Magnite Inc. (MGNI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$21.64 +0.70% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.63

Magnite Inc. (MGNI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.08B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MGNI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Magnite Inc. (NASDAQ: MGNI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $21.64 (+0.70% 1D, market cap $3.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MGNI ranks #241 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MGNI compare to WIX and PPLI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), MGNI carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.2x, gross margin of 62.7%, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, WIX (Wix.com Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 64.5x, ROIC 0.8%, cap $3.23B) and PPLI (People Incorporated) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.5%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGNI leads on earnings multiple (22.2x) while MGNI leads on capital efficiency (10.8% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGNI?
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Per MGNI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001595974), Magnite Inc. generated $714.0M in revenue (+6.9% YoY), $144.6M in net income, and $165.6M in free cash flow against $3.16B in total assets and $347.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.63 (-0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 23.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (12)Macro (13)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$28 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE MGNI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MGNI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MGNI SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 68% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$25.32-6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$23.81-8.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$21.82-0.8% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$21.64+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MGNI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, MGNI faces multiple-compression risk if 22.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 60.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.92) or 200D SMA ($17.67) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.64) toward Bear Floor ($16.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MGNI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MGNI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your MGNI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $21.64: 462.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $16.88
$7,800
$-2,200 (-22.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $21.64
$10,000
+$0 (+0.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $28.18
$13,022
+$3,022 (+30.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$1958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MGNI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MGNI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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MGNI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +59.35%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $22.43H $22.43L $21.49C $21.64VOL 2.50M
RES: $28.48SUP: $20.80SMA50: $23.92SMA200: $17.67
$27.85$23.65$19.45$15.25$11.05RES $28.48SUP $20.80$21.642026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MGNI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MGNI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MGNI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MGNI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MGNI)

Technology Rank #241 of 714 ⚔️ WIX vs MGNI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (MGNI vs. WIX, PPLI, RUM, SRAD)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Magnite Inc. (MGNI) ranks #241 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #250 by equity capitalization ($3.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGNI leads on earnings valuation at 22.2x trailing P/E, while MGNI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.8% ROIC and 62.7% gross margin. MGNI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MGNI ACTIVE
Magnite Inc.
D+ 58/100 22.2x 62.7% 10.8% +0.70% $3.08B Benchmark Subject
WIX
Wix.com Ltd.
D+ 52/100 64.5x 68.1% 0.8% -2.75% $3.23B /wix-vs-mgni →
PPLI
People Incorporated
E 31/100 — 66.2% -1.5% +3.54% $2.65B /ppli-vs-mgni →
RUM
RUM Group Inc. (Class A)
E 27/100 — -6.7% -35.0% -5.07% $2.64B /rum-vs-mgni →
SRAD
Sportradar Group AG (Class A)
D 48/100 — — — +6.98% $3.75B /srad-vs-mgni →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001595974

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Magnite Inc. (MGNI) reported GAAP revenue of $714.0M (+6.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $668.2M , and +15.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $144.6M, operating cash flow of $236.2M, and free cash flow of $165.6M (-18.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MGNI closed FY2025 with $3.16B in total assets against $347.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.97, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $714.0M $144.6M $236.2M $165.6M $3.16B $347.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $668.2M $22.8M $235.2M $202.4M $2.85B $550.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $619.7M -$159.2M $214.4M $214.4M — —

3. MGNI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MGNI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Magnite Inc. (NASDAQ: MGNI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $21.64 (+0.70% 1D, market cap $3.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, MGNI ranks #241 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MGNI compare to WIX and PPLI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), MGNI carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.2x, gross margin of 62.7%, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, WIX (Wix.com Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 64.5x, ROIC 0.8%, cap $3.23B) and PPLI (People Incorporated) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.5%, cap $2.65B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGNI leads on earnings multiple (22.2x) while MGNI leads on capital efficiency (10.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MGNI?

