What is MDIA's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for MDIA.

Stock Ratings / Communication Services / MDIA / options

TSQ (29) SGA (50) SSP (40) IHRT (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$1.02 +14.61% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.04

Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $74.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MDIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: MDIA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.02 (+14.61% 1D, market cap $74.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, MDIA ranks #99 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MDIA compare to TSQ and SGA in the Communication Services sector?

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Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), MDIA carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -18.7%. By comparison, TSQ (Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.4%, cap $54.1M) and SGA (Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A)) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.5%, cap $51.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MDIA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TSQ leads on capital efficiency (8.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDIA?

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Per MDIA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001784254), Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) generated $133.3M in revenue (+39.5% YoY), $0 in net income, and $1.2M in free cash flow against $291.1M in total assets and $63.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.04 (+2.44%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MDIA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MDIA SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 44% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.9% FCF Margin ($1.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.05+4.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.10-3.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.06-3.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.02-8.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MDIA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MDIA currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.08) and Max Pain ($1.07) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.72.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MDIA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MDIA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MDIA)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for MDIA.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MDIA)

✓Walkthrough of MDIA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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MDIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.60%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-03O $0.99H $1.02L $0.89C $1.02VOL 7.2K

RES: $1.09SUP: $0.88SMA50: $1.08SMA200: $0.88

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MDIA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MDIA Butterfly Map → + Track MDIA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +39.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MDIA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MDIA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MDIA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MDIA)

Communication Services Rank #99 of 132 ⚔️ TSQ vs MDIA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (MDIA vs. TSQ, SGA, SSP, IHRT)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) ranks #99 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #97 by equity capitalization ($74.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MDIA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TSQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.4% ROIC and 25.5% gross margin. SGA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with MDIA at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MDIA ACTIVE Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	—	-18.7%	+14.61%	$74.8M	Benchmark Subject
TSQ Townsquare Media Inc. (Class A)	E	29/100	—	25.5%	8.4%	+7.07%	$54.1M	/tsq-vs-mdia →
SGA Saga Communications Inc. (FL) (Class A)	D	50/100	—	—	-6.5%	-4.07%	$51.5M	/sga-vs-mdia →
SSP E.W. Scripps Company (Class A)	D-	40/100	—	—	3.8%	+2.67%	$242.8M	/ssp-vs-mdia →
IHRT iHeartMedia Inc. (Class A)	D	48/100	—	—	—	-1.63%	$246.0M	/ihrt-vs-mdia →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001784254 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) reported GAAP revenue of $133.3M (+39.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $95.6M , and +311.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $2.0M, and free cash flow of $1.2M (+105.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MDIA closed FY2025 with $291.1M in total assets against $63.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$133.3M	$0	$2.0M	$1.2M	$291.1M	$63.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$95.6M	-$1.3M	-$19.9M	-$21.0M	$325.5M	$70.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$32.4M	-$7.6M	-$5.3M	-$5.3M	—	—

3. MDIA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MDIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MDIA compare to TSQ and SGA in the Communication Services sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDIA?

Where is MDIA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MDIA last traded at $1.02 (+14.61% on volume of 4,135 shares), positioning the stock -5.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.08) and +15.91% above its 200-day simple moving average ($0.88). Across its 52-week range of $0.54 to $1.64, MDIA sits at the 43.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.15).

Direct Sub-Reports: MDIA RQD Cockpit MDIA 12M Forecast MDIA Earnings & Move MDIA Dividends & DRIP MDIA Insiders & 13F MDIA Whale Options MDIA Profit Sankey MDIA News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

MDIA — Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit

Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.02 (+14.61% 1D, market capitalization $74.8M).

Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -18.7%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -18.6%, and free cash flow yield of 1.44%.
Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (7/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.37x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Communication Services sector and the Broadcasting industry. The market capitalization is $0.1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) reported $133.3M in annual revenue (up from $95.6M in FY2024, +39.5% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($32.4M revenue, -$7.6M net income) through FY2025, MDIA scaled operating cash flow to $2.0M and free cash flow to $1.2M, backed by $291.1M in total assets against $63.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.44% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.54 – $1.64 52-week range.
🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -18.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies, butterfly links, or proprietary signals are recorded for MDIA. The supply_chain field is "NONE. Investors should monitor how broader broadcasting sector movements affect MDIA's distressed balance sheet, since the forensic metrics suggest limited capacity to absorb adverse sector shocks.

Key Question #1: Can MDIA sustain or expand its -18.6% operating margin and -18.7% ROIC against Broadcasting peers over the next 4 quarters?
Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $133.3M and free cash flow of $1.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $63.3M in total debt?
Key Question #3: How sensitive is MDIA's equity valuation to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

MDIA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MDIA Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 23h ago

Mediaco Holding Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:MDIA

TradingView report covering Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Benzinga • 1d ago

12 Communication Services Stocks Moving In Monday's After-Market Session

Benzinga report covering Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

iHeartMedia (IHRT) Stock Price, News & Analysis

Stock Titan report covering Mediaco Holding Inc. (Class A) (MDIA) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 147d ago

Sigma Audio Networks Powered by MediaCo and WAPA Media Announce Strategic Partnership to Expand La Tendencia de Molusco Across the U.S.

NEW YORK, June 08, 2026--Sigma Audio Networks powered by MediaCo (Nasdaq: MDIA) and WAPA Media, a subsidiary of Hemisphere Media Group, have entered a strategic partnership to bring La Tendencia de Molusco, Puerto Rico’s

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 80d ago

MediaCo Reports Second Quarter Financial Results

NEW YORK, August 14, 2026--MediaCo Holding Inc. (Nasdaq: MDIA) reported financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 104d ago

MediaCo Appoints Brian Fisher as President

NEW YORK, July 21, 2026--MediaCo Holding Inc. (Nasdaq: MDIA) today announced executive leadership appointments that align the Company's leadership structure to support its long-term growth strategy.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 115d ago

CORRECTING and REPLACING MediaCo Announces Board Leadership Changes

NEW YORK, July 10, 2026--Fourth paragraph of release dated July 7, 2026 should read: The company further announced that Amit Thakrar has been appointed Chair of the Audit Committee and will succeed Robert Greene in that

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 125d ago

Zacks Initiates Coverage of MediaCo With Underperform Recommendation

Discover why Zacks rates MediaCo as "Underperform", being the first on Wall Street to initiate coverage on the stock. Explore MDIA's struggles with rising losses, mounting debt and integration challenges that cloud its t

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MDIA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MDIA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.13 (+27.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue expanded from $32.4M in FY 2023 to $133.3M in FY 2025 while FY 2025 free cash flow turned positive at $1.2M.

Revenue expanded from $32.4M in FY 2023 to $133.3M in FY 2025 while FY 2025 free cash flow turned positive at $1.2M.. When you look under the hood at MDIA, Fundamental Cash Engine is 8/20 with 0.0% gross margins and -18.7% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (7/20) has been quietly accumulating below $1.64. My 12M target is $1.13.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 37/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $0.89 and keeping dry powder in case we test $0.83.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.74 (-16.9%)

Spot @ $0.89

With an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and operating income of -$24.8M in FY 2025, the balance sheet shows acute di

Careful chasing MDIA at $0.89. With an Altman Z-Score of 0.2, a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and operating income of -$24.8M in FY 2025, the balance sheet shows acute distress signals.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is -18.6%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $0.74 on multiple compression.