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Novanta Inc. (NOVT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$146.24 +0.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $146.05

Novanta Inc. (NOVT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.51B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NOVT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NOVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Novanta Inc. (NASDAQ: NOVT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $146.24 (+0.33% 1D, market cap $5.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NOVT ranks #131 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NOVT compare to AAON and MIDD in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NOVT carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 106.2x, gross margin of 44.4%, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, AAON (AAON Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 57.7x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $5.56B) and MIDD (Middleby Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $5.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MIDD leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while ENS leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOVT?
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Per NOVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001076930), Novanta Inc. generated $980.6M in revenue (+3.3% YoY), $53.8M in net income, and $48.4M in free cash flow against $1.81B in total assets and $212.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $146.05 (-0.13%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 4.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (15)Macro (12)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$185 Bull$147 Base$115 Bear
📬 FREE NOVT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NOVT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NOVT SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.30 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.9% FCF Margin ($48.4M FCF) & 44.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$140.07-0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$139.94+7.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$150.66-2.9% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$146.24+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NOVT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, NOVT faces multiple-compression risk if 106.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 106x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($142.79) or 200D SMA ($142.55) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($146.90) toward Bear Floor ($114.58).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NOVT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NOVT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your NOVT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $146.24: 68.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $114.58
$7,835
$-2,165 (-21.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $146.90
$10,045
+$45 (+0.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $185.20
$12,664
+$2,664 (+26.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$15374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$17469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$13158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (NOVT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NOVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.99%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $151.2H $151.2L $145.8C $146.2VOL 421.3K
RES: $154.3SUP: $126.9SMA50: $142.8SMA200: $142.6
$180.2$164.3$148.3$132.3$116.4RES $154.3SUP $126.9$146.22026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NOVT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NOVT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NOVT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NOVT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NOVT)

Industrials Rank #131 of 486 ⚔️ AAON vs NOVT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NOVT vs. AAON, MIDD, JBTM, ENS)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Novanta Inc. (NOVT) ranks #131 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #137 by equity capitalization ($5.51B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MIDD leads on earnings valuation at 14.5x trailing P/E, while ENS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.0% ROIC and 63.4% gross margin. MIDD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with NOVT at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NOVT ACTIVE
Novanta Inc.
C- 59/100 106.2x 44.4% 6.5% +0.33% $5.51B Benchmark Subject
AAON
AAON Inc.
D- 36/100 57.7x 26.7% 9.5% +0.88% $5.56B /aaon-vs-novt →
MIDD
Middleby Corporation
C 65/100 14.5x 39.1% 9.7% +3.80% $5.38B /midd-vs-novt →
JBTM
JBT Marel Corporation
E 26/100 — 35.1% 2.6% +5.14% $5.66B /jbtm-vs-novt →
ENS
EnerSys
C 64/100 21.0x 63.4% 13.0% +0.02% $5.77B /ens-vs-novt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001076930 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Novanta Inc. (NOVT) reported GAAP revenue of $980.6M (+3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $949.2M , and +11.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $53.8M, operating cash flow of $64.1M, and free cash flow of $48.4M (-65.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, NOVT closed FY2025 with $1.81B in total assets against $212.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.30, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $980.6M $53.8M $64.1M $48.4M $1.81B $212.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $949.2M $64.1M $158.5M $141.3M $1.39B $411.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $881.7M $72.9M $120.1M $80.4M $3.14B $735.8M

3. NOVT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NOVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Novanta Inc. (NASDAQ: NOVT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $146.24 (+0.33% 1D, market cap $5.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 8/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NOVT ranks #131 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NOVT compare to AAON and MIDD in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NOVT carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 106.2x, gross margin of 44.4%, and ROIC of 6.5%. By comparison, AAON (AAON Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 57.7x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $5.56B) and MIDD (Middleby Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 14.5x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $5.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MIDD leads on earnings multiple (14.5x) while ENS leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NOVT?

Per NOVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001076930), Novanta Inc. generated $980.6M in revenue (+3.3% YoY), $53.8M in net income, and $48.4M in free cash flow against $1.81B in total assets and $212.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NOVT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NOVT last traded at $146.24 (+0.33% on volume of 395,268 shares), positioning the stock +2.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($142.79) and +2.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($142.55). Across its 52-week range of $98.27 to $176.38, NOVT sits at the 61.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($133.08 to $159.40).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NOVT — Novanta Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Novanta Inc. (NOVT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $146.24 (+0.33% 1D, market capitalization $5.51B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.5%, gross margin of 44.4%, operating margin of 9.6%, and free cash flow yield of 0.85%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (8/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.01x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.30, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.16x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Novanta Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, specifically Industrial Machinery/Components. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 44.4%, an operating margin of 9.6%, and a net margin of 5.5%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Novanta Inc. (NOVT) reported $980.6M in annual revenue (up from $949.2M in FY2024, +3.3% YoY) and $53.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($881.7M revenue, $72.9M net income) through FY2025, NOVT scaled operating cash flow to $64.1M and free cash flow to $48.4M, backed by $1.81B in total assets against $212.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 0.85% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $98.27 – $176.38 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 106.2x trailing P/E and 51.7x EV/EBITDA against 9.6% operating margins and a 1.01x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), NOVT carries a macro regime beta of 1.01 and gross margin of 44.4%.

  • Key Question #1: Can NOVT sustain or expand its 9.6% operating margin and 6.5% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $980.6M and free cash flow of $48.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $212.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NOVT's 98.8x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.01x)?

NOVT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Novanta Inc. (NOVT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NOVT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NOVT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $146.24?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NOVT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NOVT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $173.45 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Debt fell from $735.8M to $212.5M while the Altman Z of 8.3 and Piotroski F of 7/9 point to a strong balance sheet.

Don't sleep on NOVT's setup in Industrials. Debt fell from $735.8M to $212.5M while the Altman Z of 8.3 and Piotroski F of 7/9 point to a strong balance sheet.. Beta of 1.01 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (59/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 59/100 quality, though with 1.01 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $145.76 and keeping dry powder in case we test $135.56.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $120.98 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $145.76

A P/E (TTM) of 106.2 and EV/EBITDA of 51.7 sit against ROIC of 6.5% and an FCF yield of 0.85%, leaving little valuation cushion.

I respect the product at Novanta Inc., but the stock at $145.76 is a different story. A P/E (TTM) of 106.2 and EV/EBITDA of 51.7 sit against ROIC of 6.5% and an FCF yield of 0.85%, leaving little valuation cushion.. FCF yield is 0.85% and RQD sits at 59/100 (C-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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