Yahoo Finance report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why MGX Stock dropped -3.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 23/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is MGX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: MGX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $0.76 (-3.24% 1D, market cap $29.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MGX ranks #953 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does MGX compare to GNTA and ALGS in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), MGX carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GNTA (Genenta Science S.p.A.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $29.8M) and ALGS (Aligos Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $30.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MGX leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGX?
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Per MGX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001785279), Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. generated $25.2M in revenue (-51.8% YoY), -$87.9M in net income, and -$89.5M in free cash flow against $221.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MGX Turnaround Squeeze
While MGX currently carries a cautious 23/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.03) and Max Pain ($0.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.68.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why MGX Stock dropped -3.24% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) dropped -3.24% to $0.76, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.75 – $2.55). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.75 – $2.55) with RSI-14 at 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.76 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Stock Titan report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Pluang report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BigGo Finance report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BigGo Finance report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BigGo Finance report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Gainers Vivos Therapeutics (NASDAQ:VVOS) stock increased by 17.9% to $0.16 during Monday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $2.8 million. SCWorx (NASDAQ:WORX) shares moved
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MGX)
- ✓Walkthrough of MGX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
MGX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. -51.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MGX)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MGX vs. GNTA, ALGS, ESLA, EVAX)
Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) ranks #953 by composite RQD confidence (23/100, grade E) and #801 by equity capitalization ($29.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MGX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. GNTA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with MGX at 23/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGX
ACTIVE
Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. | E | 23/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -3.24% | $29.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| GNTA Genenta Science S.p.A. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | +32.07% | $29.8M | /gnta-vs-mgx → |
| ALGS Aligos Therapeutics Inc. | E | 20/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -4.17% | $30.0M | /algs-vs-mgx → |
| ESLA Estrella Immunopharma Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -33.32% | $27.8M | /esla-vs-mgx → |
| EVAX Evaxion A/S | D | 46/100 | — | — | — | -0.34% | $26.4M | /evax-vs-mgx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001785279In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) reported GAAP revenue of $25.2M (-51.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $52.3M , and -43.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$87.9M, operating cash flow of -$88.9M, and free cash flow of -$89.5M (+20.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGX closed FY2025 with $221.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $25.2M | -$87.9M | -$88.9M | -$89.5M | $221.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $52.3M | -$78.1M | -$109.1M | -$112.2M | $324.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $44.8M | -$68.3M | -$91.4M | -$91.4M | — | — |
3. MGX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs MGX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: MGX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 23/100 at a spot price of $0.76 (-3.24% 1D, market cap $29.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MGX ranks #953 in composite RQD confidence.
How does MGX compare to GNTA and ALGS in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), MGX carries a Roarable E (23/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GNTA (Genenta Science S.p.A.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $29.8M) and ALGS (Aligos Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $30.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MGX leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGX?
Per MGX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001785279), Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. generated $25.2M in revenue (-51.8% YoY), -$87.9M in net income, and -$89.5M in free cash flow against $221.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is MGX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
MGX last traded at $0.76 (-3.24% on volume of 224,547 shares), positioning the stock -26.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.03) and -40.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.28). Across its 52-week range of $0.75 to $2.55, MGX sits at the 0.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.86).
MGX — Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
The MGX scores 24 out of 100, a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 5 / 20. this reflects ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, the company is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow to shareholders; any upside case must rest on future operating change rather than present cash generation.
- Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20. this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score indicates little supportive institutional flow in the source data, which removes a potential demand tailwind.
- Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the lowest pillar, signaling weak insider-side conviction in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 7 / 20. beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity considered. A beta of 1.0 means the stock moves in line with the broad market, so it offers no defensive cushion and no obvious macro-regime advantage in the source framing.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 5 / 20. the Altman Z-Score is 0.2, the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These forensic readings point to elevated balance-sheet stress.
The RQD framework weighs these factors heavily toward caution.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances). The company reported revenue of $25.2M for FY 2025, indicating it generates some revenue alongside substantial operating losses. — describes its customers or specific products and revenue model.
Revenue declined from $52.3M in FY 2024 to $25.2M in FY 2025, while net losses widened from -$78.1M to -$87.9M. Per the market data, operating margin and net margin are both -60%, gross margin is 0%, and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 1/9, both consistent with significant financial distress. Debt/Equity is 0.5; the debt figures themselves are N/A in the SEC financials.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Revenue of $25.2M in FY 2025 and a 1.03% price gain on the day show the company still generates sales and has some trading momentum. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $0.75 – $2.55 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case: A -35% ROIC, 0% FCF yield, Altman Z-Score of 0.2, and Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 point to severe financial distress and forensic balance-sheet risk. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Supply_chain is NONE and there are no butterfly_links. Upstream and downstream dependencies are — Sector correlations beyond the stated sector (Health Care) and industry (Biotechnology: Biological Products) are — Investors should watch for 2nd-order bottlenecks in clinical, manufacturing, or partnership dependencies, none of which are identified in the source data.
- Key Question #1: What are the company's debt obligations, given that debt figures are N/A in the SEC financials while Debt/Equity is reported as 0.5?
- Key Question #2: What is the cash runway implied by $41.7M cash against FY 2025 free cash flow of -$89.5M?
- Key Question #3: Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is their recent activity?
MGX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Pluang report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BigGo Finance report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BigGo Finance report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
BigGo Finance report covering Metagenomi Therapeutics Inc. (MGX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MGX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.76?
Revenue of $25.2M in FY 2025 and a 1.03% price gain on the day show the company still generates sales and has some trading momentum.
Revenue of $25.2M in FY 2025 and a 1.03% price gain on the day show the company still generates sales and has some trading momentum.. When you look under the hood at MGX, Fundamental Cash Engine is 5/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -35.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $2.55. My 12M target is $0.94.
@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.78 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.
A -35% ROIC, 0% FCF yield, Altman Z-Score of 0.2, and Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 point to severe financial distress and forensic balance-
A -35% ROIC, 0% FCF yield, Altman Z-Score of 0.2, and Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 point to severe financial distress and forensic balance-sheet risk.. Look at the math on MGX: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for -35.0% ROIC and -60.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $0.69 before getting long.