When is MKL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Markel Group Inc. (MKL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is MKL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.4% event move for MKL, spanning a range between $1839.67 and $1969.17.

Stock Ratings / Financials / MKL / earnings

L (69) WRB (76) CINF (77) EG (74) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.4% Move

$1,904.42 +1.85% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,907.14

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $22.87B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MKL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MKL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Markel Group Inc. (NYSE: MKL) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $1,904.42 (+1.85% 1D, market cap $22.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 17/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, MKL ranks #228 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MKL compare to L and WRB in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Property-Casualty Insurers), MKL carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.1%. By comparison, L (Loews Corporation) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 13.7x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $22.76B) and WRB (W.R. Berkley Corporation) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 15.3x, ROIC 8.0%, cap $27.42B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EG leads on earnings multiple (9.7x) while CINF leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKL?

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Per MKL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001096343), Markel Group Inc. generated $15.51B in revenue (+4.7% YoY), $2.11B in net income, and $2.55B in free cash flow against $68.91B in total assets and $22.41B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,907.09 (+0.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 16.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MKL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MKL SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (60.3) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$1,797.10+4.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$1,871.94-1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$1,844.76+3.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C$1,904.42+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MKL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, MKL faces multiple-compression risk if 10.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1,801.62) or 200D SMA ($1,893.25) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1,964.41) toward Bear Floor ($1,532.24).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MKL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MKL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.4% Swing Band

±$64.75 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

MKL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 65/100

Trailing EPS: $172.29 • YoY Revenue Growth: 4.7%

Model Bullish Setup (65/100)Model Risk Weight (35/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$15.51B	$2.11B	$2.55B	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$14.81B	$2.75B	$2.34B	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$14.28B	$2.00B	$2.14B	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating MKL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on MKL
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MKL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.74%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $1,867.2H $1,904.4L $1,867.2C $1,904.4VOL 65.9K

RES: $1,925.2SUP: $1,638.9SMA50: $1,801.6SMA200: $1,893.3

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MKL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MKL Butterfly Map → + Track MKL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

0.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MKL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MKL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MKL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MKL)

Financials Rank #228 of 1097 ⚔️ L vs MKL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MKL vs. L, WRB, CINF, EG)

Industry: Property-Casualty Insurers (68 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Markel Group Inc. (MKL) ranks #228 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #110 by equity capitalization ($22.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EG leads on earnings valuation at 9.7x trailing P/E, while CINF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and — gross margin. CINF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with MKL at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MKL ACTIVE Markel Group Inc.	C	65/100	10.8x	—	7.1%	+1.85%	$22.87B	Benchmark Subject
L Loews Corporation	C+	69/100	13.7x	—	4.4%	+0.02%	$22.76B	/l-vs-mkl →
WRB W.R. Berkley Corporation	B+	76/100	15.3x	—	8.0%	+1.76%	$27.42B	/wrb-vs-mkl →
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corporation	B+	77/100	11.7x	—	9.2%	+1.43%	$27.81B	/cinf-vs-mkl →
EG Everest Group Ltd.	B	74/100	9.7x	—	5.5%	+1.64%	$15.76B	/eg-vs-mkl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001096343 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Markel Group Inc. (MKL) reported GAAP revenue of $15.51B (+4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.81B , and +8.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.11B, operating cash flow of $2.76B, and free cash flow of $2.55B (+9.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MKL closed FY2025 with $68.91B in total assets against $22.41B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$15.51B	$2.11B	$2.76B	$2.55B	$68.91B	$22.41B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$14.81B	$2.75B	$2.59B	$2.34B	$61.90B	$19.99B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$14.28B	$2.00B	$2.79B	$2.14B	$17.14B	$4.01B

3. MKL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MKL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MKL compare to L and WRB in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MKL?

