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Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / LSF / earnings
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Laird Superfood Inc. (LSF) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.53 -0.39% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.52

Laird Superfood Inc. (LSF) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 19/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $28.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Laird Superfood Inc. (NYSE: LSF) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 19/100 at a spot price of $2.53 (-0.39% 1D, market cap $28.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, LSF ranks #144 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LSF compare to JVA and BRLS in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), LSF carries a Roarable E (19/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, JVA (Coffee Holding Co. Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 20.8x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $28.7M) and BRLS (Borealis Foods Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $24.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JVA leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while JVA leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSF?
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Per LSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001650696), Laird Superfood Inc. generated $49.9M in revenue (+15.2% YoY), -$3.3M in net income, and -$2.9M in free cash flow against $19.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.52 (-0.26%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (19/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-12.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510019
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (5)Macro (3)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-17.4% Base Target
$5 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE LSF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LSF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (19/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LSF SCORES 19/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 37.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
27
Grade E$2.78+13.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
24
Grade E$3.15-17.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
22
Grade E$2.59-2.3% Next Q
Current
19
Grade E$2.53-12% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (27) → E (19)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LSF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LSF currently carries a cautious 19/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.35) and Max Pain ($2.66) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.37.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LSF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LSF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 19%NO 81%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.32 Expected Swing
$2.21 (-12.5%)Spot $2.53$2.85 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LSF Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 19/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 15.2%

Model Bullish Setup (19/100)Model Risk Weight (81/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$49.9M-$3.3M-$2.9M37.9%
FY 20242024-12-31$43.3M-$1.8M$840.7K40.9%
FY 20232023-12-31$34.2M-$10.2M-$10.8M37.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LSF)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LSF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LSF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.39%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.67H $2.67L $2.53C $2.53VOL 33.7K
RES: $5.08SUP: $2.30SMA50: $3.35SMA200: $3.38
$5.30$4.52$3.75$2.97$2.20RES $5.08SUP $2.30$2.532026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LSF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LSF Butterfly Map → + Track LSF →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LSF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LSF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LSF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LSF)

Consumer Staples Rank #144 of 147 ⚔️ JVA vs LSF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (LSF vs. JVA, BRLS, BOF, COOT)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Laird Superfood Inc. (LSF) ranks #144 by composite RQD confidence (19/100, grade E) and #116 by equity capitalization ($28.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JVA leads on earnings valuation at 20.8x trailing P/E, while JVA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.5% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. COOT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with LSF at 19/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LSF ACTIVE
Laird Superfood Inc.
E 19/100 — 37.9% -35.0% -0.39% $28.4M Benchmark Subject
JVA
Coffee Holding Co. Inc.
D 49/100 20.8x 16.0% 6.5% 0.00% $28.7M /jva-vs-lsf →
BRLS
Borealis Foods Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 — 11.2% -35.0% +2.19% $24.5M /brls-vs-lsf →
BOF
BranchOut Food Inc.
E 18/100 — 14.8% -35.0% -2.33% $33.8M /bof-vs-lsf →
COOT
Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited
D+ 53/100 — — — -7.58% $22.1M /coot-vs-lsf →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001650696 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Laird Superfood Inc. (LSF) reported GAAP revenue of $49.9M (+15.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $43.3M , and +45.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$3.3M, operating cash flow of -$2.8M, and free cash flow of -$2.9M (-440.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, LSF closed FY2025 with $19.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $49.9M -$3.3M -$2.8M -$2.9M $19.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $43.3M -$1.8M $865.5K $840.7K $19.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $34.2M -$10.2M -$10.8M -$10.8M — —

3. LSF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LSF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Laird Superfood Inc. (NYSE: LSF) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 19/100 at a spot price of $2.53 (-0.39% 1D, market cap $28.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, LSF ranks #144 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LSF compare to JVA and BRLS in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), LSF carries a Roarable E (19/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 37.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, JVA (Coffee Holding Co. Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 20.8x, ROIC 6.5%, cap $28.7M) and BRLS (Borealis Foods Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $24.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JVA leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while JVA leads on capital efficiency (6.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LSF?

Per LSF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001650696), Laird Superfood Inc. generated $49.9M in revenue (+15.2% YoY), -$3.3M in net income, and -$2.9M in free cash flow against $19.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LSF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LSF last traded at $2.53 (-0.39% on volume of 17,528 shares), positioning the stock -24.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.35) and -25.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.38). Across its 52-week range of $1.96 to $5.11, LSF sits at the 18.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.21 to $2.85).

Direct Sub-Reports: LSF RQD Cockpit LSF 12M Forecast LSF Earnings & Move LSF Dividends & DRIP LSF Insiders & 13F LSF Whale Options LSF Profit Sankey LSF News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 19/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LSF — Laird Superfood Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Laird Superfood Inc. (LSF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 19/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.53 (-0.39% 1D, market capitalization $28.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 37.9%, operating margin of -6.8%, and free cash flow yield of -9.58%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (5/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (LSF) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Staples sector, operating in the Packaged Foods industry..0B on a rounded basis, while the market data lists $29.9M.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Laird Superfood Inc. (LSF) reported $49.9M in annual revenue (up from $43.3M in FY2024, +15.2% YoY) and -$3.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($34.2M revenue, -$10.2M net income) through FY2025, LSF scaled operating cash flow to -$2.8M and free cash flow to -$2.9M, backed by $19.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 19/100): Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -9.58% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.96 – $5.11 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -6.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector context is limited to Consumer Staples and Packaged Foods. The news wire references peer activity, including a gross margin pressure item at FLO and a headline about Mondelez and Biscoff, but the source does not connect these to LSF's supply chain. Investors should treat sector correlation as unresolved here.

  • Key Question #1: Can LSF sustain or expand its -6.8% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Packaged Foods peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $49.9M and free cash flow of -$2.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LSF's equity valuation to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LSF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Laird Superfood Inc. (LSF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LSF Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LSF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.53?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LSF 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LSF:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.20 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $34.2M in FY 2023 to $49.9M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, showing top-line expansion.

Long LSF at $2.54 targeting $3.20. Revenue grew from $34.2M in FY 2023 to $49.9M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, showing top-line expansion.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $1.96 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — LSF's 5/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.08 (-18.1%)
Spot @ $2.54

Per the RQD rating, ROIC of -35% and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 signal capital destruction and financial distress.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on LSF: Per the RQD rating, ROIC of -35% and an Altman Z-Score of 0.2 signal capital destruction and financial distress.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Packaged Foods triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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