Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. (MD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$29.82 +2.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.01

Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. (MD) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $2.33B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. (NYSE: MD) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $29.82 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $2.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MD ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MD compare to BKD and SGRY in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Hospital/Nursing Management), MD carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 33.6%. By comparison, BKD (Brookdale Senior Living Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $2.48B) and SGRY (Surgery Partners Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $3.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARDT leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while MD leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MD?
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Per MD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000893949), Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. generated $584.7M in revenue (+203.9% YoY), $165.4M in net income, and $271.1M in free cash flow against $2.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.01 (+0.63%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 46.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510077
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk C+
Cash (16)Whales (17)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.6% Base Target
$38 Bull$32 Base$24 Bear
📬 FREE MD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MD SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$26.61+5.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$28.08+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
74
Grade B+$28.84+3.4% Next Q
Current
77
Grade B+$29.82+7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → B+ (77)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the MD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, MD faces multiple-compression risk if 14.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($27.05) or 200D SMA ($23.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($32.37) toward Bear Floor ($24.45).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in MD & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on MD and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
MD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +33.07%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $29.18H $29.82L $29.18C $29.82VOL 1.11M
RES: $30.72SUP: $24.79SMA50: $27.05SMA200: $23.94
$31.33$28.11$24.89$21.68$18.46RES $30.72SUP $24.79$29.822026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MD)

Health Care Rank #27 of 1016 ⚔️ BKD vs MD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MD vs. BKD, SGRY, ARDT, NHC)

Industry: Hospital/Nursing Management (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. (MD) ranks #27 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #229 by equity capitalization ($2.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARDT leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while MD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 33.6% ROIC and — gross margin. MD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MD ACTIVE
Pediatrix Medical Group Inc.
B+ 77/100 14.3x — 33.6% +2.19% $2.33B Benchmark Subject
BKD
Brookdale Senior Living Inc.
E 32/100 — 26.2% 0.3% +1.17% $2.48B /bkd-vs-md →
SGRY
Surgery Partners Inc.
C+ 66/100 — — 9.9% 0.00% $3.04B /sgry-vs-md →
ARDT
Ardent Health Inc.
C+ 69/100 12.8x — 10.5% -2.19% $1.70B /ardt-vs-md →
NHC
National HealthCare Corporation
B 72/100 27.7x — 10.1% -2.84% $3.23B /nhc-vs-md →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000893949

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. (MD) reported GAAP revenue of $584.7M (+203.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $192.4M , and +2752.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $165.4M, operating cash flow of $271.1M, and free cash flow of $271.1M (+31.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, MD closed FY2025 with $2.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $584.7M $165.4M $271.1M $271.1M $2.25B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $192.4M -$99.1M $206.6M $206.6M $2.15B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $20.5M -$60.4M $137.3M $137.3M — —

3. MD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. (NYSE: MD) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $29.82 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $2.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MD ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MD compare to BKD and SGRY in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Hospital/Nursing Management), MD carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 33.6%. By comparison, BKD (Brookdale Senior Living Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $2.48B) and SGRY (Surgery Partners Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 9.9%, cap $3.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARDT leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while MD leads on capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MD?

Per MD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000893949), Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. generated $584.7M in revenue (+203.9% YoY), $165.4M in net income, and $271.1M in free cash flow against $2.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MD last traded at $29.82 (+2.19% on volume of 1,114,280 shares), positioning the stock +10.24% above its 50-day simple moving average ($27.05) and +24.56% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.94). Across its 52-week range of $17.23 to $30.55, MD sits at the 94.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($27.94 to $31.70).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 77/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MD — Pediatrix Medical Group Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:57Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, MD scores 76 out of 100, grading B+ and labeled "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects ROIC of 33.6% and an FCF yield of 11.43%. For an investor, these are the strongest quantitative supports in the rating: capital appears to generate high returns, and free cash flow is large relative to the market value.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. Positive institutional flow can support the price, but the underlying holder detail is not provided in this dataset.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the highest pillar and reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Strong insider signaling is a notable upside driver, though the individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with sector sensitivity. For an investor, this means MD is expected to move roughly in line with the broad market, so macro-driven drawdowns are not structurally amplified, but sector-specific shocks remain a factor.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the lowest pillar, indicating a solid but less pristine balance sheet than the cash and insider pillars suggest.

Valuation tradeoff: per the market data, trailing P/E is 14.3 and forward P/E is 13.3, with EV/EBITDA of 9.6. A prospective investor should weigh the strong cash-flow and insider signals against a valuation that is not stretched on these measures but has already moved meaningfully, as the news wire references a 154% run. The primary upside driver is sustained cash generation and insider conviction; the primary risk is that a balance sheet rated 13/20 offers less cushion if operating conditions weaken.

Business

Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating in the Hospital/Nursing Management industry. The profile identifies the business as a hospital and nursing management operator. Revenue is reported as — in each period of the financials, so the revenue-generation mechanics cannot be described from this dataset.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six items cover MD:

  • Green-light catalyst: a TradingView report headlined that Pediatrix Medical Group beats Q3 2026 sales expectations, flagged as a CATALYST with GREEN status.
  • Yellow-light market wire items: Yahoo Finance and ChartMill coverage describes the stock as undervalued despite a large run and as a value stock trading at a discount with solid profitability. A Yahoo Finance piece covers what management said on its Q3 earnings call. Simply Wall St reports the stock is back in focus. Stock Titan reports revenue rose 1.7% while net income fell to $47 million.
  • Risk watch item: the Stock Titan headline notes net income declined to $47 million despite revenue growth, which is a margin-quality question to monitor.
  • Proprietary signals: the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals and no supply-chain links.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from this dataset. An investor should note that the absence of mapped links is itself a limitation rather than evidence of an absence of dependencies.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the insider and whale pillars score 17/20 and 16/20 respectively, but the underlying transactions are not itemized in the holders or analyst sections.

Open Questions

  • Revenue is reported as — in every period. What is the actual top-line figure, and how do revenue and margins reconcile with the reported operating and net income?
  • Net income in the Stock Titan headline is cited as $47 million, which differs from the $165.4M FY 2025 figure in the SEC financials. Which period and basis does each figure reflect?
  • What drove the swing from a FY 2024 operating loss of $-68.7M to a FY 2025 operating income of $208.8M, and is it recurring?
  • Which institutional and insider transactions make up the 16/20 whale and 17/20 insider pillar scores, and who are the principal holders?
  • Debt is reported as N/A in every period, so what is the actual debt load behind the stated Debt/Equity of 0.5?

MD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. (MD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $29.82?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $34.43 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is MD (B+ • RQD 76/100) a Buy at $29.18?

Welcome to the MD (Pediatrix Medical Group Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 76/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Hospital/Nursing Management. Bulls point to capital efficiency (33.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $22.47 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $29.18

Pump the brakes on MD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on MD, but look at what you are paying: 14.3x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Pediatrix Medical Group Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $36.77 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $29.18

MD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on MD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hospital/Nursing Management and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $29.18 (52-wk range $16.90 - $30.55), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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