What is NJR's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NJR.

SR (44) OGS (50) UGP (48) EE (65) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$54.18 +1.82% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.49

NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $5.40B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NJR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NJR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, NewJersey Resources Corporation (NYSE: NJR) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $54.18 (+1.82% 1D, market cap $5.40B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, NJR ranks #32 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NJR compare to SR and OGS in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil/Gas Transmission), NJR carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.3%. By comparison, SR (Spire Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 5.3%, cap $5.20B) and OGS (ONE Gas Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $4.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NJR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while NJR leads on capital efficiency (16.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NJR?

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Per NJR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000356309), NewJersey Resources Corporation generated $1.35B in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $335.6M in net income, and $466.3M in free cash flow against $7.91B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.49 (+0.57%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 34.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NJR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NJR SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 34.5% FCF Margin ($466.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$51.85+0.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$52.02+2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$53.12+2% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$54.18+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NJR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, NJR faces multiple-compression risk if 16.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($52.55) or 200D SMA ($54.52) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($57.35) toward Bear Floor ($44.43).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NJR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NJR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±3.4%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NJR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NJR.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating NJR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on NJR
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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NJR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $53.11H $54.18L $53.11C $54.18VOL 849.9K

RES: $64.72SUP: $47.34SMA50: $52.55SMA200: $54.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NJR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NJR Butterfly Map → + Track NJR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NJR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NJR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NJR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NJR)

Energy Rank #32 of 211 ⚔️ SR vs NJR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (NJR vs. SR, OGS, UGP, EE)

Industry: Oil/Gas Transmission (13 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) ranks #32 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #81 by equity capitalization ($5.40B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NJR leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while NJR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.3% ROIC and — gross margin. NJR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NJR ACTIVE NewJersey Resources Corporation	B-	71/100	16.1x	—	16.3%	+1.82%	$5.40B	Benchmark Subject
SR Spire Inc.	D	44/100	18.9x	58.8%	5.3%	+0.99%	$5.20B	/sr-vs-njr →
OGS ONE Gas Inc.	D	50/100	18.6x	—	6.2%	+1.78%	$4.94B	/ogs-vs-njr →
UGP Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Each representing one Common Share)	D	48/100	—	—	—	-1.89%	$6.47B	/ugp-vs-njr →
EE Excelerate Energy Inc. (Class A)	C	65/100	23.8x	—	8.1%	-2.38%	$4.01B	/ee-vs-njr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000356309

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.35B (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.23B , and +21.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $335.6M, operating cash flow of $466.3M, and free cash flow of $466.3M (+9.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NJR closed FY2025 with $7.91B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$1.35B	$335.6M	$466.3M	$466.3M	$7.91B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$1.23B	$289.8M	$427.4M	$427.4M	$7.19B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$1.11B	$264.7M	$479.0M	$479.0M	—	—

3. NJR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NJR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NJR compare to SR and OGS in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NJR?

Where is NJR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NJR last traded at $54.18 (+1.82% on volume of 1,018,048 shares), positioning the stock +3.10% above its 50-day simple moving average ($52.55) and -0.62% below its 200-day simple moving average ($54.52). Across its 52-week range of $43.46 to $60.86, NJR sits at the 61.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.4% ($52.34 to $56.02).

Direct Sub-Reports: NJR RQD Cockpit NJR 12M Forecast NJR Earnings & Move NJR Dividends & DRIP NJR Insiders & 13F NJR Whale Options NJR Profit Sankey NJR News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NJR — NewJersey Resources Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:20:19Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

NJR scores 71 out of 100 with a letter grade of B-, labeled "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 15 / 20. The source cites ROIC of 16.3% and FCF yield of 8.65%. For a prospective investor, these are the strongest quantitative support for the rating: returns on invested capital and free cash generation relative to price are both solid in the source data.
Whale 13F Flow: 11 / 20. The pillar description references institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data, so the score can be read as moderate institutional support without specific holder confirmation.
Insider Conviction: 18 / 20. This is the highest pillar, described as reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The individual transactions are not itemized in the source, so the investor should treat this as a strong aggregate signal whose specifics must be verified separately.
Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Beta of 1.0 indicates the stock is in line with overall market volatility. The score reflects sector sensitivity, which the source does not further detail.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. The source cites Altman Z-Score of 2.5, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. These point to a balance sheet the rating considers reasonably sound, not a distressed one.