Where is MKL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MKL last traded at $1,904.42 (+1.85% on volume of 65,945 shares), positioning the stock +5.71% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1,801.62) and +0.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1,893.25). Across its 52-week range of $1,704.17 to $2,207.59, MKL sits at the 39.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.4% ($1,839.67 to $1,969.17).

Direct Sub-Reports: MKL RQD Cockpit MKL 12M Forecast MKL Earnings & Move MKL Dividends & DRIP MKL Insiders & 13F MKL Whale Options MKL Profit Sankey MKL News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MKL — Markel Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 65/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $1,904.42 (+1.85% 1D, market capitalization $22.87B).

Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 7.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 20.6%, and free cash flow yield of 11.19%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (17/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.10x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, operating within the Property-Casualty Insurers industry. The company's market capitalization is $22.8B. Revenue and operating structure are reported in the SEC financials below.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Markel Group Inc. (MKL) reported $15.51B in annual revenue (up from $14.81B in FY2024, +4.7% YoY) and $2.11B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($14.28B revenue, $2.00B net income) through FY2025, MKL scaled operating cash flow to $2.76B and free cash flow to $2.55B, backed by $68.91B in total assets against $22.41B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 65/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1,704.17 – $2,207.59 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 10.8x trailing P/E and 11.8x EV/EBITDA against 20.6% operating margins and a 1.10x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is therefore — Sector and industry classification (Financials / Property-Casualty Insurers) is the only context provided. A prospective investor should monitor reinsurance-credit conditions, as flagged in the Seeking Alpha headline, since reinsurance is a second-order dependency that the source data identifies only by reference.

Key Question #1: Can MKL sustain or expand its 20.6% operating margin and 7.1% ROIC against Property-Casualty Insurers peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $15.51B and free cash flow of $2.55B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $22.41B in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is MKL's 10.0x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.10x)?

MKL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Markel Group Inc. (MKL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MKL Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Should You Buy Markel Stock (MKL) on the Dip?

Yahoo Finance report covering Markel Group Inc. (MKL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Markel Underwriting Recovery Faces A Reinsurance Credit Test (NYSE:MKL)

Seeking Alpha report covering Markel Group Inc. (MKL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE StockInvest.us • 1d ago

Markel Stock Price Forecast. Should You Buy MKL?

StockInvest.us report covering Markel Group Inc. (MKL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

What Markel Group (MKL) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call

TradingView report covering Markel Group Inc. (MKL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance Singapore • 1d ago

Markel Group Inc. (MKL) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance Singapore report covering Markel Group Inc. (MKL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE The Globe and Mail • 1d ago

Markel Group (MKL) reports earnings tomorrow: what to expect

The Globe and Mail report covering Markel Group Inc. (MKL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

The public can hear Markel discuss quarterly results live Oct. 29.

Stock Titan report covering Markel Group Inc. (MKL) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 3d ago

Markel Group’s Q3 earnings call: our top 5 analyst questions

Markel Group’s third quarter results exceeded Wall Street’s expectations, with management attributing the performance to disciplined underwriting in its core insurance operations and strong contributions from its non-ins

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MKL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1,904.42?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MKL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2,206.39 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

A 11.19% FCF yield and a 10 forward P/E put a strong cash-generation profile on a low multiple, and insider flow scores 17/20.

Here is why I am bullish on MKL here at $1869.82: A 11.19% FCF yield and a 10 forward P/E put a strong cash-generation profile on a low multiple, and insider flow scores 17/20.. Compare MKL's 20.6% operating margin and 7.1% ROIC against the rest of Property-Casualty Insurers. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $1776.33 are getting bought.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — MKL's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1,514.55 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $1,869.82

Macro regime fit scores only 8/20 with beta 1.1, and ROIC of 7.1% with net income falling from $2.75B to $2.11B undercuts the cash-

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short MKL above $1869.82. Macro regime fit scores only 8/20 with beta 1.1, and ROIC of 7.1% with net income falling from $2.75B to $2.11B undercuts the cash-engine case.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20) and FCF yield (11.19%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $2207.59.