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Why LNC Stock advanced +1.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$41.63 +1.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.66

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $7.85B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LNC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Lincoln National Corporation (NYSE: LNC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $41.63 (+1.51% 1D, market cap $7.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, LNC ranks #911 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LNC compare to PRI and VOYA in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Life Insurance), LNC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, PRI (Primerica Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $8.65B) and VOYA (Voya Financial Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LNC leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while VOYA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LNC?
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Per LNC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000059558), Lincoln National Corporation generated $18.21B in revenue (-1.2% YoY), $1.18B in net income, and -$986.5M in free cash flow against $417.20B in total assets and $182.83B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.66 (+0.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510040
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target
$50 Bull$38 Base$30 Bear
📬 FREE LNC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LNC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LNC SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.7% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$40.22+0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$40.39+0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$40.66+2.4% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$41.63-7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (32) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LNC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LNC currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($41.65) and Max Pain ($43.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $50.05.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LNC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LNC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why LNC Stock advanced +1.51% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) advanced +1.51% to $41.63, trading at 61% of its 52-week range ($32.18 – $47.67). Stretched risk/reward at 7x P/E (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 61% of its 52-week range ($32.18 – $47.67) with RSI-14 at 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.7% around $41.63 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live LNC Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LNC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LNC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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LNC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.76%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $41.37H $41.63L $41.01C $41.63VOL 1.86M
RES: $41.32SUP: $36.36SMA50: $41.65SMA200: $38.99
$48.68$44.49$40.30$36.11$31.92RES $41.32SUP $36.36$41.632026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LNC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LNC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LNC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LNC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LNC)

Financials Rank #911 of 1097 ⚔️ PRI vs LNC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LNC vs. PRI, VOYA, JXN, GL)

Industry: Life Insurance (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) ranks #911 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #219 by equity capitalization ($7.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LNC leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while VOYA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VOYA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with LNC at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LNC ACTIVE
Lincoln National Corporation
D- 40/100 6.7x — 0.9% +1.51% $7.85B Benchmark Subject
PRI
Primerica Inc.
C+ 66/100 24.4x — 5.2% +0.86% $8.65B /pri-vs-lnc →
VOYA
Voya Financial Inc.
B+ 76/100 13.6x — 85.0% +1.40% $8.88B /voya-vs-lnc →
JXN
Jackson Financial Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 — — 0.0% +2.01% $9.14B /jxn-vs-lnc →
GL
Globe Life Inc.
C+ 66/100 10.6x — 24.3% +0.45% $12.23B /gl-vs-lnc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000059558 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) reported GAAP revenue of $18.21B (-1.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.44B , and +56.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.18B, operating cash flow of -$167.0M, and free cash flow of -$986.5M (+65.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, LNC closed FY2025 with $417.20B in total assets against $182.83B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $18.21B $1.18B -$167.0M -$986.5M $417.20B $182.83B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $18.44B $3.27B -$2.01B -$2.84B $390.83B $172.15B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $11.64B -$752.0M -$2.07B -$2.60B $13.97B $3.27B

3. LNC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LNC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Lincoln National Corporation (NYSE: LNC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $41.63 (+1.51% 1D, market cap $7.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, LNC ranks #911 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LNC compare to PRI and VOYA in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Life Insurance), LNC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.9%. By comparison, PRI (Primerica Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.4x, ROIC 5.2%, cap $8.65B) and VOYA (Voya Financial Inc.) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $8.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LNC leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while VOYA leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LNC?

Per LNC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000059558), Lincoln National Corporation generated $18.21B in revenue (-1.2% YoY), $1.18B in net income, and -$986.5M in free cash flow against $417.20B in total assets and $182.83B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LNC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LNC last traded at $41.63 (+1.51% on volume of 1,795,894 shares), positioning the stock -0.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($41.65) and +6.77% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.99). Across its 52-week range of $32.18 to $47.67, LNC sits at the 61.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($39.67 to $43.59).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 40/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

LNC — Lincoln National Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 40/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $41.63 (+1.51% 1D, market capitalization $7.85B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (8/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 7.9%, and free cash flow yield of -12.46%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 0.93x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Lincoln National Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Life Insurance industry (per the company profile). Specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix are — The profile does not describe how the company generates revenue beyond its sector and industry classification.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) reported $18.21B in annual revenue (up from $18.44B in FY2024, -1.2% YoY) and $1.18B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($11.64B revenue, -$752.0M net income) through FY2025, LNC scaled operating cash flow to -$167.0M and free cash flow to -$986.5M, backed by $417.20B in total assets against $182.83B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 40/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -12.46% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 8/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $32.18 – $47.67 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 6.7x trailing P/E and 60.3x EV/EBITDA against 7.9% operating margins and a 0.93x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector context is the Financials / Life Insurance classification ().

  • Key Question #1: Can LNC sustain or expand its 7.9% operating margin and 0.9% ROIC against Life Insurance peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $18.21B and free cash flow of -$986.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $182.83B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is LNC's 6.2x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.93x)?

LNC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to LNC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

LNC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $41.63?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON LNC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on LNC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $50.03 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low P/E of 6.7 and a 4.1% dividend yield at a $41.37 price offer valuation support if earnings durability holds.

Picked up a starter position in LNC in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $41.01. Low P/E of 6.7 and a 4.1% dividend yield at a $41.37 price offer valuation support if earnings durability holds.. Trading inside a $32.18–$47.67 52-week range with -12.46% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Life Insurance multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — LNC's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.63 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $41.01

Negative FCF in all three reported periods and debt rising from $3.27B to $182.83B weaken the cash and balance sheet case.

Negative FCF in all three reported periods and debt rising from $3.27B to $182.83B weaken the cash and balance sheet case.. Look at the math on LNC: paying 6.7x trailing P/E for 0.9% ROIC and 7.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Life Insurance demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $36.09 before getting long.

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