MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (MSAI) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$3.26 -4.82% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.23

MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (MSAI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 19/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E β€’ RED ALERT Cap $7.2M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MSAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MSAI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 19/100 at a spot price of $3.26 (-4.82% 1D, market cap $7.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MSAI ranks #703 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MSAI compare to DCM and OPXS in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), MSAI carries a Roarable E (19/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DCM (DeFi Capital Markets Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.3M) and OPXS (Optex Systems Holdings Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 12.5x, ROIC 29.8%, cap $63.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPXS leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while OPXS leads on capital efficiency (29.8% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSAI?
β–Ό

Per MSAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001863990), MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. generated $5.6M in revenue (-25.0% YoY), -$11.7M in net income, and -$8.0M in free cash flow against $35.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.23 (-1.06%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (19/100 Β· E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ E
025507510019
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk E
Cash (4)Whales (3)SEC (3)Macro (7)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.5% Base Target
$90 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MSAI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSAI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (19/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MSAI SCORES 19/100 (E) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (37% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 2% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 28.3 (OVERSOLD (<32))

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
27
Grade E$4.65-8.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
24
Grade E$4.27-20.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
22
Grade E$3.40-4.1% Next Q
Current
19
Grade E$3.26-12% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (27) β†’ E (19)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MSAI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While MSAI currently carries a cautious 19/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.53) and Max Pain ($3.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $90.30.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSAIβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMSAI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

MSAI Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MSAI)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on MSAI. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MSAI)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of MSAI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MSAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.38%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $3.42H $3.42L $3.26C $3.26VOL 19.8K
RES: $4.74SUP: $3.22SMA50: $4.53SMA200: $6.92
$22.67$17.41$12.15$6.89$1.63RES $4.74SUP $3.22$3.262026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -25.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSAI today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSAI)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MSAI vs. DCM, OPXS, OPTX, RELL)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (MSAI) ranks #703 by composite RQD confidence (19/100, grade E) and #657 by equity capitalization ($7.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OPXS leads on earnings valuation at 12.5x trailing P/E, while OPXS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.8% ROIC and 29.2% gross margin. OPXS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with MSAI at 19/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MSAI ACTIVE
MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc.
E 19/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -4.82% $7.2M Benchmark Subject
DCM
DeFi Capital Markets Inc.
D- 43/100 β€” 16.6% -35.0% -8.08% $9.3M /dcm-vs-msai β†’
OPXS
Optex Systems Holdings Inc.
B- 70/100 12.5x 29.2% 29.8% -0.97% $63.6M /opxs-vs-msai β†’
OPTX
Syntec Optics Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 β€” 23.3% -2.8% -13.84% $253.4M /optx-vs-msai β†’
RELL
Richardson Electronics Ltd.
D+ 54/100 48.8x 31.2% 4.1% -5.69% $293.7M /rell-vs-msai β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001863990

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (MSAI) reported GAAP revenue of $5.6M (-25.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.4M , and +2.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.7M, operating cash flow of -$8.0M, and free cash flow of -$8.0M (+48.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSAI closed FY2025 with $35.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.6M -$11.7M -$8.0M -$8.0M $35.5M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.4M -$21.5M -$15.6M -$15.6M $15.5M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.4M -$22.3M -$4.6M -$4.6M β€” β€”

3. MSAI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSAI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: MSAI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 19/100 at a spot price of $3.26 (-4.82% 1D, market cap $7.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MSAI ranks #703 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MSAI compare to DCM and OPXS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Electronic Components), MSAI carries a Roarable E (19/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, DCM (DeFi Capital Markets Inc.) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.3M) and OPXS (Optex Systems Holdings Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 12.5x, ROIC 29.8%, cap $63.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OPXS leads on earnings multiple (12.5x) while OPXS leads on capital efficiency (29.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSAI?

Per MSAI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001863990), MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. generated $5.6M in revenue (-25.0% YoY), -$11.7M in net income, and -$8.0M in free cash flow against $35.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MSAI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSAI last traded at $3.26 (-4.82% on volume of 19,774 shares), positioning the stock -28.04% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.53) and -52.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.92). Across its 52-week range of $3.26 to $86.00, MSAI sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($2.85 to $3.67).

MSAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Are MSAI insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies MSAI leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 19/100 (E) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MSAI β€” MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:52:29Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MSAI scores 19 out of 100, a letter grade of E, with the verdict "Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, this means the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow to support its valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score suggests limited institutional support in the data reviewed.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The low score indicates weak insider signaling.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity noted. This is the highest-scoring pillar, but it still reflects a weak position relative to the scale.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 2 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.2, Piotroski F is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These are the weakest forensic readings in the rating and are the core basis for the "Forensic Risk" label.

Taken together, the rating frames MSAI as a stock where operating losses, weak balance-sheet forensics, and limited institutional or insider conviction converge. A prospective investor evaluating the stock today would weigh any potential upside (such as a turnaround in cash generation or a shift in sentiment) against these structural weaknesses. The scores do not establish a price target or valuation; they describe the quality and risk profile underlying the current price.

Business

MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Electronic Components industry, per the company profile. The profile describes the company as operating in Electronic Components with a market capitalization of $0.0B. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$5.6M$-12.0M$-11.7MN/A$-8.0M$24.4MN/A
FY 2024$7.4M$-18.9M$-21.5MN/A$-15.6M$4.4MN/A
FY 2023$5.4M$-21.5M$-22.3MN/A$-4.6MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses and net losses across all three periods shown. Per the market data, operating margin and net margin are each -60%, gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Reported cash rose to $24.4M in FY 2025 from $4.4M in FY 2024, while debt is listed as N/A in the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items are tagged to MSAI, all carrying a YELLOW light and "MARKET WIRE" impact label:

  • A Yahoo Finance comparison article framing MSAI against another IoT stock on a "better buy" basis.
  • A TradingView estimates headline for MSAI.
  • A Stocktwits item on sentiment score, message volume, participation, and buzz level.
  • A Stock Titan item stating that Microsoft later acquired the rights to technology developed by MultiSensor AI's new engineering VP.
  • An Investing.com UK item reporting the appointment of Monil Morar as VP of engineering.
  • A TradingKey item on unusual volume and volume spikes.

Risk watch items: The feed does not provide quantified financial impact for any item. The Microsoft rights item is the most substantive technology-related headline, but the source data does not describe its scope or financial effect. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, and no butterfly links or proprietary signals are present.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations for MSAI. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order ripples cannot be assessed from the data provided. The sector and industry classification (Technology / Electronic Components) is the only available sector context.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customers, and revenue sources, given the source data provides only a sector and industry classification?
  • What explains the reported cash balance rising to $24.4M in FY 2025 while FCF was negative, and what is the source of that cash?
  • What is the nature and scope of the Microsoft-related technology rights item, and does it affect the company's financial position?
  • What are the reported debt figures, given debt is listed as N/A across all periods in the SEC financials?
  • What explains the 52-week range of $3.26 to $96, and how does the current price of $3.43 relate to that range?

MSAI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. (MSAI) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MSAI Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MSAI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $3.26?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MSAI 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MSAI:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.02 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MSAI (E β€’ RQD 19/100) a Buy at $3.43?

Welcome to the MSAI (MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 19/100 (Roarable Strong Sell β€” Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Electronic Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.81 (-18.1%)
Spot @ $3.43

Pump the brakes on MSAI β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MSAI, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.15 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $3.43

MSAI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MSAI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electronic Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $3.43 (52-wk range $3.26 - $96.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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