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NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares (NVX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.15 -4.44% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.13

NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares (NVX) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $48.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NVX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: NVX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.15 (-4.44% 1D, market cap $48.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NVX ranks #310 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NVX compare to LASE and ELBM in the Industrials sector?
▼

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NVX carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LASE (Laser Photonics Corporation) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $48.6M) and ELBM (Electra Battery Materials Corporation) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $44.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NVX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GEOS leads on capital efficiency (-8.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVX?
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For NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares (NVX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #310 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.13 (-0.99%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.5% Base Target
$17 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE NVX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NVX SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0% FCF Margin ($1.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
52
Grade C-$2.34-9.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$2.11+6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$2.24-4% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$2.15-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NVX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NVX currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.69) and Max Pain ($2.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NVX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±9.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NVX)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NVX.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NVX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NVX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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NVX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -70.14%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $2.40H $2.40L $2.15C $2.15VOL 49.2K
RES: $4.42SUP: $1.41SMA50: $2.69SMA200: $5.75
$12.52$9.67$6.81$3.96$1.10RES $4.42SUP $1.41$2.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NVX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NVX Butterfly Map → + Track NVX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVX)

Industrials Rank #310 of 486 ⚔️ LASE vs NVX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NVX vs. LASE, ELBM, GEOS, BLNK)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares (NVX) ranks #310 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #406 by equity capitalization ($48.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NVX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GEOS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -8.5% ROIC and 29.7% gross margin. ELBM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with NVX at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NVX ACTIVE
NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares
D 44/100 — — — -4.44% $48.4M Benchmark Subject
LASE
Laser Photonics Corporation
E 30/100 — 14.4% -35.0% -4.35% $48.6M /lase-vs-nvx →
ELBM
Electra Battery Materials Corporation
D+ 55/100 — — — +0.83% $44.0M /elbm-vs-nvx →
GEOS
Geospace Technologies Corporation (Texas)
E 22/100 — 29.7% -8.5% -6.80% $57.0M /geos-vs-nvx →
BLNK
Blink Charging Co.
E 31/100 — 24.6% -35.0% +6.42% $58.0M /blnk-vs-nvx →

2. NVX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares (NVX) operates in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $48.4M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. NVX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NVX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares (NASDAQ: NVX) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.15 (-4.44% 1D, market cap $48.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NVX ranks #310 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NVX compare to LASE and ELBM in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NVX carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, LASE (Laser Photonics Corporation) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $48.6M) and ELBM (Electra Battery Materials Corporation) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $44.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NVX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GEOS leads on capital efficiency (-8.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVX?

For NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares (NVX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #310 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NVX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NVX last traded at $2.15 (-4.44% on volume of 25,067 shares), positioning the stock -20.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.69) and -62.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.75). Across its 52-week range of $1.99 to $16.15, NVX sits at the 1.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($1.95 to $2.35).

Direct Sub-Reports: NVX RQD Cockpit NVX 12M Forecast NVX Earnings & Move NVX Dividends & DRIP NVX Insiders & 13F NVX Whale Options NVX Profit Sankey NVX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NVX — NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares (NVX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.15 (-4.44% 1D, market capitalization $48.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector is Industrials and industry is Industrial Machinery/Components,. The profile describes NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares as a NASDAQ-listed Industrials issuer in this industry with a market capitalization of $0.1B.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.99 – $16.15 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), NVX carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can NVX sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $16.15 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NVX's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NVX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares (NVX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NVX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NVX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NVX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NVX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.63 (+16.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet scores 13 / 20 with an Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, the strongest pillar in

The street is overcomplicating NOVONIX Limited American Depository Shares (NVX). The forensic balance sheet scores 13 / 20 with an Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5, the strongest pillar in the rating.. With an RQD score of 44/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $2.43.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $2.25 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.69 (-24.9%)
Spot @ $2.25

The stock trades at $2.4 with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and the RQD rating carries a Roarable Sell distribution warning at 46 / D.

Careful chasing NVX at $2.25. The stock trades at $2.4 with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and the RQD rating carries a Roarable Sell distribution warning at 46 / D.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.69 on multiple compression.

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