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FLNT (35) ANGI (52) STFS (34) THRY (47) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.61 0.00% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.61

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $151.5M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NCMI Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NCMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, National CineMedia Inc. (NASDAQ: NCMI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.61 (0.00% 1D, market cap $151.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NCMI ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NCMI compare to FLNT and ANGI in the Communication Services sector?
β–Ό

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), NCMI carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 94.7%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, FLNT (Fluent Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $108.7M) and ANGI (Angi Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 5.6x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $242.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ANGI leads on earnings multiple (5.6x) while THRY leads on capital efficiency (10.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCMI?
β–Ό

Per NCMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-01, CIK 0001377630), National CineMedia Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and $2.8M in free cash flow against $490.6M in total assets and $12.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.61 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) β€’ 1.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510039
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (12)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.7% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE NCMI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NCMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY NCMI SCORES 39/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.13 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy β€’ Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$2.21-7.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$2.05-10.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$1.84-12.5% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$1.61-7.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (47) β†’ D- (39)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NCMI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While NCMI currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.20) and Max Pain ($1.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.74.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NCMIβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œNCMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 31, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

NCMI Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (NCMI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on NCMI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NCMI)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of NCMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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NCMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.23%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.76H $1.76L $1.61C $1.61VOL 953.9K
RES: $4.85SUP: $1.57SMA50: $2.20SMA200: $3.15
$4.46$3.68$2.90$2.13$1.35RES $4.85SUP $1.57$1.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NCMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ NCMI Butterfly Map β†’ + Track NCMI β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NCMI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NCMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NCMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NCMI)

Communication Services Rank #92 of 132 βš”οΈ FLNT vs NCMI Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (NCMI vs. FLNT, ANGI, STFS, THRY)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) ranks #92 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #92 by equity capitalization ($151.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ANGI leads on earnings valuation at 5.6x trailing P/E, while THRY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.1% ROIC and 67.9% gross margin. ANGI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 52/100 (D+) compared with NCMI at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NCMI ACTIVE
National CineMedia Inc.
D- 39/100 β€” 94.7% -3.1% 0.00% $151.5M Benchmark Subject
FLNT
Fluent Inc.
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +0.29% $108.7M /flnt-vs-ncmi β†’
ANGI
Angi Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 5.6x 95.4% 4.6% -3.34% $242.9M /angi-vs-ncmi β†’
STFS
Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited (Class A)
E 34/100 β€” 5.7% -35.0% +3.69% $74.1M /stfs-vs-ncmi β†’
THRY
Thryv Holdings Inc.
D 47/100 β€” 67.9% 10.1% -0.80% $55.5M /thry-vs-ncmi β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-01-01 β€’ CIK 0001377630 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-01), National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) reported GAAP revenue of $243.2M (+1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $240.8M , and +47.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$10.6M, operating cash flow of $8.4M, and free cash flow of $2.8M (-94.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, NCMI closed FY2025 with $490.6M in total assets against $12.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.13, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-01 $243.2M -$10.6M $8.4M $2.8M $490.6M $12.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-12-26 $240.8M -$22.3M $60.3M $54.5M $568.6M $10.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-12-28 $165.2M $705.2M -$6.7M -$6.7M β€” β€”

3. NCMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NCMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, National CineMedia Inc. (NASDAQ: NCMI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.61 (0.00% 1D, market cap $151.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, NCMI ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NCMI compare to FLNT and ANGI in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), NCMI carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 94.7%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, FLNT (Fluent Inc.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $108.7M) and ANGI (Angi Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 5.6x, ROIC 4.6%, cap $242.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ANGI leads on earnings multiple (5.6x) while THRY leads on capital efficiency (10.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NCMI?

Per NCMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-01, CIK 0001377630), National CineMedia Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+1.0% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and $2.8M in free cash flow against $490.6M in total assets and $12.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NCMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NCMI last traded at $1.61 (0.00% on volume of 1,098,013 shares), positioning the stock -26.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.20) and -48.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.15). Across its 52-week range of $1.59 to $4.51, NCMI sits at the 0.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.7% ($1.44 to $1.78).

Direct Sub-Reports: NCMI RQD Cockpit NCMI 12M Forecast NCMI Earnings & Move NCMI Dividends & DRIP NCMI Insiders & 13F NCMI Whale Options NCMI Profit Sankey NCMI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 39/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

NCMI β€” National CineMedia Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-01

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 39/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.61 (0.00% 1D, market capitalization $151.5M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -3.1%, gross margin of 94.7%, operating margin of -5.7%, and free cash flow yield of 1.69%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.13, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.03x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) is a NASDAQ-listed company in the Communication Services sector and the Advertising industry,. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 94.7%, indicating a high-margin revenue base.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-01), National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) reported $243.2M in annual revenue (up from $240.8M in FY2024, +1.0% YoY) and -$10.6M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($165.2M revenue, $705.2M net income) through FY2025, NCMI scaled operating cash flow to $8.4M and free cash flow to $2.8M, backed by $490.6M in total assets against $12.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 39/100): Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.69% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.59 – $4.51 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -5.7% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

β€” The butterfly supply-chain graph lists no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals, so no supply-chain dependencies or sector ripple paths can be identified from the source data. Investors should note that the cited Texas Capital leverage concern and the Blantyre board-seat item are the only news-level indicators of balance-sheet and governance dynamics available here.

  • Key Question #1: Can NCMI sustain or expand its -5.7% operating margin and -3.1% ROIC against Advertising peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $243.2M and free cash flow of $2.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $12.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is NCMI's equity valuation to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

NCMI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to NCMI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NCMI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $1.61?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NCMI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on NCMI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.01 (+24.8%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.13, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.03) and a 6.89% dividend yield offer a stability cushion

Don't sleep on NCMI's setup in Communication Services. Forensic balance sheet metrics (Altman Z 2.13, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.03) and a 6.89% dividend yield offer a stability cushion at a $1.76 price.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (39/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

Both sides have a point here β€” NCMI's 12/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.24 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $1.61

Negative ROIC (-3.1%), negative operating margin (-5.7%), and a 3/20 whale-flow pillar show weak cash returns and limited institutional

I respect the product at National CineMedia Inc., but the stock at $1.61 is a different story. Negative ROIC (-3.1%), negative operating margin (-5.7%), and a 3/20 whale-flow pillar show weak cash returns and limited institutional conviction.. FCF yield is 1.69% and RQD sits at 39/100 (D-) β€” why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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