MPLX LP Common (MPLX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$60.16 +0.45% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.35

MPLX LP Common (MPLX) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ β€’ BUY Cap $60.72B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MPLX Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MPLX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, MPLX LP Common (NYSE: MPLX) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $60.16 (+0.45% 1D, market cap $60.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, MPLX ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MPLX compare to TRP and SRE in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), MPLX carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.1x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 19.3%. By comparison, TRP (TC Energy Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $64.33B) and SRE (DBA Sempra) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 30.6x, ROIC 3.3%, cap $56.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MPLX leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while TRGP leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MPLX?
β–Ό

Per MPLX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001552000), MPLX LP Common generated $9.73B in revenue (+5.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $4.10B in free cash flow against $43.01B in total assets and $12.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.35 (+0.32%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 42.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 70.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B+
025507510077
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ Β· Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (15)SEC (14)Macro (16)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.5% Base Target
$77 Bull$65 Base$49 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE MPLX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MPLX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY MPLX SCORES 77/100 (B+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 93% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 6 pts from forensic ceiling

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$56.83+2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$58.18+0.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
74
Grade B+$58.65+2.6% Next Q
Current
77
Grade B+$60.16+7.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (69) β†’ B+ (77)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MPLX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, MPLX faces multiple-compression risk if 13.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($58.40) or 200D SMA ($57.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($65.30) toward Bear Floor ($49.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MPLXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œMPLX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±3.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MPLX)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MPLX.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MPLX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MPLX
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MPLX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.23%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-01O $58.93H $60.16L $58.93C $60.16VOL 1.08M
RES: $62.03SUP: $56.12SMA50: $58.40SMA200: $57.25
$61.48$59.29$57.10$54.91$52.72RES $62.03SUP $56.12$60.162026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-01
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MPLX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MPLX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MPLX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MPLX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MPLX)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (MPLX vs. TRP, SRE, TRGP, KMI)

Industry: Natural Gas Distribution (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MPLX LP Common (MPLX) ranks #9 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #29 by equity capitalization ($60.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MPLX leads on earnings valuation at 13.1x trailing P/E, while TRGP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.0% ROIC and 38.3% gross margin. MPLX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MPLX ACTIVE
MPLX LP Common
B+ 77/100 13.1x β€” 19.3% +0.45% $60.72B Benchmark Subject
TRP
TC Energy Corporation
C 65/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +0.26% $64.33B /trp-vs-mplx β†’
SRE
DBA Sempra
D+ 56/100 30.6x β€” 3.3% +0.20% $56.16B /sre-vs-mplx β†’
TRGP
Targa Resources Inc.
B 72/100 34.8x 38.3% 33.0% +0.84% $66.98B /trgp-vs-mplx β†’
KMI
Kinder Morgan Inc.
C+ 67/100 24.8x β€” 6.0% -0.29% $75.68B /kmi-vs-mplx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001552000

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MPLX LP Common (MPLX) reported GAAP revenue of $9.73B (+5.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.19B , and +11.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $5.91B, and free cash flow of $4.10B (-16.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, MPLX closed FY2025 with $43.01B in total assets against $12.81B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.17, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $9.73B $0 $5.91B $4.10B $43.01B $12.81B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.19B $0 $5.95B $4.89B $37.51B $10.58B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.73B $3.93B $5.40B $5.00B $33.40B $7.81B

3. MPLX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MPLX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, MPLX LP Common (NYSE: MPLX) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $60.16 (+0.45% 1D, market cap $60.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, MPLX ranks #9 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MPLX compare to TRP and SRE in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Natural Gas Distribution), MPLX carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 13.1x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 19.3%. By comparison, TRP (TC Energy Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $64.33B) and SRE (DBA Sempra) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 30.6x, ROIC 3.3%, cap $56.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MPLX leads on earnings multiple (13.1x) while TRGP leads on capital efficiency (33.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MPLX?

Per MPLX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001552000), MPLX LP Common generated $9.73B in revenue (+5.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $4.10B in free cash flow against $43.01B in total assets and $12.81B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MPLX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MPLX last traded at $60.16 (+0.45% on volume of 1,483,285 shares), positioning the stock +3.01% above its 50-day simple moving average ($58.40) and +5.08% above its 200-day simple moving average ($57.25). Across its 52-week range of $50.22 to $60.95, MPLX sits at the 92.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.6% ($57.99 to $62.33).

