Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. (NEUP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.05 -0.33% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.04

Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. (NEUP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $16.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: NEUP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $3.05 (-0.33% 1D, market cap $16.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NEUP ranks #774 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NEUP compare to MRKR and AEON in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), NEUP carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -11.8%. By comparison, MRKR (Marker Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.3M) and AEON (AEON Biopharma Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEUP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEUP leads on capital efficiency (-11.8% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEUP?
β–Ό

Per NEUP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001191070), Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. generated $15.6M in revenue, -$369.6K in net income, and $77.2K in free cash flow against $36.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.04 (-0.25%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target
$6 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NEUP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NEUP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±8.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NEUP SCORES 31/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.5% FCF Margin ($77.2K FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$3.39+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$3.39+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$3.39-10% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$3.05-9.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (39) β†’ E (31)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NEUP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While NEUP currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.54) and Max Pain ($3.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.81.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NEUPβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNEUP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 28, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±8.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NEUP)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NEUP.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NEUP)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of NEUP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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NEUP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.34%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $3.06H $3.06L $3.05C $3.05VOL 70.3K
RES: $3.48SUP: $2.98SMA50: $3.54SMA200: $4.15
$6.90$5.85$4.80$3.75$2.70RES $3.48SUP $2.98$3.052026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NEUP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NEUP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NEUP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NEUP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NEUP)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (NEUP vs. MRKR, AEON, RADX, PBM)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. (NEUP) ranks #774 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #843 by equity capitalization ($16.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEUP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while NEUP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.8% ROIC and β€” gross margin. AEON currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with NEUP at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NEUP ACTIVE
Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc.
E 31/100 β€” β€” -11.8% -0.33% $16.5M Benchmark Subject
MRKR
Marker Therapeutics Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -2.97% $16.3M /mrkr-vs-neup β†’
AEON
AEON Biopharma Inc. (Class A)
D 46/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -6.80% $16.2M /aeon-vs-neup β†’
RADX
Radiopharm Theranostics Limited
D 46/100 β€” β€” β€” -3.26% $15.6M /radx-vs-neup β†’
PBM
Psyence Biomedical Ltd.
D 46/100 β€” β€” β€” -8.31% $17.6M /pbm-vs-neup β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-06-30 β€’ CIK 0001191070

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. (NEUP) reported GAAP revenue of $15.6M (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$369.6K, operating cash flow of $77.2K, and free cash flow of $77.2K (+100.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, NEUP closed FY2025 with $36.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $15.6M -$369.6K $77.2K $77.2K $36.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $0 -$15.5M -$14.7M -$14.7M $18.2M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $0 -$21.4M -$14.6M -$14.6M β€” β€”

3. NEUP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NEUP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: NEUP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $3.05 (-0.33% 1D, market cap $16.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, NEUP ranks #774 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NEUP compare to MRKR and AEON in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), NEUP carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -11.8%. By comparison, MRKR (Marker Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.3M) and AEON (AEON Biopharma Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEUP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while NEUP leads on capital efficiency (-11.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NEUP?

Per NEUP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0001191070), Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. generated $15.6M in revenue, -$369.6K in net income, and $77.2K in free cash flow against $36.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NEUP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NEUP last traded at $3.05 (-0.33% on volume of 70,253 shares), positioning the stock -13.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.54) and -26.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.15). Across its 52-week range of $3.03 to $5.53, NEUP sits at the 0.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 26.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±8.3% ($2.80 to $3.30).

NEUP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is NEUP's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NEUP.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 31/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NEUP β€” Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:50:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NEUP carries an RQD Score of 31 and a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The score is the sum of five pillars, each scored out of 20:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 8 / 20. The pillar reflects ROIC of -11.8% and an FCF yield of 0.47%. Negative ROIC means the business is not currently earning a return above its cost of capital; the low FCF yield means little cash generation relative to market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Institutional accumulation and options positioning scored near the bottom of the range. The source data contains no holder detail (see the Analyst View section), so this pillar's score cannot be traced to specific filings in this dossier.
  • Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Scored on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No individual insider transactions are listed in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity are the stated inputs.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. The pillar cites an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. An Altman Z-Score this low is typically associated with elevated financial-distress risk in the framework that produces it.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to weak fundamentals, weak institutional and insider support signals, and a fragile balance sheet. Upside drivers would have to come from a change in the underlying cash-generation profile, which the reported figures do not yet show. The rating does not establish a price target or a specific timeline, and it should be weighed against the fact that several inputs (valuation multiples, analyst coverage, holder data) are unavailable in the source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-06-30)$15.6M$-1.1M$-0.4MN/A$0.1M$22.2MN/A
FY 2024 (filed 2024-06-30)$0.0M$-17.9M$-15.5MN/A$-14.7M$4.3MN/A
FY 2023 (filed 2023-06-30)$0.0M$-22.0M$-21.4MN/A$-14.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 shows revenue of $15.6M with a net loss narrowing to $-0.4M and positive FCF of $0.1M, compared with revenue of $0.0M and net losses of $-15.5M in FY 2024. Per the market data, the operating margin is -7.2%, the net margin is -2.4%, and the gross margin is 0%, with ROIC at -11.8%. The Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 are cited in the Roarable RQD rating, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 is also cited there; the balance sheet debt line in the financials is N/A, so the source does not independently confirm the debt level. Cash rose to $22.2M in FY 2025 from $4.3M in FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Rights agreement extension (RED/YELLOW context): Per the news wire, Neuphoria extended the expiration of its rights agreement to October 2027, reported by Investing.com.
  • Risk Watch item: A Risk Watch-tagged item (RED light) from a siam.in-sourced report describes a -0.83% move on 2026-10-23 and questions where price support lies. No further detail is provided.
  • Market wire items: Several YELLOW-light market wire items from Yahoo! Finance Canada, TradingKey, and a seasonal chart feed reference NEUP in market-action coverage. These carry no company-specific fundamental content in the source text.
  • Proprietary signals: None listed in the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph.

Open Questions

  • What products or therapies does Neuphoria commercialize, and what is the source of its $15.6M FY 2025 revenue?
  • What drove the swing from net loss of $-15.5M in FY 2024 to a net loss of $-0.4M in FY 2025, and is the $0.1M FCF repeatable?
  • What is the reported debt level, given the financials list debt as N/A while the RQD rating cites Debt/Equity of 0.5?
  • What are the terms and purpose of the rights agreement extension, and does it carry dilution implications?
  • Why is the FY 2025 cash balance of $22.2M not reconciled to the FY 2024 figure of $4.3M in the source data, and what is the cash runway at current burn?

NEUP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. (NEUP) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NEUP Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NEUP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.05?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NEUP 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NEUP:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.69 (-12.1%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NEUP (E β€’ RQD 31/100) a Buy at $3.06?

Welcome to the NEUP (Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 31/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.36 (-22.9%)
Spot @ $3.06

Pump the brakes on NEUP β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NEUP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.70 (+20.9%)
Spot @ $3.06

NEUP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NEUP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.06 (52-wk range $3.03 - $5.53), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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