Mustang Bio Inc. (MBIO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$0.42 +3.72% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.42

Mustang Bio Inc. (MBIO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $3.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MBIO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Mustang Bio Inc. (NASDAQ: MBIO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $0.42 (+3.72% 1D, market cap $3.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MBIO ranks #452 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MBIO compare to CMND and ERNA in the Health Care sector?
▼

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), MBIO carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CMND (Clearmind Medicine Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.2M) and ERNA (Ernexa Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MBIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MBIO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBIO?
▼

Per MBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680048), Mustang Bio Inc. generated $6.8M in revenue (-85.0% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and -$5.3M in free cash flow against $17.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.42 (+0.48%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.1% Base Target
$2 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE MBIO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MBIO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MBIO SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$0.38+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$0.38-5.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$0.36+16.7% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$0.42-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MBIO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MBIO currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.47) and Max Pain ($0.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.52.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MBIO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MBIO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How MBIO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$6.8MGross Profit $3.5M (52%)Cost of Sales $3.3MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $3.5MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $137.9M
FY24
Rev $45.5M
FY25
Rev $6.8M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$6.8M52%-35.7%-$1.9M-$5.3M-45%
FY 2024$45.5M52%-35.7%-$15.8M-$11.4M-45%
FY 2023$137.9M52%-35.7%-$51.6M-$49.5M-35%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MBIO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MBIO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
MBIO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.00%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $0.39H $0.42L $0.39C $0.42VOL 48.3K
RES: $0.42SUP: $0.34SMA50: $0.47SMA200: $0.68
$1.28$1.03$0.78$0.52$0.27RES $0.42SUP $0.34$0.422026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MBIO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MBIO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MBIO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MBIO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MBIO)

Health Care Rank #452 of 1016 ⚔️ CMND vs MBIO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (MBIO vs. CMND, ERNA, EOCN, SXTP)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Mustang Bio Inc. (MBIO) ranks #452 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #977 by equity capitalization ($3.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MBIO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MBIO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CMND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with MBIO at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MBIO ACTIVE
Mustang Bio Inc.
D- 41/100 — — -35.0% +3.72% $3.0M Benchmark Subject
CMND
Clearmind Medicine Inc.
D 47/100 — — — -1.27% $3.2M /cmnd-vs-mbio →
ERNA
Ernexa Therapeutics Inc.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% -1.01% $3.2M /erna-vs-mbio →
EOCN
Eocene Ltd.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -7.54% $3.2M /eocn-vs-mbio →
SXTP
60 Degrees Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 38/100 — 22.3% -35.0% -3.65% $3.3M /sxtp-vs-mbio →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001680048

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Mustang Bio Inc. (MBIO) reported GAAP revenue of $6.8M (-85.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $45.5M , and -95.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.9M, operating cash flow of -$5.3M, and free cash flow of -$5.3M (+53.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, MBIO closed FY2025 with $17.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.8M -$1.9M -$5.3M -$5.3M $17.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $45.5M -$15.8M -$11.4M -$11.4M $9.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $137.9M -$51.6M -$49.5M -$49.5M — —

3. MBIO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MBIO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Mustang Bio Inc. (NASDAQ: MBIO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $0.42 (+3.72% 1D, market cap $3.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, MBIO ranks #452 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MBIO compare to CMND and ERNA in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), MBIO carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CMND (Clearmind Medicine Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.2M) and ERNA (Ernexa Therapeutics Inc.) posts a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MBIO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MBIO leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MBIO?

Per MBIO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001680048), Mustang Bio Inc. generated $6.8M in revenue (-85.0% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and -$5.3M in free cash flow against $17.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MBIO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MBIO last traded at $0.42 (+3.72% on volume of 34,155 shares), positioning the stock -10.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.47) and -38.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.68). Across its 52-week range of $0.35 to $1.45, MBIO sits at the 6.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.47).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

MBIO — Mustang Bio Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:54:15Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MBIO carries an RQD Score of 39 and a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 4 / 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), indicating that the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow. The whale 13F flow pillar scores 10 / 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, a middling reading. The insider conviction pillar scores 5 / 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, signaling weak insider-side support. The macro regime fit pillar scores 10 / 20, with a Beta of 1.0 and a sector sensitivity profile. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 10 / 20, reflecting an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 2/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests almost entirely on whether the company can convert its cash position into a durable operating path, since current cash flow and returns are negative. Valuation tradeoffs are sharp: with a market capitalization of $3.0M and a share price of 0.39, the equity is priced at a very small scale relative to the operating losses recorded in the SEC financials. The rating's weakest pillars point to the core risks of dilution, continued cash burn, and limited institutional or insider conviction. Any reading of the stock should weigh these structural factors against the short-term price momentum shown in the market data.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Mustang Bio Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry,. The SEC financials report revenue of — across the FY 2023, FY 2024, and FY 2025 periods, so the company is not generating reported revenue in the provided data. Beyond sector, industry, and exchange classification, further business detail is —

Operating and net losses narrowed from -$51.6M in FY 2023 to -$1.9M in FY 2025, and reported cash rose from $6.8M in FY 2024 to $17.3M in FY 2025. Gross, operating, and net margins are each 0% per the market data, and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, . Debt/Equity is 0.5, and the SEC table lists debt as N/A for each period.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Reported cash rose to $17.3M in FY 2025 while net loss narrowed to -$1.9M from -$51.6M in FY 2023. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 4/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $0.35 – $1.45 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: With a 39 RQD score, ROIC of -35%, zero FCF yield, and a $0.39 price amid a Nasdaq bid-price reprieve, the balance sheet and flow profile look vulnerable. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore —

  • Key Question #1: What products or clinical programs generate the company's R&D spending, and what is their development stage?
  • Key Question #2: What is the company's current debt obligation, since the SEC financials list debt as N/A?
  • Key Question #3: What is the cash runway implied by FY 2025 cash of $17.3M against FY 2025 free cash flow of -$5.3M?

MBIO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Mustang Bio Inc. (MBIO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to MBIO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

MBIO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.42?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON MBIO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on MBIO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.47 (+17.5%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported cash rose to $17.3M in FY 2025 while net loss narrowed to -$1.9M from -$51.6M in FY 2023.

The street is overcomplicating Mustang Bio Inc. (MBIO). Reported cash rose to $17.3M in FY 2025 while net loss narrowed to -$1.9M from -$51.6M in FY 2023.. With an RQD score of 41/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $0.43.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 12/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $0.40 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Health Care.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.30 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $0.40

With a 39 RQD score, ROIC of -35%, zero FCF yield, and a $0.39 price amid a Nasdaq bid-price reprieve, the balance sheet and flow profi

Careful chasing MBIO at $0.40. With a 39 RQD score, ROIC of -35%, zero FCF yield, and a $0.39 price amid a Nasdaq bid-price reprieve, the balance sheet and flow profile look vulnerable.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $0.30 on multiple compression.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%