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Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$147.53 +3.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $148.15

Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.81B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LSTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Landstar System Inc. (NASDAQ: LSTR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $147.53 (+3.39% 1D, market cap $4.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, LSTR ranks #131 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LSTR compare to SNDR and TFII in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), LSTR carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, SNDR (Schneider National Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 49.8x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $5.12B) and TFII (TFI International Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TFII leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while LSTR leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSTR?
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Per LSTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000853816), Landstar System Inc. generated $4.74B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), $115.0M in net income, and $215.0M in free cash flow against $1.64B in total assets and $382.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $148.15 (+0.42%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 4.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 59/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C-
Cash (17)Whales (5)SEC (18)Macro (6)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$240 Bull$148 Base$116 Bear
📬 FREE LSTR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LSTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (59/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LSTR SCORES 59/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 9.67 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.5% FCF Margin ($215.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$169.23+1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$171.28-19% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
62
Grade C+$138.80+6.3% Next Q
Current
59
Grade C-$147.53+0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (67) → C- (59)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LSTR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 59/100 (C-) score, LSTR faces multiple-compression risk if 41.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 41x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($167.65) or 200D SMA ($176.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($148.19) toward Bear Floor ($115.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LSTR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LSTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 59%NO 41%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±5.6%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LSTR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LSTR.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LSTR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LSTR
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LSTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.60%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $141.4H $147.5L $141.4C $147.5VOL 654.6K
RES: $168.8SUP: $135.1SMA50: $167.7SMA200: $176.6
$234.9$208.3$181.8$155.3$128.8RES $168.8SUP $135.1$147.52026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LSTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LSTR Butterfly Map → + Track LSTR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
31.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LSTR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LSTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LSTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LSTR)

Industrials Rank #131 of 485 ⚔️ SNDR vs LSTR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (LSTR vs. SNDR, TFII, ARCB, SAIA)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) ranks #131 by composite RQD confidence (59/100, grade C-) and #147 by equity capitalization ($4.81B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TFII leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while LSTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and — gross margin. LSTR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 59/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LSTR ACTIVE
Landstar System Inc.
C- 59/100 41.4x — 16.4% +3.39% $4.81B Benchmark Subject
SNDR
Schneider National Inc.
D+ 55/100 49.8x — 4.2% +1.13% $5.12B /sndr-vs-lstr →
TFII
TFI International Inc.
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.77% $7.67B /tfii-vs-lstr →
ARCB
ArcBest Corporation
D+ 55/100 47.0x — 5.4% +4.40% $2.80B /arcb-vs-lstr →
SAIA
Saia Inc.
C- 59/100 35.9x — 8.5% +2.98% $9.19B /saia-vs-lstr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0000853816

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) reported GAAP revenue of $4.74B (-1.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.82B , and -10.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $115.0M, operating cash flow of $224.9M, and free cash flow of $215.0M (-15.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LSTR closed FY2025 with $1.64B in total assets against $382.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.67, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $4.74B $115.0M $224.9M $215.0M $1.64B $382.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $4.82B $195.9M $286.6M $255.6M $1.81B $424.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $5.30B $264.4M $393.6M $155.0M $6.36B $1.49B

3. LSTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LSTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Landstar System Inc. (NASDAQ: LSTR) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 59/100 at a spot price of $147.53 (+3.39% 1D, market cap $4.81B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, LSTR ranks #131 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LSTR compare to SNDR and TFII in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), LSTR carries a Roarable C- (59/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.4%. By comparison, SNDR (Schneider National Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 49.8x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $5.12B) and TFII (TFI International Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $7.67B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TFII leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while LSTR leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSTR?

Per LSTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000853816), Landstar System Inc. generated $4.74B in revenue (-1.6% YoY), $115.0M in net income, and $215.0M in free cash flow against $1.64B in total assets and $382.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LSTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LSTR last traded at $147.53 (+3.39% on volume of 635,164 shares), positioning the stock -12.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($167.65) and -16.47% below its 200-day simple moving average ($176.62). Across its 52-week range of $121.12 to $228.46, LSTR sits at the 24.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.3 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($139.27 to $155.79).

Direct Sub-Reports: LSTR RQD Cockpit LSTR 12M Forecast LSTR Earnings & Move LSTR Dividends & DRIP LSTR Insiders & 13F LSTR Whale Options LSTR Profit Sankey LSTR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 59/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LSTR — Landstar System Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-27

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 59/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $147.53 (+3.39% 1D, market capitalization $4.81B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 3.2%, and free cash flow yield of 4.51%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 0.89x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 9.67, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.41x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Landstar System Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Trucking Freight/Courier Services industry. The profile identifies the company's market capitalization as $4.8B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-27), Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) reported $4.74B in annual revenue (up from $4.82B in FY2024, -1.6% YoY) and $115.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.30B revenue, $264.4M net income) through FY2025, LSTR scaled operating cash flow to $224.9M and free cash flow to $215.0M, backed by $1.64B in total assets against $382.8M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 59/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $121.12 – $228.46 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 41.4x trailing P/E and 29.4x EV/EBITDA against 3.2% operating margins and a 0.89x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Trucking Freight/Courier Services (Industrials), LSTR carries a macro regime beta of 0.89 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can LSTR sustain or expand its 3.2% operating margin and 16.4% ROIC against Trucking Freight/Courier Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.74B and free cash flow of $215.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $382.8M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LSTR's 38.5x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.89x)?

LSTR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Landstar System Inc. (LSTR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LSTR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LSTR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $147.53?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LSTR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LSTR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $188.36 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, the company's Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20) and Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20, ROIC 16.4%) are its strongest pill

Long LSTR at $142.70 targeting $188.36. Per the RQD rating, the company's Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20) and Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20, ROIC 16.4%) are its strongest pillars, with debt reduced from $1.49B in FY 2023 to $382.8M in FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 5/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $121.12 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Shorting a 5/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $142.70 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $107.02 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $142.70

Revenue fell from $5.30B in FY 2023 to $4.74B in FY 2025 while net income dropped from $264.4M to $115.0M, and the P/E (TTM) of 41.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LSTR: Revenue fell from $5.30B in FY 2023 to $4.74B in FY 2025 while net income dropped from $264.4M to $115.0M, and the P/E (TTM) of 41.4 sits against a Whale 13F Flow score of only 5/20.. At 41.4x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Trucking Freight/Courier Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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