Cloudflare Inc. (NET) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$280.70 -9.54% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $275.35

Cloudflare Inc. (NET) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $110.49B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Cloudflare Inc. (NYSE: NET) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $280.70 (-9.54% 1D, market cap $110.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NET ranks #269 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NET compare to NOW and SNOW in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), NET carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.5%, and ROIC of -1.9%. By comparison, NOW (ServiceNow Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 65.1x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $113.84B) and SNOW (Snowflake Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.2%, cap $116.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADBE leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while ADBE leads on capital efficiency (50.2% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NET?
β–Ό

Per NET's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001477333), Cloudflare Inc. generated $2.17B in revenue (+29.8% YoY), -$102.3M in net income, and $287.5M in free cash flow against $6.04B in total assets and $2.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $275.34 (-1.91%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 13.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.2% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- Β· Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (14)SEC (11)Macro (10)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$389 Bull$279 Base$218 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NET RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NET)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NET SCORES 57/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.3% FCF Margin ($287.5M FCF) & 74.5% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±11.6% realized swing band)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$347.70-16.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$291.69+12.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$327.80-14.4% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$280.70-0.2% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (65) β†’ D+ (57)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the NET Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, NET faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($321.67) or 200D SMA ($249.36) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($279.44) toward Bear Floor ($217.96).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NETβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNET Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±11.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (NET)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for NET.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NET)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of NET's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NET // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.22%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $318.7H $318.7L $280.7C $280.7VOL 3.93M
RES: $400.4SUP: $272.3SMA50: $321.7SMA200: $249.4
$383.3$329.7$276.2$222.7$169.1RES $400.4SUP $272.3$280.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NET Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +29.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NET today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NET. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NET today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NET)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (NET vs. NOW, SNOW, ADBE, DDOG)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cloudflare Inc. (NET) ranks #269 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #41 by equity capitalization ($110.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADBE leads on earnings valuation at 13.5x trailing P/E, while ADBE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 50.2% ROIC and 89.3% gross margin. ADBE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with NET at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NET ACTIVE
Cloudflare Inc.
D+ 57/100 β€” 74.5% -1.9% -9.54% $110.49B Benchmark Subject
NOW
ServiceNow Inc.
C 64/100 65.1x 77.5% 9.8% -4.15% $113.84B /now-vs-net β†’
SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
D+ 58/100 β€” 67.2% -12.2% -7.32% $116.52B /snow-vs-net β†’
ADBE
Adobe Inc.
B+ 76/100 13.5x 89.3% 50.2% +0.85% $96.57B /adbe-vs-net β†’
DDOG
Datadog Inc.
C+ 68/100 β€” 80.0% -0.5% -11.50% $95.46B /ddog-vs-net β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001477333

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cloudflare Inc. (NET) reported GAAP revenue of $2.17B (+29.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.67B , and +67.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$102.3M, operating cash flow of $603.1M, and free cash flow of $287.5M (+47.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, NET closed FY2025 with $6.04B in total assets against $2.06B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 14.91, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.17B -$102.3M $603.1M $287.5M $6.04B $2.06B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.67B -$78.8M $380.4M $195.4M $3.30B $1.01B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.30B -$183.9M $254.4M $196.1M $60.77B $14.22B

3. NET Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NET stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Cloudflare Inc. (NYSE: NET) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $280.70 (-9.54% 1D, market cap $110.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, NET ranks #269 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NET compare to NOW and SNOW in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), NET carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 74.5%, and ROIC of -1.9%. By comparison, NOW (ServiceNow Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 65.1x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $113.84B) and SNOW (Snowflake Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -12.2%, cap $116.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADBE leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while ADBE leads on capital efficiency (50.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NET?

Per NET's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001477333), Cloudflare Inc. generated $2.17B in revenue (+29.8% YoY), -$102.3M in net income, and $287.5M in free cash flow against $6.04B in total assets and $2.06B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NET trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NET last traded at $280.70 (-9.54% on volume of 5,031,894 shares), positioning the stock -12.74% below its 50-day simple moving average ($321.67) and +12.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($249.36). Across its 52-week range of $158.83 to $370.35, NET sits at the 57.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.6% ($248.14 to $313.26).

