ROARABLE
FREE $100K
Today Screener Big Ideas Track Record 💰 $100K Arena 🎲 Predictions 🏛️ Insiders 8 Analysts
Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LPG / news
CDLR (59) DAC (69) SFL (48) SBLK (55) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Why LPG Stock dropped -6.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$51.16 -6.01% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.73

Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $2.33B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LPG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LPG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Dorian LPG Ltd. (NYSE: LPG) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $51.16 (-6.01% 1D, market cap $2.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LPG ranks #20 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LPG compare to CDLR and DAC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), LPG carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, CDLR (Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and DAC (Danaos Corporation) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while LPG leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LPG?
▼

Per LPG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001596993), Dorian LPG Ltd. generated $481.5M in revenue (+36.3% YoY), $193.7M in net income, and $210.1M in free cash flow against $1.78B in total assets and $415.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $50.73 (-0.84%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 43.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510080
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk A-
Cash (16)Whales (13)SEC (16)Macro (17)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target
$66 Bull$56 Base$42 Bear
📬 FREE LPG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LPG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LPG SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 76% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-7 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
88
Grade A$57.98-10.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
85
Grade A$52.07+4.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
83
Grade A$54.28-5.7% Next Q
Current
80
Grade B+$51.16+8.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A (88) → B+ (80)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LPG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, LPG faces multiple-compression risk if 12.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($54.40) or 200D SMA ($42.30) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($56.22) toward Bear Floor ($41.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LPG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LPG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 80%NO 20%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why LPG Stock dropped -6.01% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) dropped -6.01% to $51.16, trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($23.76 – $59.97). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 76% of its 52-week range ($23.76 – $59.97) with RSI-14 at 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.2% around $51.16 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $210.1M annual free cash flow.
Live LPG Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LPG Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
LPG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.81%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $54.68H $54.68L $51.16C $51.16VOL 395.7K
RES: $67.34SUP: $52.16SMA50: $54.40SMA200: $42.30
$62.05$53.42$44.78$36.15$27.51RES $67.34SUP $52.16$51.162026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LPG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LPG Butterfly Map → + Track LPG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
2.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +36.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LPG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LPG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LPG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LPG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #20 of 1009 ⚔️ CDLR vs LPG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LPG vs. CDLR, DAC, SFL, SBLK)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) ranks #20 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #395 by equity capitalization ($2.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DAC leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while LPG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and — gross margin. LPG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LPG ACTIVE
Dorian LPG Ltd.
B+ 80/100 12.1x — 13.8% -6.01% $2.33B Benchmark Subject
CDLR
Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )
C- 59/100 — — — -4.38% $2.78B /cdlr-vs-lpg →
DAC
Danaos Corporation
C+ 69/100 5.8x — 10.9% -1.95% $2.86B /dac-vs-lpg →
SFL
SFL Corporation Ltd
D 48/100 — — 3.9% -5.79% $1.72B /sfl-vs-lpg →
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers Corp.
D+ 55/100 38.3x — 5.5% -4.41% $3.16B /sblk-vs-lpg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001596993 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) reported GAAP revenue of $481.5M (+36.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $353.3M , and -14.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $193.7M, operating cash flow of $210.1M, and free cash flow of $210.1M (+21.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, LPG closed FY2025 with $1.78B in total assets against $415.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.12, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $481.5M $193.7M $210.1M $210.1M $1.78B $415.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $353.3M $90.2M $173.0M $173.0M $1.82B $512.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $560.7M $307.4M $388.4M $388.4M — —

3. LPG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LPG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dorian LPG Ltd. (NYSE: LPG) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $51.16 (-6.01% 1D, market cap $2.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LPG ranks #20 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LPG compare to CDLR and DAC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), LPG carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, CDLR (Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and DAC (Danaos Corporation) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $2.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while LPG leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LPG?

Per LPG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001596993), Dorian LPG Ltd. generated $481.5M in revenue (+36.3% YoY), $193.7M in net income, and $210.1M in free cash flow against $1.78B in total assets and $415.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LPG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LPG last traded at $51.16 (-6.01% on volume of 797,267 shares), positioning the stock -5.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($54.40) and +20.95% above its 200-day simple moving average ($42.30). Across its 52-week range of $23.76 to $59.97, LPG sits at the 75.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($47.48 to $54.84).

Direct Sub-Reports: LPG RQD Cockpit LPG 12M Forecast LPG Earnings & Move LPG Dividends & DRIP LPG Insiders & 13F LPG Whale Options LPG Profit Sankey LPG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 80/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LPG — Dorian LPG Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 80/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $51.16 (-6.01% 1D, market capitalization $2.33B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 13.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 43.6%, and free cash flow yield of 8.98%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (17/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.12, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.38x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) is listed on the NYSE and classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and Marine Transportation industry, and profile sections. The profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) reported $481.5M in annual revenue (up from $353.3M in FY2024, +36.3% YoY) and $193.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($560.7M revenue, $307.4M net income) through FY2025, LPG scaled operating cash flow to $210.1M and free cash flow to $210.1M, backed by $1.78B in total assets against $415.4M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 80/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $23.76 – $59.97 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 12.1x trailing P/E and 11.7x EV/EBITDA against 43.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Marine Transportation (Consumer Discretionary), LPG carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can LPG sustain or expand its 43.6% operating margin and 13.8% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $481.5M and free cash flow of $210.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $415.4M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LPG's 10.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

LPG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dorian LPG Ltd. (LPG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LPG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LPG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $51.16?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LPG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LPG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $69.13 (+27.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction (18/20) and a forensic balance sheet (Piotroski F 9/9, Altman Z 3.12) combine with a 10.2 forward P/E and 8.98% FCF

Insider conviction (18/20) and a forensic balance sheet (Piotroski F 9/9, Altman Z 3.12) combine with a 10.2 forward P/E and 8.98% FCF yield.. When you look under the hood at LPG, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 13.8% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (13/20) has been quietly accumulating below $59.97. My 12M target is $69.13.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@AlphaFlow_Cap Agree on the RQD 80/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $54.43 and keeping dry powder in case we test $50.62.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $43.54 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $54.43

The score relies heavily on backward-looking signals while the news wire flags valuation concerns and the whale-flow pillar scores only

Careful chasing LPG at $54.43. The score relies heavily on backward-looking signals while the news wire flags valuation concerns and the whale-flow pillar scores only 13/20.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 43.6%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $43.54 on multiple compression.

LIVE TAPE SPY $752.10 -1.80% QQQ $681.09 -3.60% DIA $519.34 -1.08% IWM $279.14 -1.68% NVDA $202.06 -1.26% AAPL $338.32 -1.83% MSFT $507.12 -2.83% TSLA $403.82 +1.00% PLTR $178.34 -3.13% SOFI $16.60 -0.95% IBIT $43.35 -5.42% GLD $361.65 -3.59%