Why NVO Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$40.00 +2.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.08

Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $173.31B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NVO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE: NVO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $40.00 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $173.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NVO ranks #204 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NVO compare to PFE and ABT in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), NVO carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, PFE (Pfizer Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 22.0x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $170.71B) and ABT (Abbott Laboratories) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 27.7x, ROIC 11.9%, cap $180.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BMY leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while VRTX leads on capital efficiency (20.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVO?
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For Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #204 in Health Care, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.08 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$67 Bull$40 Base$31 Bear
📬 FREE NVO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NVO SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 15.8% FCF Margin ($3.83B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$38.06+3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$39.35-1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$38.67+3.4% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$40.00-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NVO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, NVO faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($40.92) or 200D SMA ($43.98) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($39.82) toward Bear Floor ($31.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NVO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why NVO Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) surged +2.20% to $40.00, trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($35.12 – $64.16). Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($35.12 – $64.16) with RSI-14 at 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.7% around $40.00 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $3.8B annual free cash flow.
Live NVO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNN • 9h ago
NVO Stock Quote Price and Forecast

CNN report covering Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NVO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NVO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NVO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.89%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $38.29H $40.00L $38.29C $40.00VOL 10.44M
RES: $58.58SUP: $33.75SMA50: $40.92SMA200: $43.98
$53.19$48.76$44.33$39.90$35.48RES $58.58SUP $33.75$40.002026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NVO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
LLY → NVO Confirmed Filing
Eli Lilly dual GIP/GLP-1 agonist tirzepatide (Zepbound/Mounjaro) demonstrated superior head-to-head weight loss vs. Novo Nordisk semaglutide (Wegovy) in SURMOUNT-5, intensifying PBM rebate competition.
DHR → NVO Analyst Hypothesis
Novo Nordisk $6B+ annual API manufacturing expansions utilize downstream purification chromatography resins and single-use filtration consumables where Danaher Cytiva and Pall hold leading bioprocess share.
NVO → ISRG Confirmed Filing
Intuitive Surgical explicitly disclosed in its Form 10-K that US bariatric surgery procedure volumes on da Vinci robotic systems slowed as patients trialed GLP-1 weight-loss drugs prior to surgery.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVO)

Health Care Rank #204 of 1016 ⚔️ PFE vs NVO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NVO vs. PFE, ABT, VRTX, BMY)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) ranks #204 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #12 by equity capitalization ($173.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BMY leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while VRTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.0% ROIC and 86.2% gross margin. VRTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with NVO at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NVO ACTIVE
Novo Nordisk A/S
D+ 57/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.20% $173.31B Benchmark Subject
PFE
Pfizer Inc.
B 73/100 22.0x 74.3% 5.1% +1.90% $170.71B /pfe-vs-nvo →
ABT
Abbott Laboratories
B+ 77/100 27.7x 56.4% 11.9% +1.56% $180.95B /abt-vs-nvo →
VRTX
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated
B+ 80/100 34.6x 86.2% 20.0% +3.50% $136.87B /vrtx-vs-nvo →
BMY
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company
C 63/100 17.8x 71.1% 13.3% +1.78% $125.40B /bmy-vs-nvo →

2. NVO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) operates in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (Health Care) with an equity capitalization of $173.31B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. NVO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NVO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE: NVO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $40.00 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $173.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NVO ranks #204 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NVO compare to PFE and ABT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), NVO carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, PFE (Pfizer Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 22.0x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $170.71B) and ABT (Abbott Laboratories) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 27.7x, ROIC 11.9%, cap $180.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BMY leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while VRTX leads on capital efficiency (20.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVO?

For Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO), key quantitative strengths include Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. and sector rank #204 in Health Care, while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NVO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NVO last traded at $40.00 (+2.20% on volume of 15,277,524 shares), positioning the stock -2.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($40.92) and -9.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($43.98). Across its 52-week range of $35.12 to $64.16, NVO sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.7% ($38.52 to $41.48).

NVO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is NVO stock moving today?

Why NVO Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 33x P/E (10% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NVO — Novo Nordisk A/S: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:13Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NVO scores 57 out of 100, equating to a letter grade of D+ and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12 / 20): Reflects ROIC of 9.9% and FCF yield of 2.21%. Returns on invested capital are positive but modest, and the cash yield is thin relative to the $173.31B market capitalization, implying the market is pricing in substantial future growth.
  • Whale 13F Flow (8 / 20): Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is a weak score, suggesting limited evidence of sustained large-holder conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (12 / 20): Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is middling; the source data does not itemize the underlying transactions.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9 / 20): Reflects beta of 0.87 and sector sensitivity. The low beta indicates below-market price sensitivity, but the score is weak, indicating the regime-fit assessment is not favorable.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (16 / 20): Reflects Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39. This is the strongest pillar and points to a sound balance sheet.

