1.2M $48.3M $9.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $79.7M -$13.6M $599.0K $500.0K $52.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $90.6M -$15.7M -$10.1M -$10.1M — —

3. OESX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OESX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Orion Energy Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: OESX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $19.93 (-2.99% 1D, market cap $84.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, OESX ranks #881 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OESX compare to PCLA and SKYX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Building Products), OESX carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 32.6%, and ROIC of -8.0%. By comparison, PCLA (PicoCELA Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $78.7M) and SKYX (SKYX Platforms Corp.) posts a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $107.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LYTS leads on earnings multiple (31.6x) while OESX leads on capital efficiency (-8.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OESX?

Per OESX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001409375), Orion Energy Systems Inc. generated $86.3M in revenue (+8.3% YoY), -$3.2M in net income, and -$1.2M in free cash flow against $48.3M in total assets and $9.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OESX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OESX last traded at $19.93 (-2.99% on volume of 32,295 shares), positioning the stock -21.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.40) and +32.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.01). Across its 52-week range of $8.35 to $31.65, OESX sits at the 49.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($17.58 to $22.28).

Direct Sub-Reports: OESX RQD Cockpit OESX 12M Forecast OESX Earnings & Move OESX Dividends & DRIP OESX Insiders & 13F OESX Whale Options OESX Profit Sankey OESX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 30/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

OESX — Orion Energy Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 30/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $19.93 (-2.99% 1D, market capitalization $84.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -8.0%, gross margin of 32.6%, operating margin of -1.9%, and free cash flow yield of -1.39%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.76x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Orion Energy Systems Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Building Products industry. FY 2025 revenue was $86.3M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) reported $86.3M in annual revenue (up from $79.7M in FY2024, +8.3% YoY) and -$3.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($90.6M revenue, -$15.7M net income) through FY2025, OESX scaled operating cash flow to -$1.1M and free cash flow to -$1.2M, backed by $48.3M in total assets against $9.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 30/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.39% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.35 – $31.65 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -1.9% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— no upstream or downstream links, sector correlations, or bottleneck signals are recorded.

  • Key Question #1: Can OESX sustain or expand its -1.9% operating margin and -8.0% ROIC against Building Products peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $86.3M and free cash flow of -$1.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $9.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is OESX's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

OESX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Orion Energy Systems Inc. (OESX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to OESX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

OESX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.93?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON OESX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on OESX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.47 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock is up 1.98% on the day and trades well above its $8.35 52-week low, with a beta of 1.0 and a macro-regime pillar score of 10/

Here is why I am bullish on OESX here at $20.54: The stock is up 1.98% on the day and trades well above its $8.35 52-week low, with a beta of 1.0 and a macro-regime pillar score of 10/20.. Compare OESX's -1.9% operating margin and -8.0% ROIC against the rest of Building Products. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $19.51 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $20.54 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.43 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $20.54

With ROIC at -8%, FCF yield at -1.39%, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, the Roarable RQD rating carries a 30/E Strong Sell verdict on fore

I respect the product at Orion Energy Systems Inc., but the stock at $20.54 is a different story. With ROIC at -8%, FCF yield at -1.39%, and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, the Roarable RQD rating carries a 30/E Strong Sell verdict on forensic risk.. FCF yield is -1.39% and RQD sits at 30/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%