What is MSA's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MSA.

Stock Ratings / Health Care / MSA / options

ALGN (63) SNN (58) ZBH (68) STE (71) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$186.44 +4.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $188.37

MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (46.5% gross margin, 17% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $6.89B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MSA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MSA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, MSA Safety Incorporated (NYSE: MSA) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $186.44 (+4.41% 1D, market cap $6.89B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 16/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, MSA ranks #69 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MSA compare to ALGN and SNN in the Health Care sector?

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Within the Health Care sector (Industrial Specialties), MSA carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.8x, gross margin of 46.5%, and ROIC of 16.6%. By comparison, ALGN (Align Technology Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 26.6x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $10.65B) and SNN (Smith & Nephew SNATS Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $12.44B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MSA leads on earnings multiple (24.8x) while MSA leads on capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSA?

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Per MSA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000066570), MSA Safety Incorporated generated $1.87B in revenue (+3.7% YoY), $278.9M in net income, and $295.4M in free cash flow against $2.55B in total assets and $572.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (46.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $188.36 (+1.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 15.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MSA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MSA SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.8% FCF Margin ($295.4M FCF) & 46.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.83 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$181.57+1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$183.34-3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$177.16+5.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$186.44+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MSA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, MSA faces multiple-compression risk if 24.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 44.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($182.11) or 200D SMA ($177.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($197.35) toward Bear Floor ($152.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MSA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MSA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±4.1%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MSA)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MSA.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MSA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MSA
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MSA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.82%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-11-03O $179.2H $186.4L $178.6C $186.4VOL 398.2K

RES: $183.3SUP: $177.1SMA50: $182.1SMA200: $177.9

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MSA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MSA Butterfly Map → + Track MSA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

18.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MSA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MSA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MSA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MSA)

Health Care Rank #69 of 1015 ⚔️ ALGN vs MSA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MSA vs. ALGN, SNN, ZBH, STE)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) ranks #69 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #135 by equity capitalization ($6.89B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MSA leads on earnings valuation at 24.8x trailing P/E, while MSA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.6% ROIC and 46.5% gross margin. MSA currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MSA ACTIVE MSA Safety Incorporated	B-	71/100	24.8x	46.5%	16.6%	+4.41%	$6.89B	Benchmark Subject
ALGN Align Technology Inc.	C	63/100	26.6x	67.2%	11.1%	+2.83%	$10.65B	/algn-vs-msa →
SNN Smith & Nephew SNATS Inc.	D+	58/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	+1.82%	$12.44B	/snn-vs-msa →
ZBH Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc.	C+	68/100	26.4x	69.7%	4.6%	+2.99%	$18.03B	/zbh-vs-msa →
STE STERIS plc (Ireland)	B-	71/100	28.9x	44.2%	10.1%	+2.74%	$22.14B	/ste-vs-msa →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000066570 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) reported GAAP revenue of $1.87B (+3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.81B , and +4.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $278.9M, operating cash flow of $363.9M, and free cash flow of $295.4M (+22.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, MSA closed FY2025 with $2.55B in total assets against $572.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.83, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.87B	$278.9M	$363.9M	$295.4M	$2.55B	$572.7M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.81B	$285.0M	$296.4M	$242.2M	$2.21B	$481.6M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.79B	$58.6M	$92.9M	$12.4M	$3.80B	$889.5M

3. MSA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MSA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MSA compare to ALGN and SNN in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MSA?

Where is MSA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MSA last traded at $186.44 (+4.41% on volume of 341,250 shares), positioning the stock +2.38% above its 50-day simple moving average ($182.11) and +4.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($177.94). Across its 52-week range of $151.11 to $208.92, MSA sits at the 61.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($178.80 to $194.08).

Direct Sub-Reports: MSA RQD Cockpit MSA 12M Forecast MSA Earnings & Move MSA Dividends & DRIP MSA Insiders & 13F MSA Whale Options MSA Profit Sankey MSA News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MSA — MSA Safety Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 71/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $186.44 (+4.41% 1D, market capitalization $6.89B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (18/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.6%, gross margin of 46.5%, operating margin of 19.8%, and free cash flow yield of 4.27%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (16/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 0.87x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.83, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.42x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

MSA Safety Incorporated is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Health Care sector and Industrial Specialties industry,. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 46.5%, an operating margin of 19.8%, and a net margin of 14.9%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) reported $1.87B in annual revenue (up from $1.81B in FY2024, +3.7% YoY) and $278.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.79B revenue, $58.6M net income) through FY2025, MSA scaled operating cash flow to $363.9M and free cash flow to $295.4M, backed by $2.55B in total assets against $572.7M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 71/100): Strong cash generator (46.5% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $151.11 – $208.92 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 24.8x trailing P/E and 17.0x EV/EBITDA against 19.8% operating margins and a 0.87x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Specialties (Health Care), MSA carries a macro regime beta of 0.87 and gross margin of 46.5%.

Key Question #1: Can MSA sustain or expand its 19.8% operating margin and 16.6% ROIC against Industrial Specialties peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.87B and free cash flow of $295.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $572.7M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is MSA's 23.1x forward P/E multiple to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.87x)?

MSA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MSA Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 21h ago

MSA (MSA) vs. HON and DOV: Can Detection Growth Unlock the Next Phase of Expansion?

Yahoo Finance report covering MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

MSA Safety Incorporated Estimates – NYSE:MSA

TradingView report covering MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE PR Newswire • 1d ago

MSA Safety Declares Quarterly Dividend

PR Newswire report covering MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago

MSA Safety declares quarterly dividend of $0.54 per share

Investing.com report covering MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) Stock Forecasts

Yahoo Finance report covering MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

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🟢 CATALYST www.marketscreener.com • 1d ago

MSA Safety Keeps Quarterly Dividend at $0.54 a Share; Payable Dec. 10 to Shareholders of Record on Nov. 13

www.marketscreener.com report covering MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Two kinds of MSA Safety shares will get dividends on different dates in December.

Stock Titan report covering MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

MSA Safety Incorporporated $MSA Shares Sold by Argent Capital Management LLC

MarketBeat report covering MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MSA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $186.44?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MSA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $207.14 (+16.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, an ROIC of 16.6% and a 4.27% FCF yield anchor the highest pillar score of 18 / 20 in the fundamental cash

Picked up a starter position in MSA in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $178.57. Per the Roarable RQD rating, an ROIC of 16.6% and a 4.27% FCF yield anchor the highest pillar score of 18 / 20 in the fundamental cash engine.. Trading inside a $152.86–$208.92 52-week range with 4.27% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Specialties multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $178.57 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $141.07 (-21.0%)

Spot @ $178.57

Per the market data, a P/E (TTM) of 24.8 and EV/EBITDA of 17 leave limited room for valuation upside if the returns profile weakens.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on MSA: Per the market data, a P/E (TTM) of 24.8 and EV/EBITDA of 17 leave limited room for valuation upside if the returns profile weakens.. At 24.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Industrial Specialties triggers a 12-15% air pocket.