MPLX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is MPLX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MPLX.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 77/100 (B+) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MPLX β€” MPLX LP Common: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MPLX scores 77 out of 100, a B+ grade, with the verdict "Roarable Buy β€” Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 (ROIC 19.3%; FCF yield 6.75%), Whale 13F Flow at 15/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 18/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 16/20 (Beta 0.89; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.17; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.82). The strongest pillar is insider conviction, the weakest are the cash engine and balance sheet, each at 14/20. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on cash generation and on insider and institutional activity that the rating reads as supportive. The valuation tradeoff is that the cash engine pillar is not at its maximum, and the balance sheet, while scoring a Piotroski F of 8/9, carries a Debt/Equity of 0.82 and a reported debt level that rose across the three periods shown. The rating is a data-driven summary, not a recommendation to act.

Snapshot

MetricValue
Price59.89
Market Cap$60.72B
P/E (TTM)13.1
Forward P/E12.2
EV/EBITDA9.4
EPS (TTM)4.57
Dividend Yield0%
Beta0.89
52-Wk Range$50.22 - $60.95
ROIC %19.3%

Business

MPLX LP Common is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Energy sector and the Natural Gas Distribution industry, with a market capitalization of $60.7B per the profile. Not available in source data for detailed product lines, customer segments, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $9726.0M for FY 2025 and an operating margin of 61.1% per the market data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$9726.0M$5943.0M$0.0MN/A$4101.0M$2137.0M$12814.6M
FY 2024$9189.0M$5288.0M$0.0MN/A$4890.0M$1519.0M$10575.5M
FY 2023$8733.0M$4900.0M$3928.0MN/A$5004.0MN/A$7814.7M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $8733.0M in FY 2023 to $9726.0M in FY 2025, while operating income rose from $4900.0M to $5943.0M. Net income is reported as $0.0M for FY 2025 and FY 2024 and as $3928.0M for FY 2023; the source data does not explain this discrepancy. Free cash flow declined from $5004.0M to $4101.0M over the same span while reported debt rose from $7814.7M to $12814.6M. Per the market data, net margin is 47.7% and ROIC is 19.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.17, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.82.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Five headlines from the news wire are dated within the last 12 hours; four are flagged GREEN "CATALYST" and one is flagged YELLOW "MARKET WIRE." The headlines reference a Seeking Alpha upgrade describing MPLX as a passive income growth vehicle, a note stating the stock is paying a 7.4% yield while awaiting a distribution raise described as already funded, and three items covering Energy Transfer and Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) that the feed relates to MPLX. Summaries are generic and do not contain figures beyond the headlines. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply_chain field is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items per the news wire include the 7.4% yield claim, which conflicts with the 0% dividend yield in the market data, and reliance on a single outside publisher.

Open Questions

  • What explains the reported net income of $0.0M for FY 2025 and FY 2024 when operating income is positive, and the blank EPS fields?
  • Why does the market data show a 0% dividend yield while news headlines reference a 7.4% yield and a distribution raise?
  • What drove the rise in reported debt from $7814.7M to $12814.6M while free cash flow declined?
  • What are the specific insider, 13F, and Congressional trades underlying the 18/20 and 15/20 pillar scores?
  • What supply-chain, customer, and sector dependencies sit behind the Natural Gas Distribution classification?

MPLX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MPLX LP Common (MPLX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to MPLX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MPLX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $60.16?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MPLX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MPLX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $70.67 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MPLX (B+ β€’ RQD 77/100) a Buy at $59.89?

Welcome to the MPLX (MPLX LP Common) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 77/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Natural Gas Distribution. Bulls point to capital efficiency (19.3% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $46.12 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $59.89

Pump the brakes on MPLX β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MPLX, but look at what you are paying: 13.1x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless MPLX LP Common expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $72.47 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $59.89

MPLX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MPLX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Natural Gas Distribution and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $59.89 (52-wk range $50.22 - $60.95), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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