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Stock Ratings / Technology / MPTI / dividends
ERII (59) ASYS (41) VELO (26) SHMD (46) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

M-tron Industries Inc. (MPTI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$66.19 -4.10% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $65.58

M-tron Industries Inc. (MPTI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $300.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MPTI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MPTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, M-tron Industries Inc. (NYSE: MPTI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $66.19 (-4.10% 1D, market cap $300.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MPTI ranks #290 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MPTI compare to ERII and ASYS in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), MPTI carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.2%. By comparison, ERII (Energy Recovery Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 11.9%, cap $363.4M) and ASYS (Amtech Systems Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $239.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ERII leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MPTI?
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Per MPTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001902314), M-tron Industries Inc. generated $54.4M in revenue (+11.0% YoY), $8.4M in net income, and $8.1M in free cash flow against $68.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $65.57 (-0.93%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 14.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (17)Whales (7)SEC (12)Macro (7)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$110 Bull$66 Base$51 Bear
📬 FREE MPTI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MPTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MPTI SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.9% FCF Margin ($8.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (46.6) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$70.00-3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$67.60+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$67.66-2.2% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$66.19-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MPTI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, MPTI faces multiple-compression risk if 35.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($73.27) or 200D SMA ($75.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($65.59) toward Bear Floor ($51.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MPTI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MPTI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $21,390

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $385/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.6K
Yr 2
$12.6K
Yr 3
$13.6K
Yr 4
$14.6K
Yr 5
$15.8K
Yr 6
$17.0K
Yr 7
$18.4K
Yr 8
$19.8K
Yr 9
$21.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MPTI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MPTI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
MPTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.89%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $69.41H $69.41L $66.19C $66.19VOL 34.0K
RES: $70.15SUP: $61.19SMA50: $73.27SMA200: $75.09
$108.3$94.09$79.90$65.71$51.52RES $70.15SUP $61.19$66.192026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MPTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MPTI Butterfly Map → + Track MPTI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MPTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MPTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MPTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MPTI)

Technology Rank #290 of 714 ⚔️ ERII vs MPTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MPTI vs. ERII, ASYS, VELO, SHMD)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, M-tron Industries Inc. (MPTI) ranks #290 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #446 by equity capitalization ($300.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ERII leads on earnings valuation at 15.8x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ERII currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with MPTI at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MPTI ACTIVE
M-tron Industries Inc.
D+ 56/100 35.5x — 19.2% -4.10% $300.0M Benchmark Subject
ERII
Energy Recovery Inc.
C- 59/100 15.8x 65.1% 11.9% -2.25% $363.4M /erii-vs-mpti →
ASYS
Amtech Systems Inc.
D- 41/100 — 34.0% -35.0% -6.80% $239.5M /asys-vs-mpti →
VELO
Velo3D Inc.
E 26/100 — -16.1% -35.0% -7.21% $227.3M /velo-vs-mpti →
SHMD
SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — -8.42% $186.5M /shmd-vs-mpti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001902314

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), M-tron Industries Inc. (MPTI) reported GAAP revenue of $54.4M (+11.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $49.0M , and +32.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.4M, operating cash flow of $10.7M, and free cash flow of $8.1M (+44.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MPTI closed FY2025 with $68.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $54.4M $8.4M $10.7M $8.1M $68.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $49.0M $7.6M $7.5M $5.6M $36.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $41.2M $3.5M $4.4M $4.4M — —

3. MPTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MPTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, M-tron Industries Inc. (NYSE: MPTI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $66.19 (-4.10% 1D, market cap $300.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MPTI ranks #290 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MPTI compare to ERII and ASYS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), MPTI carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 35.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.2%. By comparison, ERII (Energy Recovery Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 15.8x, ROIC 11.9%, cap $363.4M) and ASYS (Amtech Systems Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $239.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ERII leads on earnings multiple (15.8x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MPTI?

Per MPTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001902314), M-tron Industries Inc. generated $54.4M in revenue (+11.0% YoY), $8.4M in net income, and $8.1M in free cash flow against $68.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MPTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MPTI last traded at $66.19 (-4.10% on volume of 44,663 shares), positioning the stock -9.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($73.27) and -11.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($75.09). Across its 52-week range of $43.55 to $104.85, MPTI sits at the 36.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($60.89 to $71.49).

MPTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does MPTI pay a dividend and is it safe?

M-tron Industries Inc. (MPTI) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: MPTI RQD Cockpit MPTI 12M Forecast MPTI Earnings & Move MPTI Dividends & DRIP MPTI Insiders & 13F MPTI Whale Options MPTI Profit Sankey MPTI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MPTI — M-tron Industries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:38:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 56 (grade D+), labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim," per the Roarable RQD rating. Across its five pillars, the cash engine scores 17 of 20 (ROIC 19.2%; FCF yield 2.7%), which is the strongest component and the main upside driver in the framework. Insider conviction scores 13 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), indicating moderate support from insider and congressional activity. Forensic balance sheet scores 12 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.5), a middling reading. Whale/13F flow scores 7 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), and macro regime fit scores 7 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), the two weakest pillars.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a mismatch: operating returns are strong, but the valuation multiples are elevated relative to the reported free cash flow yield, and institutional and macro-fit signals are weak. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the overall verdict is a trim-oriented stance rather than an accumulation stance. This is an analytical reading of the framework, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
69.02$300.0M35.53322.41.940%1.0$43.55 - $104.8519.2%

Business

M-tron Industries Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Industrial Machinery/Components industry, per the profile. Not available in source data for product lines, customer base, or revenue model detail. The source data reports revenue for FY 2025, FY 2024, and FY 2023 in the SEC financials, but does not describe what the company sells or to whom.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items were reported. Two are flagged RED (RISK WATCH): a Seeking Alpha piece headlined "M-tron Industries: Strong Demand, But The Stock Needs Execution," and a Stock Traders Daily setup piece. Three are flagged YELLOW (MARKET WIRE): a Yahoo Finance report on market outperformance, a MarketBeat report on a 3.8% share gain, and a TradingKey most-active-stocks listing. One is flagged GREEN (CATALYST): a Yahoo Finance report on market outperformance. The headlines themselves are routine market-coverage items; the catalyst content is limited to the flagged labels. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or butterfly links are present.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlations. The one analytical observation available from the source data is that the Technology sector and Industrial Machinery/Components industry classification, combined with Beta of 1.0, implies market-level sensitivity rather than a specific documented ripple pathway.

Open Questions

  • What products and customers generate the reported revenue, and how is revenue concentrated?
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0% while operating margin is 18.9%, and what is the correct gross margin?
  • What are EPS and total debt for the reported fiscal years, given that these fields are marked N/A in the financials?
  • What is the composition of the 13F, insider Form 4, and Congressional trade flows underlying the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What drove the 52-week range from $43.55 to $104.85, and how does the current $69.02 price relate to those levels?

MPTI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for M-tron Industries Inc. (MPTI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MPTI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MPTI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $66.19?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MPTI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MPTI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $74.54 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MPTI (D+ • RQD 56/100) a Buy at $69.02?

Welcome to the MPTI (M-tron Industries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 56/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (35.5x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $56.60 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $69.02

Pump the brakes on MPTI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MPTI, but look at what you are paying: 35.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless M-tron Industries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $86.97 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $69.02

MPTI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MPTI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $69.02 (52-wk range $43.55 - $104.85), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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