FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts

Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.3% Move

$208.45 +1.79% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $208.73

Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.69B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MOH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MOH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Molina Healthcare Inc (NYSE: MOH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $208.45 (+1.79% 1D, market cap $10.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, MOH ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MOH compare to CAI and HSIC in the Health Care sector?
▼

Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), MOH carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.0x, gross margin of 13.1%, and ROIC of 17.2%. By comparison, CAI (Caris Life Sciences Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.4%, cap $9.70B) and HSIC (Henry Schein Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $9.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MOH leads on earnings multiple (22.0x) while MOH leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOH?
▼

Per MOH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001179929), Molina Healthcare Inc generated $45.43B in revenue (+11.7% YoY), $472.0M in net income, and -$636.0M in free cash flow against $15.56B in total assets and $3.77B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $208.72 (+0.13%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (10)Whales (14)SEC (14)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.5% Base Target
$257 Bull$208 Base$162 Bear
📬 FREE MOH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MOH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MOH SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.34 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$209.19+2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$214.90-7.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$198.10+5.2% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$208.45-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MOH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, MOH faces multiple-compression risk if 22.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($200.67) or 200D SMA ($185.03) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($207.51) toward Bear Floor ($161.86).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MOH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MOH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.3% Swing Band

±$19.39 Expected Swing
$189.06 (-9.3%)Spot $208.45$227.84 (+9.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MOH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 57/100

Trailing EPS: $9.04 • YoY Revenue Growth: 11.7%

Model Bullish Setup (57/100)Model Risk Weight (43/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$45.43B$472.0M-$636.0M13.1%
FY 20242024-12-31$40.65B$1.18B$544.0M15.3%
FY 20232023-12-31$34.07B$1.09B$128.8M13.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MOH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MOH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
MOH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.61%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $199.0H $208.5L $199.0C $208.5VOL 1.75M
RES: $228.1SUP: $174.1SMA50: $200.7SMA200: $185.0
$251.4$224.4$197.4$170.4$143.4RES $228.1SUP $174.1$208.52026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MOH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
15.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MOH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MOH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MOH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MOH)

Health Care Rank #187 of 1015 ⚔️ CAI vs MOH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MOH vs. CAI, HSIC, OSCR, GRAL)

Industry: Medical Specialities (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) ranks #187 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #100 by equity capitalization ($10.69B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MOH leads on earnings valuation at 22.0x trailing P/E, while MOH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.2% ROIC and 13.1% gross margin. CAI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with MOH at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MOH ACTIVE
Molina Healthcare Inc
D+ 57/100 22.0x 13.1% 17.2% +1.79% $10.69B Benchmark Subject
CAI
Caris Life Sciences Inc.
B 73/100 — — 4.4% -6.50% $9.70B /cai-vs-moh →
HSIC
Henry Schein Inc.
D+ 58/100 23.0x 31.1% 11.2% +2.05% $9.46B /hsic-vs-moh →
OSCR
Oscar Health Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — -35.0% +2.07% $9.37B /oscr-vs-moh →
GRAL
GRAIL Inc.
D+ 54/100 — — -18.0% -6.74% $6.41B /gral-vs-moh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001179929 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) reported GAAP revenue of $45.43B (+11.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $40.65B , and +33.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $472.0M, operating cash flow of -$535.0M, and free cash flow of -$636.0M (-216.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, MOH closed FY2025 with $15.56B in total assets against $3.77B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.34, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $45.43B $472.0M -$535.0M -$636.0M $15.56B $3.77B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $40.65B $1.18B $644.0M $544.0M $15.63B $2.92B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $34.07B $1.09B $1.66B $128.8M $40.89B $9.57B

3. MOH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MOH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Molina Healthcare Inc (NYSE: MOH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $208.45 (+1.79% 1D, market cap $10.69B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, MOH ranks #187 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MOH compare to CAI and HSIC in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), MOH carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.0x, gross margin of 13.1%, and ROIC of 17.2%. By comparison, CAI (Caris Life Sciences Inc.) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.4%, cap $9.70B) and HSIC (Henry Schein Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 23.0x, ROIC 11.2%, cap $9.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MOH leads on earnings multiple (22.0x) while MOH leads on capital efficiency (17.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MOH?

Per MOH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001179929), Molina Healthcare Inc generated $45.43B in revenue (+11.7% YoY), $472.0M in net income, and -$636.0M in free cash flow against $15.56B in total assets and $3.77B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MOH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MOH last traded at $208.45 (+1.79% on volume of 1,269,556 shares), positioning the stock +3.88% above its 50-day simple moving average ($200.67) and +12.66% above its 200-day simple moving average ($185.03). Across its 52-week range of $121.06 to $244.89, MOH sits at the 70.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($189.06 to $227.84).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MOH — Molina Healthcare Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 57/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $208.45 (+1.79% 1D, market capitalization $10.69B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 17.2%, gross margin of 13.1%, operating margin of 1.7%, and free cash flow yield of -6.12%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 0.94x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.34, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.93x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Medical Specialities industry (Health Care sector) with an equity market capitalization of $10.69B. The business operates with a gross margin of 13.1%, an operating margin of 1.7%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 17.2% (free cash flow yield of -6.12%). Within the Medical Specialities peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) reported $45.43B in annual revenue (up from $40.65B in FY2024, +11.7% YoY) and $472.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($34.07B revenue, $1.09B net income) through FY2025, MOH scaled operating cash flow to -$535.0M and free cash flow to -$636.0M, backed by $15.56B in total assets against $3.77B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 57/100): Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -6.12% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $121.06 – $244.89 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 22.0x trailing P/E and 11.4x EV/EBITDA against 1.7% operating margins and a 0.94x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Medical Specialities (Health Care), MOH carries a macro regime beta of 0.94 and gross margin of 13.1%.

  • Key Question #1: Can MOH sustain or expand its 1.7% operating margin and 17.2% ROIC against Medical Specialities peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $45.43B and free cash flow of -$636.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $3.77B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is MOH's 20.5x forward P/E multiple to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.94x)?

MOH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MOH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Forbes • 1d ago
Molina Healthcare

Forbes report covering Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MOH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $208.45?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MOH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MOH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $249.83 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 14 of 20 with Altman Z 4.34 and ROIC 17.2%, indicating financial strength beneath weak near-term cash flo

Picked up a starter position in MOH in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $204.78. Forensic balance sheet scores 14 of 20 with Altman Z 4.34 and ROIC 17.2%, indicating financial strength beneath weak near-term cash flow.. Trading inside a $121.06–$244.89 52-week range with -6.12% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Medical Specialities multiples expand this quarter.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MultipleCompression Fair point on 22.0x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Medical Specialities. If gross margin (13.1%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $176.11 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $204.78

FY 2025 free cash flow of -$636.0M, FCF yield of -6.12%, and a 1.7% operating margin leave limited cushion against the 22x trailing P/E

FY 2025 free cash flow of -$636.0M, FCF yield of -6.12%, and a 1.7% operating margin leave limited cushion against the 22x trailing P/E.. Look at the math on MOH: paying 22.0x trailing P/E for 17.2% ROIC and 1.7% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Medical Specialities demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $180.21 before getting long.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%