Yahoo Finance report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why NN Stock dropped -16.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NextNav Inc. (NN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 18/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is NN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, NextNav Inc. (NASDAQ: NN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $9.62 (-16.49% 1D, market cap $1.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NN ranks #478 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does NN compare to SPB and HSAI in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NN carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $1.92B) and HSAI (Hesai Group) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NN?
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Per NN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001865631), NextNav Inc. generated $4.6M in revenue (-19.3% YoY), -$189.3M in net income, and -$50.8M in free cash flow against $247.0M in total assets and $273.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NN Turnaround Squeeze
While NN currently carries a cautious 18/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.34) and Max Pain ($10.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.64.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why NN Stock dropped -16.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
NextNav Inc. (NN) dropped -16.49% to $9.62, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($8.98 – $24.42). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($8.98 – $24.42) with RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $9.62 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
StockInvest.us report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Timothy Sykes report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
RESTON, Va., October 27, 2026--NextNav Inc. ("NextNav") (NASDAQ: NN), a leader in next generation positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT) and 3D geolocation, today announced that it will release its results for the thi
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NN)
- ✓Walkthrough of NN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
NN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -19.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NN)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NN vs. SPB, HSAI, MFP, CHRN)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NextNav Inc. (NN) ranks #478 by composite RQD confidence (18/100, grade E) and #209 by equity capitalization ($1.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPB leads on earnings valuation at 18.8x trailing P/E, while SPB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.2% ROIC and 36.7% gross margin. SPB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with NN at 18/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NN
ACTIVE
NextNav Inc. | E | 18/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -16.49% | $1.94B | Benchmark Subject |
| SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 18.8x | 36.7% | 4.2% | +4.22% | $1.92B | /spb-vs-nn → |
| HSAI Hesai Group | D- | 38/100 | 32.7x | 41.8% | 1.8% | +0.99% | $1.91B | /hsai-vs-nn → |
| MFP Midera Food Processing Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | +2.47% | $1.81B | /mfp-vs-nn → |
| CHRN ChronoScale Holdings Corporation | E | 25/100 | — | 9.6% | -9.3% | -9.39% | $2.09B | /chrn-vs-nn → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001865631 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NextNav Inc. (NN) reported GAAP revenue of $4.6M (-19.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.7M , and +18.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$189.3M, operating cash flow of -$50.7M, and free cash flow of -$50.8M (-32.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, NN closed FY2025 with $247.0M in total assets against $273.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $4.6M | -$189.3M | -$50.7M | -$50.8M | $247.0M | $273.6M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $5.7M | -$101.9M | -$38.0M | -$38.4M | $161.7M | $54.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $3.9M | -$71.7M | -$35.4M | -$35.4M | — | — |
3. NN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs NN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, NextNav Inc. (NASDAQ: NN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 18/100 at a spot price of $9.62 (-16.49% 1D, market cap $1.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, NN ranks #478 in composite RQD confidence.
How does NN compare to SPB and HSAI in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), NN carries a Roarable E (18/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SPB (Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 18.8x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $1.92B) and HSAI (Hesai Group) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 1.8%, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPB leads on earnings multiple (18.8x) while SPB leads on capital efficiency (4.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NN?
Per NN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001865631), NextNav Inc. generated $4.6M in revenue (-19.3% YoY), -$189.3M in net income, and -$50.8M in free cash flow against $247.0M in total assets and $273.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is NN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
NN last traded at $9.62 (-16.49% on volume of 3,700,980 shares), positioning the stock -27.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.34) and -41.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.41). Across its 52-week range of $8.98 to $24.42, NN sits at the 4.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.42 to $10.82).
NN — NextNav Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
NextNav Inc. (NN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 18/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $9.62 (-16.49% 1D, market capitalization $1.94B).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -2.49%.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
NextNav Inc. (NN) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. —: the products or services sold, the customer base, and the revenue model. The profile identifies only the sector, industry, exchange, and market capitalization.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), NextNav Inc. (NN) reported $4.6M in annual revenue (up from $5.7M in FY2024, -19.3% YoY) and -$189.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($3.9M revenue, -$71.7M net income) through FY2025, NN scaled operating cash flow to -$50.7M and free cash flow to -$50.8M, backed by $247.0M in total assets against $273.6M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 18/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.49% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.98 – $24.42 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
The supply chain is NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and an empty list of proprietary signals. No upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or 2nd-order bottlenecks are recorded in the source data. —: named suppliers, customers, or peers.
- Key Question #1: Can NN sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.6M and free cash flow of -$50.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $273.6M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is NN's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
NN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NextNav Inc. (NN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
StockInvest.us report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Timothy Sykes report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering NextNav Inc. (NN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
NN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.62?
A GREEN-flagged catalyst headline reports NextNav shares jumping on FCC momentum and spectrum hopes, the only positive-flagged item in
Don't sleep on NN's setup in Industrials. A GREEN-flagged catalyst headline reports NextNav shares jumping on FCC momentum and spectrum hopes, the only positive-flagged item in the news flow.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (18/100) backs up the fundamental quality.
@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 18/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $11.52 and keeping dry powder in case we test $10.71.
With an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and operating margin of -60%, the forensic balance sheet pillar scores only
Fading this rally in NN at $11.52. With an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and operating margin of -60%, the forensic balance sheet pillar scores only 2/20.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $11.52 (52-wk range $8.98–$24.42), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.