NextPlat Corp (NXPL) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$8.11 -2.29% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.06

NextPlat Corp (NXPL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $22.0M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NXPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, NextPlat Corp (NASDAQ: NXPL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $8.11 (-2.29% 1D, market cap $22.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NXPL ranks #108 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NXPL compare to UTSI and SNT in the Communication Services sector?
β–Ό

Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NXPL carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UTSI (UTStarcom Holdings Corp.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.0M) and SNT (Senstar Technologies Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $36.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNT leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while SNT leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXPL?
β–Ό

Per NXPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001058307), NextPlat Corp generated $54.3M in revenue (-17.8% YoY), -$10.5K in net income, and -$6.2M in free cash flow against $27.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.06 (-0.60%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510032
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (8)SEC (7)Macro (11)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
$10 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NXPL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXPL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NXPL SCORES 32/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (34% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 72% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
40
Grade D$9.00+0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$9.05-4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
35
Grade E$8.62-5.9% Next Q
Current
32
Grade E$8.11-9.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (40) β†’ E (32)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXPL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While NXPL currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.99) and Max Pain ($8.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.44.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXPLβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNXPL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NXPL)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NXPL.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXPL)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of NXPL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NXPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.12%πŸ“ WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $8.30H $8.30L $8.11C $8.11VOL 25.3K
RES: $9.83SUP: $6.36SMA50: $8.99SMA200: $6.83
$10.27$8.90$7.53$6.16$4.80RES $9.83SUP $6.36$8.112026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXPL today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXPL)

Communication Services Rank #108 of 132 βš”οΈ UTSI vs NXPL Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NXPL vs. UTSI, SNT, KSCP, IQST)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NextPlat Corp (NXPL) ranks #108 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #114 by equity capitalization ($22.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SNT leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while SNT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 65.5% gross margin. SNT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with NXPL at 32/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NXPL ACTIVE
NextPlat Corp
E 32/100 β€” 20.1% -35.0% -2.29% $22.0M Benchmark Subject
UTSI
UTStarcom Holdings Corp.
E 29/100 β€” 11.7% -35.0% -0.45% $21.0M /utsi-vs-nxpl β†’
SNT
Senstar Technologies Corporation
D 50/100 12.0x 65.5% 11.4% -5.45% $36.4M /snt-vs-nxpl β†’
KSCP
Knightscope Inc. (Class A)
E 31/100 β€” -30.0% -35.0% -8.33% $11.0M /kscp-vs-nxpl β†’
IQST
iQSTEL Inc.
D- 43/100 β€” 3.0% -23.7% -8.54% $8.9M /iqst-vs-nxpl β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001058307

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NextPlat Corp (NXPL) reported GAAP revenue of $54.3M (-17.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $66.1M ) , GAAP net income of -$10.5K, operating cash flow of -$6.1M, and free cash flow of -$6.2M (-9.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXPL closed FY2025 with $27.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $54.3M -$10.5K -$6.1M -$6.2M $27.5M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $66.1M -$22.5K -$5.5M -$5.7M $37.1M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$12.4K -$3.6M -$3.6M β€” β€”

3. NXPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NextPlat Corp (NASDAQ: NXPL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $8.11 (-2.29% 1D, market cap $22.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NXPL ranks #108 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NXPL compare to UTSI and SNT in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), NXPL carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.1%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UTSI (UTStarcom Holdings Corp.) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $21.0M) and SNT (Senstar Technologies Corporation) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 11.4%, cap $36.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SNT leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while SNT leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXPL?

Per NXPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001058307), NextPlat Corp generated $54.3M in revenue (-17.8% YoY), -$10.5K in net income, and -$6.2M in free cash flow against $27.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NXPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXPL last traded at $8.11 (-2.29% on volume of 25,331 shares), positioning the stock -9.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.99) and +18.74% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.83). Across its 52-week range of $3.40 to $9.94, NXPL sits at the 72.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($7.10 to $9.12).

NXPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is NXPL's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NXPL.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 32/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NXPL β€” NextPlat Corp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:49:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The per the Roarable RQD rating, NXPL scores 32 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 1 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of 0%. This is the weakest pillar and indicates the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow relative to the share price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint; the source data contains no holder detail (see Analyst View section), so the basis for the score cannot be independently verified here.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates weak insider signal in the rating's framework.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity. This is a middling score.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.2, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These readings point to elevated financial-distress risk in the rating's framework.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating's implication is that the operating and forensic signals are the dominant concerns, with the cash engine pillar the weakest. Upside in this framework would have to come from a turnaround in cash generation, which the current data does not show. Valuation tradeoffs cannot be assessed on earnings multiples because P/E and EPS are not available in source data. The rating's own verdict is avoid; this is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Business

Per the profile, NextPlat Corp (NXPL) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector and Telecommunications Equipment industry. Per the recent news and catalysts section, the company's recent announcements involve completing the acquisition of a Pensacola-area pharmacy, a Jacksonville pharmacy serving care homes and patients receiving complex treatments, and automated prescription dispensing via VendRx kiosks through its subsidiary PharmCorx. Per the same section, these items describe healthcare and pharmacy activity. Revenue model details beyond these announcements are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$54.3M$-9.0M$-0.0MN/A$-6.2M$13.7MN/A
FY 2024$66.1M$-23.0M$-0.0MN/A$-5.7M$20.0MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-23.2M$-0.0MN/A$-3.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined from $66.1M in FY 2024 to $54.3M in FY 2025, while operating losses narrowed from $-23.0M to $-9.0M. Per the market data, gross margin is 20.1%, operating margin is -16.6%, and net margin is 0%, with ROIC at -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and Piotroski F-Score is 2/9. Per the same rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5; debt figures themselves are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Pharmacy acquisition completion (GREEN, CATALYST): Per the recent news and catalysts section, PR Newswire reported completion of a Pensacola-area acquisition described as profitable, with the stated aim of accelerating healthcare growth.
  • Pharmacy acquisition completion (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Per the same section, TradingView carried a report of the same completion.
  • Jacksonville pharmacy (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Per the same section, Stock Titan reported a new Jacksonville pharmacy serving care homes and patients receiving complex treatments.
  • VendRx kiosk launch (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Per the same section, MarketScreener reported PharmCorx intends to launch automated prescription dispensing to select customer clinics and facilities via VendRx kiosks, and TradingView reported a rollout of VendRx Rx kiosks at clinics.
  • Earnings date (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Per the same section, MarketBeat published a Q3 2026 earnings date and estimates item; the estimates themselves are not available in source data.

Risk watch items: per the market data, the stock fell 2.35% and trades near the low end of its 52-week range. Per the butterfly supply-chain graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore not available in source data. The only sector context available is the classification of Communication Services / Telecommunications Equipment and a beta of 1.0. The pharmacy and kiosk announcements in the news section imply healthcare-related exposure that is not mapped in the supply-chain graph, so any ripple effects from that exposure cannot be traced from the provided sources.

Open Questions

  • What are the components of revenue decline from $66.1M to $54.3M, and how much of it reflects divestitures versus organic change?
  • What is the debt balance, given that the financials table lists debt as N/A while Debt/Equity is cited as 0.5?
  • Does the cited profitability of the acquired Pensacola pharmacy appear in reported figures, and what are its margins?
  • What are the consensus estimates and actual results for the Q3 2026 earnings release?
  • What is the institutional and insider holder detail underlying the 8/20 whale-flow and 5/20 insider-conviction pillar scores?

NXPL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NextPlat Corp (NXPL) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NXPL Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NXPL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $8.11?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NXPL 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NXPL:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.30 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NXPL (E β€’ RQD 32/100) a Buy at $8.30?

Welcome to the NXPL (NextPlat Corp) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 32/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Telecommunications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.31 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $8.30

Pump the brakes on NXPL β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NXPL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 20.1% gross margins. Unless NextPlat Corp expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.54 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $8.30

NXPL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NXPL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Telecommunications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.30 (52-wk range $3.40 - $10.80), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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