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Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$177.15 -0.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $176.68

Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $41.92B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LYV Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LYV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: LYV) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $177.15 (-0.42% 1D, market cap $41.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LYV ranks #338 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LYV compare to TKO and WMG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LYV carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 84.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.5%. By comparison, TKO (TKO Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 61.9x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $34.20B) and WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 43.7x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $16.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WMG leads on earnings multiple (43.7x) while LYV leads on capital efficiency (29.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYV?
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Per LYV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001335258), Live Nation Entertainment Inc. generated $25.20B in revenue (+8.8% YoY), $496.0M in net income, and $333.6M in free cash flow against $22.91B in total assets and $5.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $176.67 (-0.27%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 1.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk D
Cash (15)Whales (16)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$210 Bull$178 Base$139 Bear
📬 FREE LYV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LYV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LYV SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.3% FCF Margin ($333.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (62.3) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
51
Grade C-$168.84+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
54
Grade C-$174.34-1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$172.50+2.7% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$177.15+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (51) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LYV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, LYV faces multiple-compression risk if 84.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($172.83) or 200D SMA ($167.16) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($177.95) toward Bear Floor ($138.80).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LYV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LYV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in LYV & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on LYV and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LYV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.42%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $177.8H $177.9L $177.2C $177.2VOL 1.96M
RES: $191.7SUP: $161.4SMA50: $172.8SMA200: $167.2
$191.9$181.1$170.3$159.5$148.7RES $191.7SUP $161.4$177.22026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LYV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LYV Butterfly Map → + Track LYV →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LYV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LYV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LYV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LYV)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #338 of 1009 ⚔️ TKO vs LYV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LYV vs. TKO, WMG, DKNG, LLYVK)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) ranks #338 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #49 by equity capitalization ($41.92B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WMG leads on earnings valuation at 43.7x trailing P/E, while LYV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.5% ROIC and — gross margin. LYV currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LYV ACTIVE
Live Nation Entertainment Inc.
C- 59/100 84.5x — 29.5% -0.42% $41.92B Benchmark Subject
TKO
TKO Group Holdings Inc.
D+ 54/100 61.9x — 9.9% +2.47% $34.20B /tko-vs-lyv →
WMG
Warner Music Group Corp.
D+ 54/100 43.7x 45.8% 14.3% +1.14% $16.02B /wmg-vs-lyv →
DKNG
DraftKings Inc.
D- 41/100 — 41.3% -1.1% +4.30% $10.38B /dkng-vs-lyv →
LLYVK
Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group
D- 40/100 — 19.2% -5.4% +0.35% $9.60B /llyvk-vs-lyv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001335258 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) reported GAAP revenue of $25.20B (+8.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.16B , and +10.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $496.0M, operating cash flow of $1.40B, and free cash flow of $333.6M (-69.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, LYV closed FY2025 with $22.91B in total assets against $5.36B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.50, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $25.20B $496.0M $1.40B $333.6M $22.91B $5.36B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $23.16B $896.3M $1.73B $1.08B $19.64B $4.60B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $22.73B $556.9M $1.36B $340.3M $27.27B $6.38B

3. LYV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LYV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: LYV) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $177.15 (-0.42% 1D, market cap $41.92B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LYV ranks #338 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LYV compare to TKO and WMG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LYV carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 84.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 29.5%. By comparison, TKO (TKO Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 61.9x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $34.20B) and WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 43.7x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $16.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WMG leads on earnings multiple (43.7x) while LYV leads on capital efficiency (29.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYV?

Per LYV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001335258), Live Nation Entertainment Inc. generated $25.20B in revenue (+8.8% YoY), $496.0M in net income, and $333.6M in free cash flow against $22.91B in total assets and $5.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LYV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LYV last traded at $177.15 (-0.42% on volume of 3,332,233 shares), positioning the stock +2.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($172.83) and +5.98% above its 200-day simple moving average ($167.16). Across its 52-week range of $125.34 to $189.25, LYV sits at the 81.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($169.00 to $185.30).

Direct Sub-Reports: LYV RQD Cockpit LYV 12M Forecast LYV Earnings & Move LYV Dividends & DRIP LYV Insiders & 13F LYV Whale Options LYV Profit Sankey LYV News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LYV — Live Nation Entertainment Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $177.15 (-0.42% 1D, market capitalization $41.92B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 29.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 5.0%, and free cash flow yield of 0.80%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.15x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.50, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 8.50x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Live Nation Entertainment Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) reported $25.20B in annual revenue (up from $23.16B in FY2024, +8.8% YoY) and $496.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($22.73B revenue, $556.9M net income) through FY2025, LYV scaled operating cash flow to $1.40B and free cash flow to $333.6M, backed by $22.91B in total assets against $5.36B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $125.34 – $189.25 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 84.5x trailing P/E and 18.3x EV/EBITDA against 5.0% operating margins and a 1.15x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can LYV sustain or expand its 5.0% operating margin and 29.5% ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $25.20B and free cash flow of $333.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.36B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LYV's 78.6x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.15x)?

LYV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Live Nation Entertainment Inc. (LYV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LYV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LYV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $177.15?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LYV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LYV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $209.91 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

ROIC of 29.5% and institutional accumulation (16 of 20 on the whale flow pillar) point to high capital efficiency and sustained investo

Here is why I am bullish on LYV here at $177.89: ROIC of 29.5% and institutional accumulation (16 of 20 on the whale flow pillar) point to high capital efficiency and sustained investor interest.. Compare LYV's 5.0% operating margin and 29.5% ROIC against the rest of Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $169.00 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 59/100 quality, though with 1.15 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $177.89 and keeping dry powder in case we test $165.44.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $133.42 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $177.89

A P/E of 84.5 against an FCF yield of only 0.8% leaves the valuation exposed if earnings growth or cash conversion falls short.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short LYV above $177.89. A P/E of 84.5 against an FCF yield of only 0.8% leaves the valuation exposed if earnings growth or cash conversion falls short.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (15/20) and FCF yield (0.8%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $189.25.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%