Are NVMI insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies NVMI leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Stock Ratings / Technology / NVMI / insiders

ARW (39) AVT (45) CAMT (56) NTAP (68) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$304.00 -2.64% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $301.98

Nova Ltd. (NVMI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $9.92B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NVMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Nova Ltd. (NASDAQ: NVMI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $304.00 (-2.64% 1D, market cap $9.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, NVMI ranks #274 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NVMI compare to ARW and AVT in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), NVMI carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.0x, gross margin of 57.4%, and ROIC of 13.0%. By comparison, ARW (Arrow Electronics Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E 19.7x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $10.61B) and AVT (Avnet Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 22.7x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $7.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARW leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while NTAP leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVMI?

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Per NVMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001109345), Nova Ltd. generated $880.6M in revenue (+31.0% YoY), $259.2M in net income, and $217.9M in free cash flow against $2.36B in total assets and $469.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $301.96 (-0.67%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 24.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NVMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NVMI SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.08 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 24.7% FCF Margin ($217.9M FCF) & 57.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$331.38+0% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$331.22+1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$334.72-9.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$304.00-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NVMI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, NVMI faces multiple-compression risk if 41.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 41x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($350.84) or 200D SMA ($439.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($299.90) toward Bear Floor ($233.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NVMI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NVMI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NVMI Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NVMI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NVMI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NVMI)

✓Walkthrough of NVMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NVMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.25%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $334.6H $334.6L $304.0C $304.0VOL 323.2K

RES: $381.5SUP: $298.1SMA50: $350.8SMA200: $439.7

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NVMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NVMI Butterfly Map → + Track NVMI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

31.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +31.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NVMI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NVMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NVMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NVMI)

Technology Rank #274 of 715 ⚔️ ARW vs NVMI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NVMI vs. ARW, AVT, CAMT, NTAP)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nova Ltd. (NVMI) ranks #274 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #149 by equity capitalization ($9.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARW leads on earnings valuation at 19.7x trailing P/E, while NTAP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and 70.7% gross margin. NTAP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with NVMI at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NVMI ACTIVE Nova Ltd.	D+	55/100	41.0x	57.4%	13.0%	-2.64%	$9.92B	Benchmark Subject
ARW Arrow Electronics Inc.	D-	39/100	19.7x	11.2%	6.9%	-2.46%	$10.61B	/arw-vs-nvmi →
AVT Avnet Inc.	D	45/100	22.7x	10.4%	8.0%	-2.22%	$7.25B	/avt-vs-nvmi →
CAMT Camtek Ltd.	D+	56/100	116.2x	50.5%	14.3%	-7.22%	$5.43B	/camt-vs-nvmi →
NTAP NetApp Inc.	C+	68/100	33.6x	70.7%	38.5%	-6.99%	$39.12B	/ntap-vs-nvmi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001109345 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Nova Ltd. (NVMI) reported GAAP revenue of $880.6M (+31.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $672.4M , and +70.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $259.2M, operating cash flow of $245.6M, and free cash flow of $217.9M (-0.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NVMI closed FY2025 with $2.36B in total assets against $469.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.08, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$880.6M	$259.2M	$245.6M	$217.9M	$2.36B	$469.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$672.4M	$183.8M	$235.3M	$218.1M	$1.39B	$208.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$517.9M	$136.3M	$123.5M	$100.2M	$5.85B	$1.37B

3. NVMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NVMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NVMI compare to ARW and AVT in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NVMI?

Where is NVMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NVMI last traded at $304.00 (-2.64% on volume of 328,423 shares), positioning the stock -13.35% below its 50-day simple moving average ($350.84) and -30.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($439.65). Across its 52-week range of $266.43 to $615.99, NVMI sits at the 10.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($280.90 to $327.10).

Direct Sub-Reports: NVMI RQD Cockpit NVMI 12M Forecast NVMI Earnings & Move NVMI Dividends & DRIP NVMI Insiders & 13F NVMI Whale Options NVMI Profit Sankey NVMI News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NVMI — Nova Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Nova Ltd. (NVMI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $304.00 (-2.64% 1D, market capitalization $9.92B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.0%, gross margin of 57.4%, operating margin of 28.8%, and free cash flow yield of 2.05%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.38x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.08, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.33x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Nova Ltd. (NVMI) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Electronic Components industry..6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Nova Ltd. (NVMI) reported $880.6M in annual revenue (up from $672.4M in FY2024, +31.0% YoY) and $259.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($517.9M revenue, $136.3M net income) through FY2025, NVMI scaled operating cash flow to $245.6M and free cash flow to $217.9M, backed by $2.36B in total assets against $469.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.05% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $266.43 – $615.99 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 41.0x trailing P/E and 39.2x EV/EBITDA against 28.8% operating margins and a 1.38x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Electronic Components (Technology), NVMI carries a macro regime beta of 1.38 and gross margin of 57.4%.

Key Question #1: Can NVMI sustain or expand its 28.8% operating margin and 13.0% ROIC against Electronic Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $880.6M and free cash flow of $217.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $469.0M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is NVMI's 34.4x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.38x)?

NVMI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nova Ltd. (NVMI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NVMI Debate Forum (3) ↓

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Why Nova (NVMI) Shares Are Falling Today

Yahoo Finance report covering Nova Ltd. (NVMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE GuruFocus • 1d ago

Nova Ltd (NVMI) Stock Up 3.5% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 97/100

GuruFocus report covering Nova Ltd. (NVMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Nova (NVMI) Record Quarter Keeps Fair Value Debate In Focus

Yahoo Finance report covering Nova Ltd. (NVMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Nova (NVMI) Stock May Look Fully Priced Given Its Earnings Story

Simply Wall St report covering Nova Ltd. (NVMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🔴 RISK WATCH marketscreener.com • 1d ago

Nova Shares Fall After Citigroup Downgrade

marketscreener.com report covering Nova Ltd. (NVMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Nova Ltd. (NASDAQ:NVMI) Stock Has Average Price Target of $499.44

MarketBeat report covering Nova Ltd. (NVMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

3 Reasons NVMI Has Explosive Upside Potential

TradingView report covering Nova Ltd. (NVMI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 1d ago

3 AI Infrastructure Stocks Retail Investors Are Watching For Data Center Growth

AI is chewing through electricity, chips and data center capacity at the same time interest rates, demographics and an energy shock are reshaping how capital gets priced. That combination can punish some high-growth stor

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NVMI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $304.00?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NVMI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $402.79 (+29.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 8.08, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.33) with revenue growing from $517.9M to $880.6M over FY 2

The street is overcomplicating Nova Ltd. (NVMI). Strong forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 8.08, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.33) with revenue growing from $517.9M to $880.6M over FY 2023–FY 2025.. With an RQD score of 55/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $337.22.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 41.0x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Electronic Components. If gross margin (57.4%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $265.40 (-15.0%)

Spot @ $312.24

Elevated valuation (P/E 41, EV/EBITDA 39.2) against a 2.05% FCF yield, weak 13F flow score of 6/20, and a recent Citigroup downgrade.

Elevated valuation (P/E 41, EV/EBITDA 39.2) against a 2.05% FCF yield, weak 13F flow score of 6/20, and a recent Citigroup downgrade.. Look at the math on NVMI: paying 41.0x trailing P/E for 13.0% ROIC and 28.8% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Electronic Components demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $274.77 before getting long.