NET Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is NET's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for NET.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 57/100 (D+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NET β€” Cloudflare Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:41Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, NET scores 57 out of 100, graded D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars break down as follows. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 14 of 20, reflecting an ROIC of -1.9% and an FCF yield of 0.26%; the cash-generation signal is weak relative to the valuation. Whale 13F Flow scores 14 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 8 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the lowest pillar in the rating. Macro Regime Fit scores 10 of 20 with a beta of 1.21 and sector sensitivity noted. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 11 of 20, citing an Altman Z-Score of 14.91, a Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9, and a Debt/Equity of 1.32.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a mixed picture. The highest-weighted supportive signal is institutional flow, while the weakest signal is insider conviction. Negative ROIC and a very low FCF yield indicate the current price is not supported by near-term cash returns, so upside depends on future earnings improvement rather than present cash generation. The forward P/E of 30 is the valuation reference the source provides; the rating does not translate it into a fair-value estimate. Beta of 1.21 implies above-market sensitivity to broader moves, which the Macro Regime Fit pillar flags as a constraint. The Altman and Piotroski readings are relatively supportive of solvency, but the debt load and negative earnings keep the Forensic pillar below midpoint. This is analytical context, not a recommendation.

Business

Cloudflare Inc. is a NYSE-listed technology issuer classified in the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry within the Technology sector, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification. Gross margin is reported at 74.5%, indicating a high gross-margin profile per the market data section. Revenue scale appears in the financials section, but the source data does not detail how revenue is generated.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2167.9M$-207.2M$-102.3MN/A$287.5M$943.5M$2059.7M
FY 2024$1669.6M$-154.8M$-78.8MN/A$195.4M$147.7M$1014.7M
FY 2023$1296.7M$-185.5M$-183.9MN/A$196.1MN/A$14220.3M

Per the SEC financials, all three reported periods show operating and net losses, though revenue grew from $1296.7M to $2167.9M across the set. Market data reports an operating margin of -9.6%, a net margin of -4.7%, and ROIC of -1.9%. The Roarable rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 14.91 and a Piotroski F-Score of 6 out of 9. Debt reported in FY 2025 is $2059.7M against cash of $943.5M, and the rating's Debt/Equity reads 1.32.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the six items cover recent market-action coverage of NET. Items flagged as CATALYST include a 24/7 Wall St. piece noting a 28% one-month gain and asking whether the stock is too late to buy. Items flagged as RISK WATCH include a Trefis piece questioning investors' understanding of the stock's risk. Other items are tagged MARKET WIRE and report on the stock trading up or on a September rally of nearly 14%. The source data provides headlines and summaries only; it does not state the drivers behind these moves. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drives the revenue growth and sustained operating losses across FY 2023 to FY 2025, and when, if ever, does the source data indicate a path to profitability?
  • The FY 2023 debt figure of $14220.3M is far above the FY 2024 and FY 2025 figures; the source does not explain the change or confirm whether it is a reporting discontinuity.
  • Trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA are unavailable, so how does the current valuation compare with earnings-based measures?
  • The source lists EPS as N/A for all periods while reporting a TTM EPS of -0.29; how is the TTM figure derived?
  • What specific events account for the 52-week swing from $158.83 to $370.35 and the recent single-day decline of 2.64%?

NET Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cloudflare Inc. (NET) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NET Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NET Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $280.70?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NET 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NET:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $335.12 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NET (D+ β€’ RQD 57/100) a Buy at $310.30?

Welcome to the NET (Cloudflare Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $248.24 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $310.30

Pump the brakes on NET β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NET, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 74.5% gross margins. Unless Cloudflare Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $381.67 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $310.30

NET cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NET, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $310.30 (52-wk range $158.83 - $370.35), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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