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Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$11.08 -7.67% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.91

Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.47B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NEXA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Nexa Resources S.A. (NYSE: NEXA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $11.08 (-7.67% 1D, market cap $1.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NEXA ranks #108 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEXA compare to IE and IMC in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), NEXA carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IE (Ivanhoe Electric Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.23B) and IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEXA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IE leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEXA?
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For Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #108 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.91 (-1.57%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$18 Bull$11 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE NEXA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEXA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NEXA SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1% FCF Margin ($41.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$13.11-6.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$12.31-2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$11.95-7.3% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$11.08-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEXA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NEXA currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.75) and Max Pain ($11.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $17.73.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEXA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NEXA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NEXA Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NEXA)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NEXA. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEXA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NEXA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NEXA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.56%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $12.00H $12.00L $11.08C $11.08VOL 1.08M
RES: $15.36SUP: $10.93SMA50: $12.75SMA200: $13.03
$17.48$15.03$12.58$10.13$7.68RES $15.36SUP $10.93$11.082026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEXA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NEXA Butterfly Map → + Track NEXA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEXA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEXA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEXA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEXA)

Materials Rank #108 of 270 ⚔️ IE vs NEXA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (NEXA vs. IE, IMC, TMC, CRML)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) ranks #108 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #121 by equity capitalization ($1.47B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEXA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 65.3% gross margin. IMC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NEXA at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NEXA ACTIVE
Nexa Resources S.A.
D 47/100 — — — -7.67% $1.47B Benchmark Subject
IE
Ivanhoe Electric Inc.
E 34/100 — 65.3% -35.0% -8.31% $1.23B /ie-vs-nexa →
IMC
IMC Rare Earths Ltd
C- 59/100 — — — -6.33% $1.18B /imc-vs-nexa →
TMC
TMC the metals company Inc.
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -8.45% $1.15B /tmc-vs-nexa →
CRML
Critical Metals Corp.
D 50/100 — — — -9.94% $1.06B /crml-vs-nexa →

2. NEXA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) operates in Metal Mining (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $1.47B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. NEXA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEXA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Nexa Resources S.A. (NYSE: NEXA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $11.08 (-7.67% 1D, market cap $1.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, NEXA ranks #108 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NEXA compare to IE and IMC in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), NEXA carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IE (Ivanhoe Electric Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.23B) and IMC (IMC Rare Earths Ltd) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEXA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IE leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEXA?

For Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #108 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NEXA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEXA last traded at $11.08 (-7.67% on volume of 1,081,256 shares), positioning the stock -13.10% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.75) and -14.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.03). Across its 52-week range of $5.05 to $16.89, NEXA sits at the 50.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.3% ($10.16 to $12.00).

Direct Sub-Reports: NEXA RQD Cockpit NEXA 12M Forecast NEXA Earnings & Move NEXA Dividends & DRIP NEXA Insiders & 13F NEXA Whale Options NEXA Profit Sankey NEXA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NEXA — Nexa Resources S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 47/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $11.08 (-7.67% 1D, market capitalization $1.47B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Nexa Resources S.A. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, operating within the Metal Mining industry. The company has a market capitalization of $1.6B per the market data.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 47/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.05 – $16.89 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are — Investors should note that no supply-chain mapping is provided to assess ripple effects across metal-mining peers or commodity inputs.

  • Key Question #1: Can NEXA sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Metal Mining peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $16.89 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NEXA's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NEXA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NEXA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEXA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.08?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEXA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NEXA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.19 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9, and recent coverage includes an earnings beat and momentum-c

Don't sleep on NEXA's setup in Materials. Forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9, and recent coverage includes an earnings beat and momentum-candidate commentary.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (47/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Metal Mining. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.64 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $11.08

Zero ROIC and zero FCF yield, with weak whale (7/20) and insider (9/20) pillar scores, drive an RQD grade of D and a Sell verdict.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on NEXA: Zero ROIC and zero FCF yield, with weak whale (7/20) and insider (9/20) pillar scores, drive an RQD grade of D and a Sell verdict.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Metal Mining triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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