Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group (LLYVA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
As of 2026-11-02, Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group (NASDAQ: LLYVA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $100.62 (+1.55% 1D, market cap $9.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LLYVA ranks #765 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LLYVA carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.2%, and ROIC of -5.6%. By comparison, LLYVK (Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.4%, cap $9.51B) and DKNG (DraftKings Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.1%, cap $10.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHDN leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while MSGK leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
Per LLYVA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002078416), Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group generated $382.0M in revenue (+12.2% YoY), -$87.0M in net income, and -$46.6M in free cash flow against $1.89B in total assets and $862.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.8% realized swing band)
Altman Z-Score 1.84 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
While LLYVA currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($96.45) and Max Pain ($105.65) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $111.36.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group (LLYVA) advanced +1.55% to $100.62, trading at 83% of its 52-week range ($74.38 – $106.06). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
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Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +12.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LLYVA today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LLYVA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group (LLYVA) ranks #765 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #180 by equity capitalization ($9.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CHDN leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while MSGK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. MSGK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with LLYVA at 38/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LLYVA
ACTIVE
Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group | D- | 38/100 | — | 19.2% | -5.6% | +1.55% | $9.12B | Benchmark Subject |
| LLYVK Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group | D- | 40/100 | — | 19.2% | -5.4% | +0.94% | $9.51B | /llyvk-vs-llyva → |
| DKNG DraftKings Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 41.3% | -1.1% | +0.92% | $10.29B | /dkng-vs-llyva → |
| MSGK MSG Knickerbockers Corp. | C+ | 67/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +0.88% | $7.48B | /msgk-vs-llyva → |
| CHDN Churchill Downs Incorporated | D+ | 55/100 | 16.3x | — | 9.2% | +4.03% | $6.25B | /chdn-vs-llyva → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group (LLYVA) reported GAAP revenue of $382.0M (+12.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $340.5M ) , GAAP net income of -$87.0M, operating cash flow of -$29.5M, and free cash flow of -$46.6M (-15.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, LLYVA closed FY2025 with $1.89B in total assets against $862.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.84, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $382.0M | -$87.0M | -$29.5M | -$46.6M | $1.89B | $862.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $340.5M | -$112.8M | -$25.2M | -$40.6M | $1.59B | $1.56B |
As of 2026-11-02, Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group (NASDAQ: LLYVA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $100.62 (+1.55% 1D, market cap $9.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LLYVA ranks #765 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), LLYVA carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 19.2%, and ROIC of -5.6%. By comparison, LLYVK (Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series C Liberty Live Group) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.4%, cap $9.51B) and DKNG (DraftKings Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.1%, cap $10.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CHDN leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while MSGK leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).
Per LLYVA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002078416), Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group generated $382.0M in revenue (+12.2% YoY), -$87.0M in net income, and -$46.6M in free cash flow against $1.89B in total assets and $862.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
LLYVA last traded at $100.62 (+1.55% on volume of 87,523 shares), positioning the stock +4.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($96.45) and +6.14% above its 200-day simple moving average ($94.80). Across its 52-week range of $74.38 to $106.06, LLYVA sits at the 82.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($95.79 to $105.45).
Why LLYVA Stock advanced +1.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, LLYVA scores 38 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:
For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the overall picture is that the weakest pillars (cash generation and balance sheet) outweigh the institutional-flow strength. The price of 99.08 sits inside a 52-week range of $74.38 - $106.06, and the forward P/E of 29 per the market data is set against negative trailing EPS of -0.95. Upside drivers would need to come from improved cash conversion; valuation rests on expectations rather than current earnings power. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.
Per the profile, Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group (LLYVA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. The market capitalization is $9.1B per the profile. The source data does not describe specific products, customers, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $382.0M | $-51.7M | $-87.0M | N/A | $-46.6M | $545.5M | $862.2M |
| FY 2024 | $340.5M | $-116.3M | $-112.8M | N/A | $-40.6M | $402.6M | $1556.4M |
Per the SEC financials, both reported periods show operating and net losses, with FY 2025 showing narrower losses than FY 2024. Per the market data, the gross margin is 19.2%, the operating margin is -13.5%, and the net margin is -22.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.84 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Per the SEC financials, total debt declined from $1556.4M in FY 2024 to $862.2M in FY 2025 while cash rose from $402.6M to $545.5M, and per the market data ROIC is -5.6%.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the source data.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group (LLYVA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
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Formula One Group (NasdaqGS:FWON.K) is expected to post strong revenue supported by intense demand for the Las Vegas Grand Prix hospitality and tickets. Paddock Club packages for the Las Vegas race are already sold out,
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Liberty Live Holdings has seen its share price move meaningfully in recent years, which naturally puts a spotlight on what investors are paying for its sales today. With that backdrop, the key issue is whether the curren
Formula One Group (FWON.K) continues to draw investor attention after recent share performance, with the price closing at US$89.27 on 23 October 2026 and trailing returns showing mixed results across different holding pe
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Welcome to the LLYVA (Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 38/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on LLYVA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 19.2% gross margins. Unless Liberty Live Holdings Inc. Series A Liberty Live Group expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on LLYVA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $99.08 (52-wk range $74.38 - $106.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
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