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Lyft Inc. (LYFT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$16.62 +2.85% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.67

Lyft Inc. (LYFT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $6.12B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LYFT Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LYFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Lyft Inc. (NASDAQ: LYFT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $16.62 (+2.85% 1D, market cap $6.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LYFT ranks #558 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LYFT compare to WEX and EXLS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), LYFT carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.3%, and ROIC of -4.7%. By comparison, WEX (WEX Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 20.6x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $6.07B) and EXLS (ExlService Holdings Inc.) posts a A grade (86/100 RQD, P/E 24.7x, ROIC 23.4%, cap $6.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WEX leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while EXLS leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYFT?
β–Ό

Per LYFT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759509), Lyft Inc. generated $5.90B in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $2.84B in net income, and $903.1M in free cash flow against $9.03B in total assets and $1.00B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.67 (+0.32%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) β€’ 15.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 Β· D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510049
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk C
Cash (3)Whales (11)SEC (12)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$27 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE LYFT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LYFT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY LYFT SCORES 49/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (27% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 32% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 46.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$16.48+1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$16.79-2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$16.34+1.7% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$16.62-5.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (41) β†’ D (49)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LYFT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While LYFT currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.13) and Max Pain ($17.45) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $26.82.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LYFTβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œLYFT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $20,042

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $361/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.5K
Yr 2
$12.3K
Yr 3
$13.2K
Yr 4
$14.2K
Yr 5
$15.2K
Yr 6
$16.3K
Yr 7
$17.4K
Yr 8
$18.7K
Yr 9
$20.0K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LYFT)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of LYFT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LYFT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.21%πŸ“ WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $16.41H $16.62L $16.16C $16.62VOL 8.12M
RES: $17.42SUP: $15.00SMA50: $16.13SMA200: $15.08
$18.35$16.83$15.32$13.80$12.29RES $17.42SUP $15.00$16.622026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LYFT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LYFT today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LYFT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LYFT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LYFT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #558 of 1011 βš”οΈ WEX vs LYFT Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LYFT vs. WEX, EXLS, MBGL, Z)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lyft Inc. (LYFT) ranks #558 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #236 by equity capitalization ($6.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WEX leads on earnings valuation at 20.6x trailing P/E, while EXLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.4% ROIC and 38.4% gross margin. EXLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 86/100 (A) compared with LYFT at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LYFT ACTIVE
Lyft Inc.
D 49/100 β€” 37.3% -4.7% +2.85% $6.12B Benchmark Subject
WEX
WEX Inc.
D+ 56/100 20.6x 40.4% 13.6% +0.14% $6.07B /wex-vs-lyft β†’
EXLS
ExlService Holdings Inc.
A 86/100 24.7x 38.4% 23.4% +2.66% $6.25B /exls-vs-lyft β†’
MBGL
Mobility Global Inc.
D 50/100 32.8x β€” 1.4% +3.65% $5.58B /mbgl-vs-lyft β†’
Z
Zillow Group Inc.
D 50/100 β€” 74.1% -0.6% +4.46% $6.96B /z-vs-lyft β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001759509

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lyft Inc. (LYFT) reported GAAP revenue of $5.90B (+9.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.37B , and +43.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.84B, operating cash flow of $1.17B, and free cash flow of $903.1M (+48.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LYFT closed FY2025 with $9.03B in total assets against $1.00B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.45, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $5.90B $2.84B $1.17B $903.1M $9.03B $1.00B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.37B $22.8M $849.7M $608.3M $5.44B $566.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.12B -$340.3M -$98.2M -$283.5M $4.94B $1.16B

3. LYFT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LYFT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lyft Inc. (NASDAQ: LYFT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $16.62 (+2.85% 1D, market cap $6.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LYFT ranks #558 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LYFT compare to WEX and EXLS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), LYFT carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.3%, and ROIC of -4.7%. By comparison, WEX (WEX Inc.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 20.6x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $6.07B) and EXLS (ExlService Holdings Inc.) posts a A grade (86/100 RQD, P/E 24.7x, ROIC 23.4%, cap $6.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WEX leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while EXLS leads on capital efficiency (23.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LYFT?

Per LYFT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001759509), Lyft Inc. generated $5.90B in revenue (+9.9% YoY), $2.84B in net income, and $903.1M in free cash flow against $9.03B in total assets and $1.00B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LYFT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LYFT last traded at $16.62 (+2.85% on volume of 10,646,287 shares), positioning the stock +3.04% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.13) and +10.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.08). Across its 52-week range of $12.46 to $25.54, LYFT sits at the 31.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±7.2% ($15.42 to $17.82).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 49/100 (D) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LYFT β€” Lyft Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lyft Inc. (LYFT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $16.62 (+2.85% 1D, market capitalization $6.12B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -4.7%, gross margin of 37.3%, operating margin of -3.2%, and free cash flow yield of 14.54%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 0.97x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.45, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.31x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lyft Inc. (LYFT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry..2B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lyft Inc. (LYFT) reported $5.90B in annual revenue (up from $5.37B in FY2024, +9.9% YoY) and $2.84B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.12B revenue, -$340.3M net income) through FY2025, LYFT scaled operating cash flow to $1.17B and free cash flow to $903.1M, backed by $9.03B in total assets against $1.00B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D β€’ RQD 49/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 14.54% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.46 – $25.54 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation against -3.2% operating margins and a 0.97x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Business Services (Consumer Discretionary), LYFT carries a macro regime beta of 0.97 and gross margin of 37.3%.

  • Key Question #1: Can LYFT sustain or expand its -3.2% operating margin and -4.7% ROIC against Business Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.90B and free cash flow of $903.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.00B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LYFT's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.97x)?

LYFT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lyft Inc. (LYFT) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to LYFT Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LYFT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $16.62?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LYFT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LYFT:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Institutional Buy-Side πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.88 (+23.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the FCF yield of 14.54% and FY 2025 free cash flow of $903.1M show cash generation well above reported operating in

The street is overcomplicating Lyft Inc. (LYFT). Per the RQD rating, the FCF yield of 14.54% and FY 2025 free cash flow of $903.1M show cash generation well above reported operating income.. With an RQD score of 49/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 12/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $17.45.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@DeepValue_CFA Agree on the RQD 49/100 quality, though with 0.97 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $16.16 and keeping dry powder in case we test $15.03.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.41 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $16.16

Per the RQD rating, ROIC of -4.7% and an Altman Z-Score of 0.45 signal weak returns on capital and elevated financial distress risk.

Careful chasing LYFT at $16.16. Per the RQD rating, ROIC of -4.7% and an Altman Z-Score of 0.45 signal weak returns on capital and elevated financial distress risk.. Gross margin is 37.3%, but operating margin is -3.2%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $13.41 on multiple compression.

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