Taken together, the investor implication is that the rating favors cash generation, insider signal strength, and balance sheet quality, while institutional flow and macro fit are more moderate. Valuation is a tradeoff: the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 16.1 and EV/EBITDA of 10.6, with a dividend yield of 3.34%, so upside depends on whether earnings and cash flow continue to grow at the pace implied by recent periods.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

NewJersey Resources Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under Oil/Gas Transmission..4B.

Reported revenue rose from $1.11B (FY 2023) to $1.35B (FY 2025), and net income rose from $264.7M to $335.6M over the same span. Per the market data, operating margin is 37.7%, net margin is 24.8%, and ROIC is 16.3%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Gross margin is listed as 0% in the market data, which the source does not explain, so it should not be relied on without clarification.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case: Insider conviction (18/20) and cash generation (ROIC 16.3%, FCF yield 8.65%) form the strongest support for the rating. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 16.3%, FCF yield 8.65%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $43.46 – $60.86 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case: Analyst coverage, holder data, and supply-chain linkages are entirely absent, so the rating rests on unverified aggregate signals. Investors must weigh 16.1x trailing P/E and 10.6x EV/EBITDA against 37.7% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply chain field is NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and an empty list of proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The investor should not infer specific supplier, customer, or sector linkages from the company's Oil/Gas Transmission classification alone, as the source does not document them.

Key Question #1: What is the reported EPS, and why do the financial periods show EPS as N/A, when EPS (TTM) of 3.31 is listed in market data?
Key Question #2: Why is gross margin listed as 0%, and does this reflect a data gap or a reporting structure that affects margin comparison?
Key Question #3: What specific risks does the "Risk Channels" news item identify, and what volatility levels does the "Volatility Zones" item describe?

NJR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NJR Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 20h ago

Why New Jersey Resources (NJR) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again

Yahoo Finance report covering NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

New Jersey Resources Schedules Fiscal 2026 Fourth Quarter and Year-End Earnings Call

Yahoo Finance report covering NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

(NJR) Risk Channels and Responsive Allocation

Stock Traders Daily report covering NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 1d ago

NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) Stock forecasts

Yahoo Finance UK report covering NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

(NJR) Volatility Zones as Tactical Triggers

Stock Traders Daily report covering NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 5d ago

New Jersey Resources Corporation Amends Credit Agreements, Increasing Commitments to $650,000,000

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Fintel • 10d ago

New Jersey Resources Corporation Subsidiary Issues $50,000,000 of 5.43% Senior Notes

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NJR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $54.18?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NJR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $62.26 (+17.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (18/20) and cash generation (ROIC 16.3%, FCF yield 8.65%) form the strongest support for the rating.

The street is overcomplicating NewJersey Resources Corporation (NJR). Insider conviction (18/20) and cash generation (ROIC 16.3%, FCF yield 8.65%) form the strongest support for the rating.. With an RQD score of 71/100 (B-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $57.47.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Shorting a 11/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $53.21 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Energy.

FO ForensicBear 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $40.44 (-24.0%)

Spot @ $53.21

Analyst coverage, holder data, and supply-chain linkages are entirely absent, so the rating rests on unverified aggregate signals.

Analyst coverage, holder data, and supply-chain linkages are entirely absent, so the rating rests on unverified aggregate signals.. Look at the math on NJR: paying 16.1x trailing P/E for 16.3% ROIC and 37.7% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Oil/Gas Transmission demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $46.82 before getting long.