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Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$21.75 +5.23% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.91

Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $947.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NYSE: NX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $21.75 (+5.23% 1D, market cap $947.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NX ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NX compare to NWCL and ELMT in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), NX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.2%, and ROIC of -22.9%. By comparison, NWCL (newcleo plc) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.20B) and ELMT (The Elmet Group Co.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $706.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RYZ leads on capital efficiency (-3.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NX?
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Per NX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001423221), Quanex Building Products Corporation generated $1.84B in revenue (+43.8% YoY), -$250.8M in net income, and $102.3M in free cash flow against $1.98B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.91 (+0.75%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 5.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (9)Whales (14)SEC (8)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$25 Bull$21 Base$16 Bear
📬 FREE NX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NX SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (20% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 87% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 12 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$18.85+4.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$19.68+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$20.03+8.6% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$21.75-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NX currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.81) and Max Pain ($22.84) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.74.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $21.75: 459.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $16.36
$7,522
$-2,478 (-24.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $20.97
$9,641
$-359 (-3.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $24.74
$11,375
+$1,375 (+13.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2369%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +17.25%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $20.76H $21.75L $20.67C $21.75VOL 329.0K
RES: $24.61SUP: $18.11SMA50: $19.81SMA200: $19.11
$23.88$21.59$19.29$16.99$14.70RES $24.61SUP $18.11$21.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NX Butterfly Map → + Track NX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +43.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NX)

Industrials Rank #229 of 486 ⚔️ NWCL vs NX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NX vs. NWCL, ELMT, TSAT, RYZ)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) ranks #229 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #257 by equity capitalization ($947.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while RYZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -3.4% ROIC and 17.1% gross margin. ELMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with NX at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NX ACTIVE
Quanex Building Products Corporation
D 50/100 — 27.2% -22.9% +5.23% $947.2M Benchmark Subject
NWCL
newcleo plc
D 46/100 — — — +3.29% $1.20B /nwcl-vs-nx →
ELMT
The Elmet Group Co.
C- 60/100 — — — -4.57% $706.4M /elmt-vs-nx →
TSAT
Telesat Corporation and Class B Variable Voting Shares (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — -6.83% $1.45B /tsat-vs-nx →
RYZ
Ryerson Holding Corporation
D+ 54/100 — 17.1% -3.4% +6.77% $1.61B /ryz-vs-nx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0001423221 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.84B (+43.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.28B , and +62.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$250.8M, operating cash flow of $164.9M, and free cash flow of $102.3M (+97.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NX closed FY2025 with $1.98B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.37, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-31 $1.84B -$250.8M $164.9M $102.3M $1.98B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-10-31 $1.28B $33.1M $88.8M $51.7M $2.22B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-10-31 $1.13B $82.5M $147.1M $147.1M — —

3. NX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Quanex Building Products Corporation (NYSE: NX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $21.75 (+5.23% 1D, market cap $947.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NX ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NX compare to NWCL and ELMT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), NX carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.2%, and ROIC of -22.9%. By comparison, NWCL (newcleo plc) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.20B) and ELMT (The Elmet Group Co.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $706.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RYZ leads on capital efficiency (-3.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NX?

Per NX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001423221), Quanex Building Products Corporation generated $1.84B in revenue (+43.8% YoY), -$250.8M in net income, and $102.3M in free cash flow against $1.98B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NX last traded at $21.75 (+5.23% on volume of 483,144 shares), positioning the stock +9.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.81) and +13.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.11). Across its 52-week range of $11.04 to $23.33, NX sits at the 87.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($19.79 to $23.71).

Direct Sub-Reports: NX RQD Cockpit NX 12M Forecast NX Earnings & Move NX Dividends & DRIP NX Insiders & 13F NX Whale Options NX Profit Sankey NX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NX — Quanex Building Products Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-10-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $21.75 (+5.23% 1D, market capitalization $947.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -22.9%, gross margin of 27.2%, operating margin of -10.6%, and free cash flow yield of 10.75%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.37, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Quanex Building Products Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Metal Fabrications industry..0B. Reported revenue of $1.84B for FY 2025 is shown in the SEC financials below.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-10-31), Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) reported $1.84B in annual revenue (up from $1.28B in FY2024, +43.8% YoY) and -$250.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.13B revenue, $82.5M net income) through FY2025, NX scaled operating cash flow to $164.9M and free cash flow to $102.3M, backed by $1.98B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 10.75% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.04 – $23.33 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -10.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no upstream or downstream links, no sector correlations, and no proprietary signals for NX, so no supply-chain ripple analysis can be drawn from the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: Can NX sustain or expand its -10.6% operating margin and -22.9% ROIC against Metal Fabrications peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.84B and free cash flow of $102.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NX's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Quanex Building Products Corporation (NX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.75?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $26.04 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The 10.75% FCF yield and 1.57% dividend yield show cash generation the market is still pricing in despite negative ROIC.

Long NX at $20.67 targeting $26.04. The 10.75% FCF yield and 1.57% dividend yield show cash generation the market is still pricing in despite negative ROIC.. Institutional whale score is 14/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $11.04 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — NX's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.78 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $20.67

Operating income swung from $54.8M in FY 2024 to -$194.0M in FY 2025 with an Altman Z-Score of 1.37, signaling deteriorating earnings a

I respect the product at Quanex Building Products Corporation, but the stock at $20.67 is a different story. Operating income swung from $54.8M in FY 2024 to -$194.0M in FY 2025 with an Altman Z-Score of 1.37, signaling deteriorating earnings and balance sheet strain.. FCF yield is 10.75% and RQD sits at 50/100 (D) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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