ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Materials / LXFR / forecast
BAK (45) ASIX (51) VHI (28) TROX (34) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$17.22 -0.06% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.19

Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $461.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LXFR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LXFR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Luxfer Holdings PLC (NYSE: LXFR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $17.22 (-0.06% 1D, market cap $461.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LXFR ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LXFR compare to BAK and ASIX in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), LXFR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 60.0x, gross margin of 23.2%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, BAK (Braskem SA ADR) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $462.4M) and ASIX (AdvanSix Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $414.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LXFR?
▼

Per LXFR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001096056), Luxfer Holdings PLC generated $384.6M in revenue (-1.9% YoY), $7.7M in net income, and $26.2M in free cash flow against $369.7M in total assets and $14.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 60x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.19 (-0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (14)Macro (14)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$21 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE LXFR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LXFR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LXFR SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.8% FCF Margin ($26.2M FCF) & 23.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.79 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$17.26+0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$17.29-0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$17.26-0.2% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$17.22+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LXFR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, LXFR faces multiple-compression risk if 60.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 60x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.24) or 200D SMA ($15.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.61) toward Bear Floor ($13.74).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LXFR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LXFR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LXFR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $17.22: 580.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $13.74
$7,979
$-2,021 (-20.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $17.61
$10,226
+$226 (+2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $20.78
$12,067
+$2,067 (+20.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$2069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$1658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LXFR Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
LXFR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.89%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $17.27H $17.27L $17.22C $17.22VOL 730.3K
RES: $17.28SUP: $17.23SMA50: $17.24SMA200: $15.84
$19.92$17.99$16.06$14.13$12.20RES $17.28SUP $17.23$17.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LXFR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LXFR Butterfly Map → + Track LXFR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
41.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LXFR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LXFR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LXFR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LXFR)

Materials Rank #23 of 270 ⚔️ BAK vs LXFR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LXFR vs. BAK, ASIX, VHI, TROX)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) ranks #23 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #175 by equity capitalization ($461.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LXFR ACTIVE
Luxfer Holdings PLC
C 63/100 60.0x 23.2% 8.2% -0.06% $461.1M Benchmark Subject
BAK
Braskem SA ADR
D 45/100 — — — +0.86% $462.4M /bak-vs-lxfr →
ASIX
AdvanSix Inc.
D 51/100 8.2x — 6.0% +1.11% $414.7M /asix-vs-lxfr →
VHI
Valhi Inc.
E 28/100 — 14.2% 6.2% +4.89% $399.6M /vhi-vs-lxfr →
TROX
Tronox Holdings plc (UK)
E 34/100 — 9.3% -16.4% -3.89% $574.9M /trox-vs-lxfr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001096056 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) reported GAAP revenue of $384.6M (-1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $391.9M , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.7M, operating cash flow of $34.0M, and free cash flow of $26.2M (-35.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LXFR closed FY2025 with $369.7M in total assets against $14.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.79, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $384.6M $7.7M $34.0M $26.2M $369.7M $14.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $391.9M $18.4M $51.1M $40.8M $382.4M $42.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $405.0M -$1.9M $26.3M $26.3M — —

3. LXFR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LXFR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Luxfer Holdings PLC (NYSE: LXFR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $17.22 (-0.06% 1D, market cap $461.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LXFR ranks #23 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LXFR compare to BAK and ASIX in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), LXFR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 60.0x, gross margin of 23.2%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, BAK (Braskem SA ADR) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $462.4M) and ASIX (AdvanSix Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $414.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LXFR?

Per LXFR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001096056), Luxfer Holdings PLC generated $384.6M in revenue (-1.9% YoY), $7.7M in net income, and $26.2M in free cash flow against $369.7M in total assets and $14.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 60x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LXFR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LXFR last traded at $17.22 (-0.06% on volume of 533,708 shares), positioning the stock -0.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.24) and +8.71% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.84). Across its 52-week range of $11.26 to $19.45, LXFR sits at the 72.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($16.91 to $17.53).

Direct Sub-Reports: LXFR RQD Cockpit LXFR 12M Forecast LXFR Earnings & Move LXFR Dividends & DRIP LXFR Insiders & 13F LXFR Whale Options LXFR Profit Sankey LXFR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LXFR — Luxfer Holdings PLC: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 63/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $17.22 (-0.06% 1D, market capitalization $461.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.2%, gross margin of 23.2%, operating margin of 6.2%, and free cash flow yield of 5.67%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.79, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.06x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Luxfer Holdings PLC is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Materials sector and the Major Chemicals industry. — for what the company sells, to whom, or how it makes money. The profile identifies only its sector, industry, exchange, and approximate market capitalization of $0.5B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) reported $384.6M in annual revenue (up from $391.9M in FY2024, -1.9% YoY) and $7.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($405.0M revenue, -$1.9M net income) through FY2025, LXFR scaled operating cash flow to $34.0M and free cash flow to $26.2M, backed by $369.7M in total assets against $14.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 63/100): Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 5.67% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.26 – $19.45 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 60x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 60.0x trailing P/E and 15.3x EV/EBITDA against 6.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream dependencies, downstream customers, and sector correlations: — Second-order bottlenecks: — The only sector context is the classification of Materials / Major Chemicals and a beta of 1.0 per the market data.

  • Key Question #1: Can LXFR sustain or expand its 6.2% operating margin and 8.2% ROIC against Major Chemicals peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $384.6M and free cash flow of $26.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $14.4M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LXFR's 55.8x forward P/E multiple to Materials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LXFR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LXFR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LXFR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.22?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LXFR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LXFR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.37 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars (ROIC 8.2%, FCF yield 5.67%, Debt/Equity 0.06, Altman Z 3.79) underpin the 65 RQD scor

Here is why I am bullish on LXFR here at $17.23: Strong cash-generation and balance-sheet pillars (ROIC 8.2%, FCF yield 5.67%, Debt/Equity 0.06, Altman Z 3.79) underpin the 65 RQD score.. Compare LXFR's 6.2% operating margin and 8.2% ROIC against the rest of Major Chemicals. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $16.37 are getting bought.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — LXFR's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.27 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $17.23

A trailing P/E of 60 against a 2% net margin and a revenue decline from $405.0M to $384.6M leaves earnings support for the price thin.

Careful chasing LXFR at $17.23. A trailing P/E of 60 against a 2% net margin and a revenue decline from $405.0M to $384.6M leaves earnings support for the price thin.. Gross margin is 23.2%, but operating margin is 6.2%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $13.27 on multiple compression.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%