Investor implications: the rating's composite weakness is driven mainly by cash-return metrics, institutional flow, and regime fit, while balance-sheet strength is a genuine offset. Valuation is demanding on the trailing and forward multiples shown below (P/E TTM 32.8, Forward P/E 30.5), so upside depends on earnings growth materializing. The rating does not constitute a recommendation; it is a structured summary of the factors in the source data.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
39.14$173.31B32.830.5211.190%0.87$35.12 - $64.169.9%

Business

Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, its GLP-1 franchise represents more than 55% of revenue per the company's Form 20-F disclosure. The source data does not detail customer segments or the specific revenue-generation mechanics beyond the GLP-1 concentration and the references to injectable products (Wegovy) and API manufacturing.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the headlines are predominantly "MARKET WIRE" or "CATALYST" items, with one "RISK WATCH" item:

  • RISK WATCH: A headline reports that the CEO was asked why the stock keeps falling on good news, with the CEO's answer referencing market timing.
  • CATALYST: A headline reports NVO moving down while the broader market gained.
  • MARKET WIRE: Headlines comparing NVO to AbbVie, general trending-stock coverage, and a TradingKey item reporting a 3.38% move on Oct 15.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the key linked catalysts are:

  • LLY → NVO (Substitute, Headwind, Confirmed Filing): Eli Lilly's tirzepatide reportedly demonstrated superior head-to-head weight loss versus semaglutide in SURMOUNT-5, intensifying PBM rebate competition. Next catalysts cited are Phase 3 oral orforglipron/retatrutide readouts and Medicare Part D IRA price negotiation updates.
  • DHR → NVO (Direct Supplier, Tailwind, Analyst Hypothesis): Second-order exposure to bioprocessing chromatography and filtration consumables tied to Novo's API expansions. Exposure percentage is undisclosed. Next catalyst is Danaher's Biotechnology bioprocessing order book-to-bill print.
  • NVO → ISRG (Potential Loser, Mixed Constraint, Confirmed Filing): Intuitive Surgical's Form 10-K cites a ~3%–4% bariatric procedure mix headwind attributed to GLP-1 use.

No proprietary signals are listed in the graph.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the primary ripple theme is GLP-1 metabolic drugs, fill-finish bottlenecks, and MedTech ripple effects. The graph's supply_chain field is "NONE," so no direct upstream supplier list is provided; the DHR linkage is classified as an analyst hypothesis rather than a confirmed filing.

Items to monitor:

  • Competitive net-price pressure: Per the graph, PBM preferred-formulary access may require steeper gross-to-net rebates as injectable supply normalizes and next-generation candidates advance. This is a margin-side risk.
  • Bioprocessing consumables: Second-order exposure to Danaher's bioprocessing segment, with the competing explanation that a shift from recombinant yeast fermentation toward solid-phase peptide synthesis or oral small molecules would change purification resin intensity per kilogram.
  • MedTech demand substitution: Intuitive Surgical's bariatric procedure volumes are cited as slowed by GLP-1 pre-surgery use, though the graph notes bariatrics is under 5% of global da Vinci procedures and that the drag may be absorbed elsewhere.
  • Sector correlation: The source data does not provide sector correlation coefficients.

Open Questions

  • What are the reported revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, FCF, cash, and debt figures by period? The financials section is empty, so the trend cannot be evaluated directly.
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and price target distribution? The analyst data section is empty.
  • What SEC Form 4, 13F, or Congressional transactions underlie the insider and whale pillar scores? The holders section is empty.
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0%, and what is the true gross margin? The market data value appears to be a data artifact.
  • What is the magnitude of the ISRG bariatric headwind and the DHR consumables exposure in dollar or percentage-of-revenue terms? The graph gives a range for ISRG and no figure for DHR.

NVO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Novo Nordisk A/S (NVO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NVO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NVO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $40.00?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NVO 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NVO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $42.27 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NVO (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $39.14?

Welcome to the NVO (Novo Nordisk A/S) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $32.09 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $39.14

Pump the brakes on NVO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NVO, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Novo Nordisk A/S expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $45.40 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $39.14

NVO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NVO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $39.14 (52-wk range $35.12 - $64.16), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%