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Mesabi Trust (MSB) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$17.18 -2.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.05

Mesabi Trust (MSB) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $232.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Mesabi Trust (NYSE: MSB) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $17.18 (-2.99% 1D, market cap $232.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MSB ranks #185 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MSB compare to SBMT and TRX in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), MSB carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SBMT (Silver Bow Mining Corp.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $176.3M) and TRX (TRX Gold Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $307.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSB?
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Per MSB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000065172), Mesabi Trust generated $10.2M in revenue (-89.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $24.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.05 (-0.73%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 63.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.8% Base Target
$45 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE MSB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MSB SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 63.6% FCF Margin ($6.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$17.74+8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$19.16-4.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$18.35-6.4% Next Q
Current
43
Grade D-$17.18-6.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → D- (43)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MSB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MSB currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.19) and Max Pain ($18.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $44.50.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MSB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

MSB Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MSB)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on MSB. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSB)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MSB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MSB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.75%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $18.12H $18.12L $17.18C $17.18VOL 50.0K
RES: $22.27SUP: $15.90SMA50: $20.19SMA200: $26.25
$33.65$29.18$24.72$20.26$15.79RES $22.27SUP $15.90$17.182026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MSB Butterfly Map → + Track MSB →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -89.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSB)

Materials Rank #185 of 270 ⚔️ SBMT vs MSB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (MSB vs. SBMT, TRX, IDR, VOXR)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mesabi Trust (MSB) ranks #185 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #206 by equity capitalization ($232.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDR leads on earnings valuation at 19.6x trailing P/E, while IDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 61.8% gross margin. IDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with MSB at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MSB ACTIVE
Mesabi Trust
D- 43/100 — — — -2.99% $232.4M Benchmark Subject
SBMT
Silver Bow Mining Corp.
D- 43/100 — — — -7.03% $176.3M /sbmt-vs-msb →
TRX
TRX Gold Corporation
D 45/100 — — — -1.56% $307.2M /trx-vs-msb →
IDR
Idaho Strategic Resources Inc.
D+ 55/100 19.6x 61.8% 11.4% +0.10% $310.0M /idr-vs-msb →
VOXR
Vox Royalty Corp.
D 46/100 — — — +1.97% $318.3M /voxr-vs-msb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000065172 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Mesabi Trust (MSB) reported GAAP revenue of $10.2M (-89.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $98.6M , and -55.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, MSB closed FY2025 with $24.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $10.2M $0 — — $24.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $98.6M $93.3M $93.9M $93.9M $101.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-01-31 $22.9M $19.0M $14.6M $14.6M — —

3. MSB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Mesabi Trust (NYSE: MSB) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $17.18 (-2.99% 1D, market cap $232.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, MSB ranks #185 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MSB compare to SBMT and TRX in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), MSB carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SBMT (Silver Bow Mining Corp.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $176.3M) and TRX (TRX Gold Corporation) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $307.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDR leads on earnings multiple (19.6x) while IDR leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSB?

Per MSB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000065172), Mesabi Trust generated $10.2M in revenue (-89.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $24.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MSB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSB last traded at $17.18 (-2.99% on volume of 121,441 shares), positioning the stock -14.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.19) and -34.55% below its 200-day simple moving average ($26.25). Across its 52-week range of $17.25 to $42.38, MSB sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($15.50 to $18.86).

Direct Sub-Reports: MSB RQD Cockpit MSB 12M Forecast MSB Earnings & Move MSB Dividends & DRIP MSB Insiders & 13F MSB Whale Options MSB Profit Sankey MSB News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MSB — Mesabi Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-01-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Mesabi Trust (MSB) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 43/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $17.18 (-2.99% 1D, market capitalization $232.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Mesabi Trust is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and Precious Metals industry. The profile describes the company as having a market capitalization of $0.2B. — The specific products sold, customer base, and revenue mechanics are not described in the source data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-01-31), Mesabi Trust (MSB) reported $10.2M in annual revenue (up from $98.6M in FY2024, -89.6% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($22.9M revenue, $19.0M net income) through FY2025, MSB scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $24.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 43/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $17.25 – $42.38 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream supply-chain links are recorded, and no proprietary signals are present. The source data therefore does not identify specific 2nd-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can MSB sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Precious Metals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $10.2M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MSB's equity valuation to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MSB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mesabi Trust (MSB) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MSB Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MSB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.18?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MSB 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MSB:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.38 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 / 20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest component of th

Long MSB at $17.71 targeting $23.38. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 / 20 with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5, the strongest component of the rating.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $17.25 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 43/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $17.71 and keeping dry powder in case we test $16.47.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.70 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $17.71

ROIC and FCF yield are both recorded at 0%, and a RISK WATCH headline reports a sharp drop in royalty receipts leading to no distributi

Fading this rally in MSB at $17.71. ROIC and FCF yield are both recorded at 0%, and a RISK WATCH headline reports a sharp drop in royalty receipts leading to no distribution for Nov 2026.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $17.71 (52-wk range $17.25–$42.38), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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