Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why ODFL Stock advanced +0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is ODFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (NASDAQ: ODFL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $172.56 (+0.12% 1D, market cap $35.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ODFL ranks #68 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does ODFL compare to JBHT and ZTO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), ODFL carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 25.5%. By comparison, JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 34.6x, ROIC 15.8%, cap $20.70B) and ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $15.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ODFL leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ODFL?
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Per ODFL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000878927), Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $1.02B in net income, and $1.37B in free cash flow against $5.47B in total assets and $20.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27.4% FCF Margin ($1.37B FCF) & 0% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 22.23 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ODFL Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, ODFL faces multiple-compression risk if 34.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($182.29) or 200D SMA ($201.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($179.55) toward Bear Floor ($140.05).
Why ODFL Stock advanced +0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) advanced +0.12% to $172.56, trading at 37% of its 52-week range ($126.01 – $252.03). Solid steady margins (26% return on capital), mixed timing at 35x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 37% of its 52-week range ($126.01 – $252.03) with RSI-14 at 36.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $172.56 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 0% gross margin and $1.4B annual free cash flow.
TradingKey report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Old Dominion Freight Line's third quarter was shaped by margin expansion and higher revenue, yet the market responded negatively to the results. Management attributed the quarter’s performance to effective pricing discip
JP Morgan analyst Brian Ossenbeck maintains Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ:ODFL) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $232 to $216.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ODFL Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
ODFL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ODFL today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ODFL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ODFL)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ODFL vs. JBHT, ZTO, UPS, KNX)
Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) ranks #68 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #45 by equity capitalization ($35.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZTO leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while ODFL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.5% ROIC and — gross margin. UPS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with ODFL at 67/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODFL
ACTIVE
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. | C+ | 67/100 | 34.9x | — | 25.5% | +0.12% | $35.74B | Benchmark Subject |
| JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 34.6x | — | 15.8% | -0.44% | $20.70B | /jbht-vs-odfl → |
| ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American | C | 65/100 | 11.8x | 25.0% | 12.5% | +1.36% | $15.31B | /zto-vs-odfl → |
| UPS United Parcel Service Inc. | B | 75/100 | 16.4x | — | 24.8% | +0.86% | $91.31B | /ups-vs-odfl → |
| KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. | D | 48/100 | 150.9x | — | 1.9% | -0.62% | $9.95B | /knx-vs-odfl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000878927In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $1.02B, operating cash flow of $1.37B, and free cash flow of $1.37B (-17.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ODFL closed FY2025 with $5.47B in total assets against $20.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 22.23, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $1.02B | $1.37B | $1.37B | $5.47B | $20.0M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $1.19B | $1.66B | $1.66B | $5.49B | $561.1M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $1.24B | $1.57B | $1.57B | $19.66B | $4.60B |
3. ODFL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ODFL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (NASDAQ: ODFL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $172.56 (+0.12% 1D, market cap $35.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ODFL ranks #68 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ODFL compare to JBHT and ZTO in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), ODFL carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 34.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 25.5%. By comparison, JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 34.6x, ROIC 15.8%, cap $20.70B) and ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $15.31B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZTO leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while ODFL leads on capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ODFL?
Per ODFL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000878927), Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $1.02B in net income, and $1.37B in free cash flow against $5.47B in total assets and $20.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ODFL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ODFL last traded at $172.56 (+0.12% on volume of 2,607,213 shares), positioning the stock -5.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($182.29) and -14.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($201.68). Across its 52-week range of $126.01 to $252.03, ODFL sits at the 36.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($161.52 to $183.60).
ODFL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ODFL stock moving today?
Why ODFL Stock advanced +0.12% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (26% return on capital), mixed timing at 35x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
ODFL — Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, ODFL scores 67 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20 (ROIC 25.5%; FCF yield 2.57%), Whale 13F Flow 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 9/20 (Beta 0.89; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 18/20 (Altman Z 22.23; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The strongest contributions come from the cash engine and balance sheet pillars, which together account for most of the score. The weakest pillar is institutional flow at 7/20, indicating that the 13F-derived signal is comparatively muted in the source data. For a prospective investor, the rating frames ODFL as a financially strong business whose current valuation (P/E TTM 34.9) and modest FCF yield (2.57%) leave limited margin for error, and whose near-term direction depends on whether institutional and insider signals strengthen. The "watch for breakout" language reflects that the score sits in the upper neutral zone rather than signaling a clear directional call.
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $0.0M | $1361.0M | $1023.7M | N/A | $1370.1M | $120.1M | $20.0M |
| FY 2024 | $0.0M | $1544.0M | $1186.1M | N/A | $1659.3M | $108.7M | $561.1M |
| FY 2023 | $0.0M | $1640.7M | $1239.5M | N/A | $1569.1M | N/A | $4599.5M |
Per the SEC financials, operating income and net income declined across the three periods shown, moving from $1640.7M and $1239.5M in FY 2023 to $1361.0M and $1023.7M in FY 2025. Reported debt fell from $4599.5M to $20.0M over the same span. Per the market data section, operating margin is 13.6%, net margin is 10.2%, and ROIC is 25.5%. The forensic pillar of the RQD rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 22.23, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, which together describe a balance sheet the rating treats as strong.
Open Questions
- What were the reported revenue figures, given that every period shows $0.0M in the financials data?
- What were the specific Q3 2026 sales results and guidance referenced in the news wire, and how did they compare to expectations?
- Why did operating and net income decline across FY 2023 to FY 2025, and what drove the reduction in reported debt?
- What are the specific institutional 13F and insider Form 4 positions behind the Whale and Insider pillar scores?
- Does the current P/E of 34.9 and 2.57% FCF yield reflect expectations that the source data does not describe?
ODFL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingKey report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Trefis report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (ODFL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
ODFL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $172.56?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ODFL (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $172.35?
Welcome to the ODFL (Old Dominion Freight Line Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Trucking Freight/Courier Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (25.5% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (34.9x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on ODFL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ODFL, but look at what you are paying: 34.9x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
ODFL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ODFL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Trucking Freight/Courier Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $172.35 (52-wk range $126.01 - $252.03), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.