Per MGNI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001595974), Magnite Inc. generated $714.0M in revenue (+6.9% YoY), $144.6M in net income, and $165.6M in free cash flow against $3.16B in total assets and $347.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MGNI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MGNI last traded at $21.64 (+0.70% on volume of 4,080,059 shares), positioning the stock -9.53% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.92) and +22.47% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.67). Across its 52-week range of $10.82 to $26.84, MGNI sits at the 67.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.4% ($19.82 to $23.46).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MGNI — Magnite Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:57Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MGNI scores 60 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. this pillar reflects ROIC of 10.8% and an FCF yield of 5.15%. It is the weakest pillar in relative terms, indicating that cash generation is present but not strong enough to drive a high score.
  • Whale / 13F Flow: 10 / 20. this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is mid-to-low, suggesting institutional interest is not decisively directional based on the provided data.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the strongest pillar, indicating comparatively more favorable insider-flow signals.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. this reflects a Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 implies market-matching volatility rather than amplified or dampened exposure.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 12 / 20. this reflects an Altman Z of 0.97, a Piotroski F of 9/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.38. The Piotroski reading is strong, while the Altman Z reading is low and warrants caution.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to a balanced, cautious profile rather than a clear buy or sell signal. The upside case rests on the insider-flow and balance-sheet-quality pillars and on the stock's reported 229% run referenced in the news wire. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: the P/E (TTM) is 22.2 and EV/EBITDA is 19.1, which the news wire headline characterizes as possibly still overvalued. The rating is an analytical summary of the provided data, not a personalized recommendation.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (MGNI) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, within the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry, with a market capitalization of $3.2B. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 62.7%. —

Revenue rose from $619.7M in FY 2023 to $714.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from a loss to $97.6M over the same period. Per the market data, the operating margin is 13.7% and the net margin is 20.3%, with ROIC at 10.8%. The Altman Z-Score is 0.97 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, while the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.38. Reported debt declined from $550.1M in FY 2024 to $347.7M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $553.4M.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Insider-flow pillar scores 15/20 and Piotroski F is 9/9, with FY 2025 net income of $144.6M and debt reduced to $347.7M. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 (ROIC 10.8%, FCF yield 5.15%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $10.82 – $26.84 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Altman Z of 0.97 and a P/E (TTM) of 22.2 with EV/EBITDA of 19.1 leave the stock exposed if the reported 229% run is already priced in. Investors must weigh 22.2x trailing P/E and 19.1x EV/EBITDA against 13.7% operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (Technology), MGNI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 62.7%.

  • Key Question #1: What products and customers generate Magnite's revenue, and how does the company monetize them?
  • Key Question #2: What were the reported EPS figures, since the financials list EPS as N/A for each period?
  • Key Question #3: What are the cash and debt figures for FY 2023, which are listed as N/A?

MGNI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Magnite Inc. (MGNI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MGNI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MGNI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.64?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MGNI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MGNI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.36 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider-flow pillar scores 15/20 and Piotroski F is 9/9, with FY 2025 net income of $144.6M and debt reduced to $347.7M.

Here is why I am bullish on MGNI here at $21.49: Insider-flow pillar scores 15/20 and Piotroski F is 9/9, with FY 2025 net income of $144.6M and debt reduced to $347.7M.. Compare MGNI's 13.7% operating margin and 10.8% ROIC against the rest of Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $20.42 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $21.49 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

CR CreditSpread_Watch Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.84 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $21.49

Altman Z of 0.97 and a P/E (TTM) of 22.2 with EV/EBITDA of 19.1 leave the stock exposed if the reported 229% run is already priced in.

Altman Z of 0.97 and a P/E (TTM) of 22.2 with EV/EBITDA of 19.1 leave the stock exposed if the reported 229% run is already priced in.. Look at the math on MGNI: paying 22.2x trailing P/E for 10.8% ROIC and 13.7% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Computer Software: Programming Data Processing demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $18.91 before getting long.

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